NHL Home Chase

I was wrong as usual. TB covered against WAS.

eek.  Canes worst road team, yet fave by a small bit.  scared to see the vig on the PL.  stay away from them considering theyre the worst road team? OR, play the PL and risk an absurd amount only cuz theyre playing Edm who's on a terrible losing streak....hmmm..

Smitler- Since pittsburgh home for 3 games, tonight the 3rd home game, pick them for SU win over Buffalo?? Thanks

PIT beat DET yesterday. All chases complete.
CAR not a play on these sytems.

Two plays for me tonight.
B ANA pl / FLA
B PHI pl / CGY

spreadsheets.google.com/pub?key=tU1bm-tnxs54EnGibSt7yrQ&output=html

Whats your leans on Pitts, and Calgary game then today? Thanks

PIT under
PHI pl

Smitler,

been playing your AJM plays since Dec.1 and the Kangy O/U system as well.  This have been very profitable as you well know.  However, since the Kangy system seems to be hitting a bit of a speedbump "as he said it would", I'm interested in trying the 1.0, 3.0, or the 3.1 system.  I'm not a big $ amount better so I will probably just try one of them.  The record for the 3.0 is best of course but the 1.0 and 3.0 allow more plays.  Since you seem like the patriarch of these systems, I will trust your opinion on which one is best to play.

Also, I studied the spreadsheet you posted and I had a difficult time understanding certain aspects.  Is there perhaps a place where all these plays are posted prior to face-off? If not, a basic understanding of the 3 versions of the systems would be greatly appreciated.

Thank you in advance!

We all appreciate what you are doing here my friend, keep up the good work.

Option 1.1 just expands on 1.0. If a chase wins and there are 3 or more home games left. A new chase is started to go for another win.
Same with option 2.0/2.1 and 3.0/3.1
Some people might say your pushing your luck and only play 1.0, 2.0, and/or 3.0.
I play 1.1 and 3.1.
If you go back a page or two it explains what each system is.
I don't get involved with money mangement because that's a personal choice whether you Labby (crossout), Martingale, or flat bet them.

I will post a new update in here after Feb. 6.  Boston has 1 more home game to get a win to close out January.

On the spreadsheet you only need to be looking at the "FEB Plays" sheet.  Those are plays for Option 1.0 and 1.1 (HML or HPL) and Option 3.0 and 3.1 (RPL).
Look at that sheet and if there is something you don't understand I will clarify. 

Any leans on Calgary and Florida?

Alright brother, lets see if I got this figured out!

Soooooooooo, starting Feb. 6 you have 3 new series because MINN, TB ,and CLB all won straight up on the 4th at home.  The next 3 games for each (MINN, TB, and CLB) are at home "which is necessary to start a new chase".  If lets say MINN only had 2 more games at home after a win (at home) you would not start a series.

Ok..........pretty sure I got it, right?

Now,  if you play 1.1 you bet the home team to win (HML) or (HPL) if underdog.  If you play 3.1 you take the road team on the puck line (RPL).

So, if it's an [A,B,C] chase, then on the A bet you essentially take both sides, just like you do with the NBA JM/AJM system, and then bet B & C accordingly.

Do I got her all fingered out man?

Thanks again man!

 

You got it.  
Thanks for pointing out the new/second chases.  I had them listed on one sheet, but not the other. Its updated now.

Don't forget MON and COL start tomorrow too.

Be careful with the long home stands.  About once a month it takes four or five games to hit the chase.  It adds up quick with that juice.

Record for chase options starting in January. Last one ended Feb. 6.
1.0:  32-2
1.1:  52-2

2.0:  28-5
2.1:  36-5

3.0:  31-0
3.1:  37-0

Results of all three systems since season start through Feb. 6:
System requirement is 3 or more game home stand.
You decide your own money management style.

Option 1.0: 113-6  Chase home team to win or PL if dog
Option 1.1: 169-9  New chase after win if 3 or more games remain 


Option 2.0: 104-14    Chase road team ML
Option 2.1: 142-19  New chase after win if 3 or more games remain

Option 3.0: 114-1  Chase road team PL
Option 3.1: 164-1  New chase after win if 3 or more games remain

February record through the 6th.
1.0:   7-0
1.1: 10-0

2.0:  1-1 (5 chases pending)
2.1:  same as 2.0

3.0:  2-0 (2 chases pending)
3.1   2-0 (3 chase pending)

No plays Sunday.

