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NHL Home Chase

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Posted: #426
On another note CFB sucks I swear that shit is fixed.
 
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Posted: #427

Quote Originally Posted by smitler:

The system wins tonight and PSI loses.  That's usually the way it goes with conflicts, 50/50.

Good news is I would rather have the RPLs hit first since the juice is so high.
Bad news is all the damn home teams lost (Chi WTF?).

Two new series starting tomorrow and they are NYR and CGY.

That labby, its something else. I am overthinking it, but that's me.
I don't think I'm playing it like others do with separate lines for A, B, and C games. Just have to see where it takes me.
Its all seems to be just a modified martingale.

smitler

If you're not using A,B, or C lines for each game ("A" being the first game of the chase, "B" second, "C" third), then I believe you'll end up hurting yourself in the long run

I decided to follow the Labourchere method because the boys at PSIC really made it fullproof.  You only need to win 40% of your games to turn a profit.  With this "Home Chase" that your following, as well as the "Road Chase" thread that I started, we stand to make substantial profits by the end of the year, as long as we follow the Labby method the way that the PSIC boys designed it to be followed

The alterations your making to the line system are not only confusing the hell out of you and causing you to over think it (which you admitted), but they're also going to cost you units by the end of the year

Just trying to help.  You are of course welcome to play the money management anyway you want to.  I just feel you're harming yourself by doing it this way, as I've been following your thread from the beginning (silently)

 
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Posted: #428

More of a "if it ain't broke, don't fix it" opinion on my end

 
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Posted: #429
Quote Originally Posted by smitler:



spreadsheets.google.com/pub?key=tU1bm-tnxs54EnGibSt7yrQ&output=html


Good: Both Home teams won
Bad: Both high juice RPLs lost
Good: Only played the RPLs for 1/2 unit

1 new series starts tomorrow LA-285@MIN-115. Both to win 10.

7 plays Tuesday Oct 26
 
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Posted: #430
LA  line up to -305 at BMaker and -330 at BPhoenix.
Should have got action on it last night.
 
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Posted: #431
Smitler...when will ajm begin sir?
 
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Posted: #432
Quote Originally Posted by avenue:

Smitler...when will ajm begin sir?


Pokerpro may have it handled.
 
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Posted: #433
Quote Originally Posted by smitler:



Pokerpro may have it handled.
Im partial to your record keeping if its not too much trouble sir.
 
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Posted: #434
Latest update is we cleared a fair amount of series last night and got another middle with EDM/CGY. Dallas and Phoenix let us down.
We need Chicago and Atlanta to get it done tonight.
I missed an Option 1.1 winner on Detroit October 23 so I crossed out 2 numbers on the labby line.

I will update record and units at months end.
 
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Posted: #435

Smitler, do you go update the spreadsheet schedule with the november plays?

Thanks in advance!

 

 
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Posted: #436
Quote Originally Posted by semaper:

Smitler, do you go update the spreadsheet schedule with the november plays?

Thanks in advance!

 



I will try to get it done today.
 
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Posted: #437
Quote Originally Posted by smitler:



spreadsheets.google.com/pub?key=tU1bm-tnxs54EnGibSt7yrQ&output=html


Dallas, Florida, and Calgary certainly didn't help the cause last night.

Fortunately I messed up and only played Calgary for 10. That more than makes up for missing the Detroit win on the 23rd.
Not yet sure how I will handle the Calgary loss on the labby line.  Will probably base some of it on opening line and line movement. Basically SWAG it.

I don't see any plays on October 29, but brace yourself for a huge potential 12-game card on October 30.
 
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Posted: #438
October 30 Plays.
Substantial line movement on some games since this morning.
Gonna try to track them to notice trends.

I moved CGY to a new line because they have two tough home games remaining and they are now home dogs with high juice.

Worried about the MIN game, but I decided to roll with it anyway.

Trying to use color coding to track labby line money moves.

November schedule is on its way.

A phi -200/210
13.5
A2 min -120/105
54.4
D dal -120
31
B4 cgy -290pl/300
10
A col -145/140
10
A la -160/135
10



A nyi/phi -190/165
24
A2 chi/min -300
10
C2 bos/ott ml-120/125
9.5
A4 buf/dal -270/-300
10
A clb/col -230/240
10.77
A nj/la -210/250
10






 
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Posted: #439
Quote Originally Posted by smitler:



spreadsheets.google.com/pub?key=tU1bm-tnxs54EnGibSt7yrQ&output=html


Genius move on CGY but idiot move with MIN.

No Plays till Nov 1.

Will finish out home stands that started in October on the Oct2011 Plays sheet.  Once they wrap up I will post a w/l record and unit count.

Home stands starting in November is posted.  Tweaked the format so teams that have more than 1 home stand during the month are listed on a separate line (Anaheim among a few others).
 
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Posted: #440
Smitler, continued good work and my sincere thanks for this.  It looks like you're doing well, and I do enjoy how you continue to evolve the systems and the tracking. 

Sorry I can't offer more support, I have a new job where I spend 4.5 hrs per day commuting now, and it's all I can do to get my day's plays posted.
 
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Posted: #441

Smitler, thanks for the hard and good work that you do for us!

 

 
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Posted: #442
Nice pickup with Carolina tonight, but we still have work to do to get these lines cleared.
Big play with Minnesota Tomorrow.  Not sure if I will play to win all that loot or split it up.  Will do some research beforehand.

I will clear all the crossed out plays tomorrow to clean up the labby lobby.
 
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Posted: #443
spreadsheets.google.com/pub?key=tU1bm-tnxs54EnGibSt7yrQ&output=html
 
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Posted: #444
spreadsheets.google.com/pub?key=tU1bm-tnxs54EnGibSt7yrQ&output=html
 
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Posted: #445
spreadsheets.google.com/pub?key=tU1bm-tnxs54EnGibSt7yrQ&output=html
 
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Posted: #446
https://spreadsheets.google.com/pub?key=0AhVKY8GzoikLdFUxYm0tdG54czU0RW5HaWJTdDd5clE&hl=en&output=html
 
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Posted: #447
Finally! Note to self.
Share
Publish as web page
HTML to embed in a page
copy and paste:
https://spreadsheets.google.com/pub?key=0AhVKY8GzoikLdFUxYm0tdG54czU0RW5HaWJTdDd5clE&hl=en&output=html



 
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Posted: #448
One match tonight with Wild PL -260
moved 20 to a new line so $96.50 to get $37.12

 
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Posted: #449
Moved labby line to November worksheet, however, the remaining October plays (except LA) are still listed on the October worksheet.


A was -240
20
A ana -110
19.5
C3 cgy pl-270
35












A TB/ana -280
19
A tor/was -155
10
B4 pit/dal ml -115
35

 
 
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Posted: #450
Really PIT, you couldn't nut up for clean sweep! UFB!
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