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NHL Home Chase

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Posted: #401

Early season, the PL's are always high

It'll come down to around -200 soon enough

 
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Posted: #402

Smitler, is Calgary a "B" play? Lost 2.0 "A" play as road dog, now home fav.

 
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Posted: #403
Quote Originally Posted by DMMAN:

Smitler, is Calgary a "B" play? Lost 2.0 "A" play as road dog, now home fav.



Calgary chase is over. 1.0/HML won 10/10 and 2.0/RPL won 10/14.
 
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Posted: #404
https://spreadsheets.google.com/ccc?key=0AhVKY8GzoikLdFUxYm0tdG54czU0RW5HaWJTdDd5clE&hl=en
 
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Posted: #405
spreadsheets.google.com/ccc?key=0AhVKY8GzoikLdFUxYm0tdG54czU0RW5HaWJTdDd5clE&hl=en
 
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Posted: #406
spreadsheets.google.com/pub?key=0AhVKY8GzoikLdFUxYm0tdG54czU0RW5HaWJTdDd5clE&hl=en&output=html
 
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Posted: #407
spreadsheets.google.com/pub?key=tU1bm-tnxs54EnGibSt7yrQ&output=html

 
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Posted: #408
spreadsheets.google.com/pub?key=tU1bm-tnxs54EnGibSt7yrQ&output=html
 
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Posted: #409
spreadsheets.google.com/pub?key=tU1bm-tnxs54EnGibSt7yrQ&output=html
 
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Posted: #410
spreadsheets.google.com/pub?key=tU1bm-tnxs54EnGibSt7yrQ&output=html
 
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Posted: #411
spreadsheets.google.com/pub?key=tU1bm-tnxs54EnGibSt7yrQ&output=html
 
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Posted: #412
spreadsheets.google.com/pub?key=tU1bm-tnxs54EnGibSt7yrQ&output=html
 
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Posted: #413
Quote Originally Posted by smitler:



spreadsheets.google.com/pub?key=tU1bm-tnxs54EnGibSt7yrQ&output=html


Unbelievable! Only way to view that spreadsheet is to keep quoting this post. I just can't figure it out.

Nice clean up tonight plus getting the 2nd middle of the season.
PHI and TAM were the only letdowns.

Short on time today or I would have posted the plays.

No plays until Oct 20.
 
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Posted: #414

Quote Originally Posted by smitler:



Unbelievable! Only way to view that spreadsheet is to keep quoting this post. I just can't figure it out.

Nice clean up tonight plus getting the 2nd middle of the season.
PHI and TAM were the only letdowns.

Short on time today or I would have posted the plays.

No plays until Oct 20.

Smitler, on the speadsheet, on the MIN 14th line, it shows the16th RPL was  a winner, Was that EDM? If it is, EDM lost 5-3 and didn't cover the +1.5 PL.

I am confused about how to play the losing RPL teams, Do you play them at home as a fav? Do you wait until next road game for them?

Thanks

 
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Posted: #415
Min played clb at home on the 16th.
It was a B play on CLB +1.5. They won outright 3-2.

Remember the system is for the home team to win (or PL if dog) 1 game during their home stand and for whatever team they are playing to get a PL win.
There are always 2 plays to start each series. The best case is for the home team to win by 1 on their first game.  Then you get a double winner (home team ML and road team PL).
The only exception is when the home team is a dog.  Then there will only be one play (home team PL).
 
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Posted: #416

Okay Think I have it now. Which RPL team to play was my problem. I thought you played the same "A" RPL team in the "B" game if they lost. But it's the next team to play the Home team on the RPL.

Thanks Smitler

 
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Posted: #417
funny situation on Matchbook tonight... Boston is favored ML but Washington is still giving 1.5 on the PL.  So bet that ML at -107 instead of the PL at -stupid.

good luck tonight!
 
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Posted: #418
Quote Originally Posted by bombCanada:

funny situation on Matchbook tonight... Boston is favored ML but Washington is still giving 1.5 on the PL.  So bet that ML at -107 instead of the PL at -stupid.

good luck tonight!


I didn't notice they were 1.5 dogs untill after I placed a Boston ML play.  Hopefully Bos wins outright.
Picked up that C on Carolina PL last night.
Not sure if putting that A-Boston PL play on line 1 was the right thing to do or not.
This labby shit drives me nuts.
Platinum Sports Investing Blog is on Detroit -1.5 and Boston ML tonight so I laid off the CGY PL play.
 
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Posted: #419
Great night except for phi. They disgust me.
There will be a D game on the 23rd.
Nobody seems to want to win when they have a 4 or more game homestand.  Had problems last year too.

I think we have a new series starting tomorrow.
 
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Posted: #420
smitler do you have the spreadsheets for NOV yet? thank you sir.
 
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Posted: #421
Quote Originally Posted by longstah:

smitler do you have the spreadsheets for NOV yet? thank you sir.


Not yet.

A_Van ml_-210
A_Min pl__-170
 
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Posted: #422
ok, thank you sir.
 
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Posted: #423
Quote Originally Posted by smitler:



spreadsheets.google.com/pub?key=tU1bm-tnxs54EnGibSt7yrQ&output=html

8 plays tonight.
3 new series starting with Chicago, Ottawa, and Dallas. All Home favs so 3 RPL plays too.
I laid off Columbus PL since PSIB is on Chicago -1.5.

D play on Phi. I moved 40 of that disaster to 2 new lines.

B play on Ana PL.
 
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Posted: #424
Not sure I'd lay off your system just because it conflicts with PSI Blog.  The system bets mostly dogs and w/l percentage is below 50.

Separately if Labby is making you nuts then you're either overthinking it or have missed a point somewhere along the way.  It's just different.
 
 
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Posted: #425
The system wins tonight and PSI loses.  That's usually the way it goes with conflicts, 50/50.

Good news is I would rather have the RPLs hit first since the juice is so high.
Bad news is all the damn home teams lost (Chi WTF?).

Two new series starting tomorrow and they are NYR and CGY.

That labby, its something else. I am overthinking it, but that's me.
I don't think I'm playing it like others do with separate lines for A, B, and C games. Just have to see where it takes me.
Its all seems to be just a modified martingale.
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