01/07/22

52-64 -29.475

-50, here I come :)

The Fever lines are getting higher and higher.  At some point they’ll be high enough right?  Same thing happened last year.  Awful start and then later in the year they covered something like 10/12.

SPARKS@WINGS

I assume that Canada will not play and that both Sabally and Gray will suit up. Waiting for confirmation. Dallas has looked awful of late and got smacked around by 26 in Minnesota. Despite the huge loss and reinforcements, I still don't think they turn it around today. 

Home teams off a road loss of 20 or more:

SU:48-70 (-2.2,40.7%) ATS:47-69-2 (-1.7,40.5%)0.5OU:54-60-4 (0.8,47.4%)157.97

Dallas shot 29% from the field last game and 31% from 3, hitting 5 total. 

Home teams off a road loss where they shot less than 35% from the floor and three, and hit 5 or less threes:

SU:20-38 (-3.3,34.5%) ATS:19-38-1 (-2.8,33.3%)0.48OU:29-29-0 (-1.1,50.0%)154.7

Favs:

SU:12-14 (1.3,46.2%) ATS:8-18 (-4.7,30.8%)-6.0OU:15-11-0 (-0.3,57.7%)152.5

Home teams off a road loss where they shot less than 32% from the floor and three, and hit 5 or less threes:

SU:4-15 (-6.0,21.1%) ATS:6-13 (-4.2,31.6%)1.82OU:10-9-0 (1.1,52.6%)153.03

Favs:

SU:1*-6 (-2.6,14.3%) ATS:1*-6 (-8.1,14.3%)-5.57OU:4-3-0 (7.1,57.1%)150.07       *Line of -4.5 and the team covered on the hook, winning by 5.

Take the locations out and combine. Teams off a loss of 20 or more where they shot less than 32% from the floor and three, and hit 5 or less threes:

SU:9-34 (-7.7,20.9%) ATS:14-27-2 (-2.0,34.1%)5.67OU:26-17-0 (5.9,60.5%)153.99

+ coming off a road game where all that shit happened:

SU:6-22 (-7.0,21.4%) ATS:11-17 (-2.0,39.3%)4.96OU:16-12-0 (6.7,57.1%)154.88

+ home teams coming off a road game with all the stuffs:

SU:1*-8 (-8.6,11.1%) ATS:2-7 (-9.3,22.2%)-0.72OU:5-4-0 (4.1,55.6%)152.06                 *Line of -4.5 and the team covered on the hook, winning by 5.

+ home favs badda boom badda bing:

SU:1*-4 (-2.8,20.0%) ATS:1*-4 (-8.7,20.0%)-5.9OU:3-2-0 (10.0,60.0%)150.4                 *Line of -4.5 and the team covered on the hook, winning by 5.

You loss both yesterday aren’t you 52-66 now 

@WNBASharp31

 Ah, a fellow masochist. Greetings. 

Teams have performed exceptionally well after losing back to back games to the same team, which is the spot Indiana is in tonight. This team is actually 0-2SU but 2-0 ATS in this spot this season. Lost back to back games to the dream and then covered in Connecticut as 13 point dogs(closed around 16). They lost the next game against CON as well and then covered in Chicago as 13 point dogs. For the third time this season, Fever have lost back to back games to the same team and now head on the road as 13 point dogs. 

@Pho-20

 Absolutely correct. I copy and paste the old record and then adjust. Got the money down, just forgot to adjust losses. Thanks

@Pho-20

 Nice hit with Atlanta yesterday

Correction:        52-66    -29.475 units

ACES@LYNX

Lynx coming off a 26 pt beatdown of Dallas. I thought the bubble was going to burst for Minnesota but I'm done thinking that way, for now. They could pick up some big wins soon (like tonight?) and then maybe there's a little let down but who knows. Great chemistry on this team. Really impressed with coaching decisions throughout the game, playing with purpose for Sylvia, good mix of youth and vets, etc. Not sure exactly what the ceiling is for this team but the way they are playing right now it's hard to see them missing the playoffs despite their 11th place ranking and 6-14 record. Last season, the Lynx started 0-4. On June 25th they had a 1 pt OT home victory against the Aces that brought them to .500 (7-7). From that point forward, the team was 15-3 and they finished the season 2nd in their conference and 3rd overall. Obviously 6-14 is a larger hole but this season is 4 games longer. Besides, there are 8 playoff spots and only 5 of the 12 WNBA teams currently sit above .500  Also, none of the 7 teams under .500 have more than 9 wins. The Lynx also started this season 0-4, then played at .500 for 4 games. Then things got a lot worse losing 7 some their next 8 and hitting a 5 game losing streak which ended on June 21st in Phoenix. This team might just be 3-3 SU in its last 6 but 6-0ATS. Those 3 losses include a 1 point loss in Las Vegas, a 3 point loss in Chicago on a buzzer beater, and a 2 point loss to Seattle.11th place is totally still in this. 

Home teams off a home win of more than 20:

SU:76-29 (7.0,72.4%) ATS:59-45-1 (1.4,56.7%)-5.58OU:44-58-3 (-2.7,43.1%)160.24

Refine to home dogs off a home win of more than 20:

SU:14-7 (2.6,66.7%) ATS:14-7 (6.3,66.7%)3.69OU:13-7-1 (1.6,65.0%)161.17

Home dogs off a home win of more than 25:

SU:7-1* (9.4,87.5%) ATS:7-1* (13.2,87.5%)3.81OU:5-3-0 (-0.1,62.5%)161.0         *two point dogs that lost by 3.

Home dogs off a home win as a fav of more than 25:

SU:5-0 (10.0,100.0%) ATS:5-0 (12.8,100.0%)2.8OU:3-2-0 (0.0,60.0%)159.6

@WNBASharp31

 Danielle Robinson (Probable)

Victoria Vivians (Questionable)

LV Aces @ MIN Lynx +4.5 (-110) 4U

LV Aces @ MIN Lynx ML (+160) 1U

LV Aces @ MIN Lynx UNDER 175.0 (-110) 1U

LA Sparks +5 (-110) @ DAL Wings 4U

LA Sparks ML (+170) @ DAL Wings 1U

LA Sparks @ DAL Wings OVER 167.0 (-110) 1U

IND Fever +13 (-110) @ SEA Storm 2U