I haven't been around much of all lately but good work simtler.......

Montana you been doing any of that forex stuff?  I want to get into it but wonder how time consuming it is.

Hey Smitler, wanted to make sure i'm playing this correct.  Tonight for the 3.3 option you would take STL +1.5 (-270)?

 

sorry 3.1 option

Thx for asking
I wish man........
Work accompanied with the bullsh%t of life have kept me from manning my battle stations with that and recently have got in the way of my wagering plans causing to take some time off for a while
Depends how you want to look at
If you have an idea of what's what there are ways to just put minutes in per day to set your entry and exit points whether you plan to intraday, day, or swing trade. Your automatic stop / limit levels take care of the rest literally while you're sleeping. Nothing waking up to see more loot in your account from the night before when you fell asleep
For me personally its like hitting up the gym. I gotta warm up before I hit the weights heavy
Just me though....... Probably take a few weeks to knock the rust off, set up a game plan, get caught up to speed news wise, get an account going, etc.... Everyone is different though
Its most important to have a plan of attack
My ways are to get into the game slowly and getting a feel for the markets through mad different angles
Yes that takes more time but if its our friend and not our enemy, then we're cool
Just like a balloon, if you squeeze it at one end it will expand at the other end
Through the fundamentals as above ( by trading off the new of the day ) it takes more time to be involved and have a plan of attack
On the plus there is so much more opportunity for profits cause of all the international news going on 24-7 6 days a week in the forex along with knowing how the other financial markets, geo-political news,  and weather trends can all effect the forex market.
Utilizing certain software, websites, networking with other people, can also save you a lot of time for technical analysis style by placing your trades through reading the charts alone without the news of the day through fundamental analysis
If you want go check out bucknuts over at investment forum and he'll be glad to help you along your way in which you seek by investing little time to make some loot.
I think too he's got a somewhat simple strategy just be reading off the charts and from there placing his trades.
No need to be intimidated by a new avenue of making money
It took time but I taught myself and still have way more to learn just as I am with sports betting.
And money management wise its a lot like sports betting with your BR. Only its all about levering, and the % of your portfolio at play
If you want, you can friend me and / or bucknuts up so  we can PM you by some websites with plenty of info to learn with and great forums like this here where just as we are on the same page here against the books - cats in these forums are all on the same page in forex trading and making money any way you think of
Great resources but respecting the policy here its not allowed to publicly post them up which I respect.
He might have them posted up in his thread somewhere or at least prior months threads or something, he knows

At the end of the day its great of you to ask and I appreciate it
We're all in the same boat here with the same mission
Hopefully on the side you can slowly and correctly get your feet wet over time and then you can add the forex game to your arsenal in bringing home the bacon
The more, the merrier......... You'll love it, its like crack
Let me know what's up if you're still interested



..................

Unfortunately you are right. Hope you skipped that side.
Look at the bright side, COL won the 1st game of the second chase to make that PL loss not sting as bad. Hope you did bet that side.

Just going off possible flashbacks, there are three teams that seem to kick ass at home (COL, WAS, and DET).

nope it stings!

unfortunatly I decided to start playing the system tonight and decided to just play the 3.1 option.  I passed on the 1.1 option.  it doesn't sting to bad though, just a small play.  With my luck at hockey last week (Kangy system), I don't know maybe it's wise to stick to NBA till after the olyimpic break and just bag the hockey.  The Kangy system put a drastic dent in my bankroll along with the damn Suns, and with the juice so high on the 3.1 system maybe I should wait till I build my roll again.  I would hate to miss out on some profit here though????  I'm a lilttle spun man trying to figure out which route is best.  Thanks again man!

 

Plays for tonight

1.0 option:  Fla @ [Car] -125 (HML)

3.0 option:  [Fla] @ Car -285 (RPL)

 

1.0 option:  Det @ [Stl]  -265 (HPL)

2.0 option:  [Det] @ Stl  -135 (RML)

oops!  messed up writing it up. I would be.............

1.0 option: Fla @ [Car] -125 (HML)

3.0 option: [Fla] @ Car +1.5 (RPL)

 

1.0 option: Det @ [Stl] +1.5 (HPL)

2.0 option:  [Det] @ Stl  -135 (RML)

 

I think this is right.  Still trying to wrap my head around it.

 

1.0 CAR
3.0 FLA +1.5

1.0 STL +1.5
3.0 No Play.  I don't play unless RPL is available