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NHL Home Chase

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Posted: #351
Quote Originally Posted by smitler:



spreadsheets.google.com/pub?key=tU1bm-tnxs54EnGibSt7yrQ&output=html
 
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Posted: #352
smitler thank you for all your hard work, and this spreadsheet only for oct right?
 
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Posted: #353
Quote Originally Posted by longstah:

smitler thank you for all your hard work, and this spreadsheet only for oct right?


Just October one month at a time. The sheet says Oct2011.  The others are from last season.

 
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Posted: #354
thank you sir. I just folo you i think it's the best. So the oct 9 is the first play right? and may i ask how much per unit are you playing? 10, 20 50 or 100?
 
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Posted: #355
I'll help you out here. your missing Hawks starting oct. 23, flames on the 24, wild on 25, and kings flyers on the 30th.
 
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Posted: #356

Quote Originally Posted by rabiddog:

I'll help you out here. your missing Hawks starting oct. 23, flames on the 24, wild on 25, and kings flyers on the 30th.

 

just noticed that you have them in green.. sorry

 
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Posted: #357
Today first game for the away Puck Line chase:

ANAHEIM!

10/8/10 Fri @Detroit W 3-1 2/3/10 W/U
10/9/10 Sat @Nashville L 0-1 3/12/10 L/U
10/11/10 Mon @St. Louis L 3-6 4/9/10 L/O

 
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Posted: #358
Road Puck Line (RPL)
Option 2.0: Chase the visiting team PL (No play if favored)
Option 2.1: New chase after Option 2.0 win if 3 or more home games remain

Got a question regarding this, it comes in play when a team has at least 3 road games in a row or what is the rule ?
 
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Posted: #359
Quote Originally Posted by onlinesport:

Today first game for the away Puck Line chase:

ANAHEIM!

10/8/10 Fri @Detroit W 3-1 2/3/10 W/U
10/9/10 Sat @Nashville L 0-1 3/12/10 L/U
10/11/10 Mon @St. Louis L 3-6 4/9/10 L/O



This is not the system.  It only applies to the home team.
Anaheim is playing 3 different home teams.

For example Washington plays at home 10/9 against NJD, 10/11, against OTT, and 10/13 against NYI.
So the plays are
WAS ML (or PL if dog) chase for 1 win
and
NJD PL
OTT PL
NYI PL chasing for 1 win
If 1 of these teams are favored there will be no play on the visiting PL. Sometimes they lose 2 and the last game they are favored so you take a 2 game chase loss.

 
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Posted: #360
Quote Originally Posted by sahlsa:

Road Puck Line (RPL)
Option 2.0: Chase the visiting team PL (No play if favored)
Option 2.1: New chase after Option 2.0 win if 3 or more home games remain

Got a question regarding this, it comes in play when a team has at least 3 road games in a row or what is the rule ?


Your simply playing the visiting team of the team at home.
The above example should explain it.
The perfect scenario is the middle and that is a 1 puck win by Washington (if favored) because you also had the visiting team +1.5.
You will win one chase for sure on game 1. Then continue the chase for the other.
 
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Posted: #361
OCT 9, 2010

A_BUF_ML_-135
A_NYR_PL_-260

A_WAS_ML_-155
A_NJD_PL__-220

This is a high juice system but its the best I can come up with for NHL.  Don't go crazy with your unit size.
The money management aspect is the most difficult.  I will post martingale and labby. I'm not that good with official labby record keeping so bear with me.

 
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Posted: #362
Not sure if I will continue posting these units and plays, but I will try.
There was a home team chase loss right off the bat last year (NYR)

Oct 9, 2010
A_BUF_ML_-135
laby:  [5 5 5 5] So 13.5 to win 10
mart: 13.5 to win10
 
A_NYR_PL_-260
laby:  [5 5 5 5] So 26 to win 10
mart: 26 to win10

A_WAS_ML_-155
laby:  [5 5 5 5] So 15.5 to win 10
mart: 15.5 to win10

A_NJD_PL__-220
laby:  [5 5 5 5] So 22 to win 10
mart: 22 to win10

 
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Posted: #363
thanks for the above post concerning betting labby and martingale. smitty can you post the labby and martingale system at least thru these series? i havent used a labby yet due to lack of knowledge on my behalf. i have read many, many times tho the labby is a better money mangement system. not quite sure how to do labby so will follow you thru these games as long as you post them for @ least four series. i do understand the basics. thanks smitty.
 
