Ok, been 13-3 this week in the WNBA contest since my last post. After a sluggish start, am picking up steam and getting a feel for what the oddsmakers are doing in Lost Wages. Had a moment to shed light on today's games, here we go:
#1 - UNDER 154.5 SAN ANTONIO/SEATTLE...
This is a serious trap, hats off to the oddsmakers for opening this at 149.5. That was the exact opening line in the Wash/Chicago game yesterday that never had a chance, even with overtime play. Opening this below 150 is like laying a steak in front of a hungry bear and the bettors are biting! I'll side with the house and the experts here, 139 points is my guess. Both teams should be tired, it should show in the shooting %'s. San Antonio off a marathon 108-103 battle, and Seattle playing 3 games in 4 nights, which spanned across the entire country.
#2 SAN ANTONIO +9.5
San Antonio has had the road trip from hell this week. First, they lost late in Atlanta in Hammon's first game back. They were down just 3 with 24 ticks left and played the Dream tight throughout, this despite a rough 5-15 shooting night from their ace. Friday, they defeated Phoenix on the road in a flat out marathon, 108-103. Seattle, has serious mileage coming into tonight, playing 3 games in the last 4 nights covering the entire country. This has to play a factor here. San Antonio, is without a doubt, the team that needs this game more to climb back into contention. I'm not saying they will pull a straight W, but the 9.5 are too much to pass up in this spot.
#3 CONNECTICUT +4.5
Don't understand this line. Should have been 4-6 range. To open it at 2.5 is begging you to take the Mercury. Connecticut has shit the bed on the road all season. They barely beat a bad LA squad without their star player who did everything for them. But that win gives them confidence and momentum here. Add to the fact that Phoenix plays no defense, I'll take the points here.
#4 OVER 183.5 CONNECTICUT/PHOENIX
Connecticut shoots bad in road games, but looks like the Harlem Globnetrotters in warmups. Since Phoenix plays no defense at all, I expect the Sun to believe they are in warmups all night tonight. The Mercury will go bananas as well, 90's apiece means an over tonight!
GLTA,
MDOG
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