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Posted: #364

GodDamn Smitler. NJD started tonight. Lost 4-3. IDK what the line/PL was. NJD don't play SAT. NYR only has a 2 game homestand. Your head is spinning.  Mine is too.

WAS

BUF

is the play. Unles you are using one of these Godforsaken version2.21 plays. WTF??? You need to clarify something with all these goddamn versions. 

Start a new fucking thread, man!

 
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Posted: #365

I'm starting to doubt you man. All these freaking versions. WTF??? I bought into you MLB 1st inning plays. Good system. But you are doing the same there. You are fucking it up. Make it simple again. Your versions are stupid. Unfuck the systems. Man! I am pissed off! all ready to make a play with SMITLER PICKS and one last check and I realize..............the guy is....bass ackwards... Hockey is an anomally to me.

START A NEW THREAD AND CLARIFY!

 
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Posted: #366
Yo dude chill out. Learn the lab and play this system.

I play the RPL and RML with lab and it works greats!

 
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Posted: #367
you expect fifty people to pay attn to this shit????

new thread. we. yes, we. will follow.  we cannot understand this bullshit. start over. i dont even know what the fuck the real plays are. motherfucker.
 
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Posted: #368
Looking at the number of losses on page 6 for earlier seasons the question is how to handle MM 
 
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Posted: #369
bettor2win

Smitler's plays are exactly right according to *his* system.  It's not the simplest system in the world, but even I was able to figure it out after only 5 or 10 minutes of sober thought... emphasis on sober.

Further, the man is GIVING IT AWAY.  He owes you nothing.  If you can't figure it out, no one including Smitler has an obligation to help you.  I might go so far as to say that if you can't turn the crank on this system by yourself, then perhaps you should go find another system.

Here is my recommendation: take a deep breath, do exactly what the man says to do at 1/10 unit size, and watch how it works.  Once you figure it out, go full size.  

Either you'll figure it out or you won't.  I don't care either way.   But don't screw this up for everyone else.  Secure the abuse.
 
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Posted: #370
Smitler's plays are exactly correct according to *his* system.

bettor2won, secure the abuse.  No one wants to hear it.  Sober up.
 
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Posted: #371
hm.  I thought the first post disappeared, then both show up.  What's in MY coffee? :)
 
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Posted: #372
Oh, and forgot to say what I really came here to say, which was Good Luck Smitler, thanks for posting the system and sharing the spreadsheet.  Got lost in spanking the unruly guy with the beard. 

On labby, I assume you're running a line per team, which is probably smart, because it'll keep bet sizes from spiralling out of control.   People find it hard to use because it gets adapted a lot to different situations.  I tend to start with longer lines myself... 5-5-5-5-5-5 for example... because I want my bet size to grow more slowly.  I've been using and adapting it all for about a year now and am very happy with the results.
 
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Posted: #373
i am sober. i am not saying his plays are incorrect, but i cant follow what version he is doing or why or how or what?...?  if im confused, im sure someone else is too.  so what good is it to the general betting public? and no, not goin to read fifty pages of home chase hockey to figure it out. help a brother out.
 
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Posted: #374
B2W you crack me up.  Its so easy a cave man can do it.
I did not expect such a reaction from continuing a thread.
Just start at page 13. The info is all there. The stuff before is from last season so you don't have to read it.

Post 362 has the first plays and both money management styles (labourchere and martingale) to track which one works best.  You can use any style you like as I will probably not stick to one or the other.
GOOD LUCK.
 
 
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Posted: #375

Quote Originally Posted by smitler:

B2W you crack me up.  Its so easy a cave man can do it.
I did not expect such a reaction from continuing a thread.
Just start at page 13. The info is all there. The stuff before is from last season so you don't have to read it.

Post 362 has the first plays and both money management styles (labourchere and martingale) to track which one works best.  You can use any style you like as I will probably not stick to one or the other.
GOOD LUCK.

Thanks Smitty.  I appreciate it. Obviously, I am a caveman. Or graduating to be one soon.

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