I backed Lynx in the first game without Fowles. That was a mistake. To expect the team to turn around like that so quick was a mistake, especially with two players coming back from injury. Just not enough time to adjust. In their next (and most recent) game, I expected the offense to look a lot better. I stayed away from sides because the Fever have been my kryptonite since winning with them in my first post. I did take the over though which looked good and probably should have cashed but fell just short. Despite the L, Minnesota did look a lot better. Dantas clearly still needs a bit of time but Milic really picked it up last game and Carleton was ultra aggressive. The latter should continue to improve as she transitions from role player to focus point. In the same way that the last game probably should have gone over the total, Minnesota also probably should have won that game. There were a lot of calls in that 4th quarter that went the way of the Fever and Reeve was absolutely fuming by the end of the game. I think the Lynx feel cheated out of this win and I don't disagree with them. Love to bet on a team that feels disrespected like that.
I am looking for the Lynx to further improve in this transition to life without Fowles and take out the anger of losing to the worst team in the league (until they beat the Lynx) on Seattle. So will the Storm match their energy tonight? First of all, Bird and Russel are out. Storm are 2-1 without Bird and have gone 3-2 with Russel since joining the team 5 games ago. Not much there. Losing a big evens the playing field a bit with Fowles out but Russel avgs less than 11 mins per game and Magbegor is a stud regardless. Besides, Seattle is 11th in the league for points in the paint. I don't expect them to really punish Minnesota down low. McBride is probable for Minnesota. Hoping she plays.
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
22-31 -7.05
STORM@LYNX
I backed Lynx in the first game without Fowles. That was a mistake. To expect the team to turn around like that so quick was a mistake, especially with two players coming back from injury. Just not enough time to adjust. In their next (and most recent) game, I expected the offense to look a lot better. I stayed away from sides because the Fever have been my kryptonite since winning with them in my first post. I did take the over though which looked good and probably should have cashed but fell just short. Despite the L, Minnesota did look a lot better. Dantas clearly still needs a bit of time but Milic really picked it up last game and Carleton was ultra aggressive. The latter should continue to improve as she transitions from role player to focus point. In the same way that the last game probably should have gone over the total, Minnesota also probably should have won that game. There were a lot of calls in that 4th quarter that went the way of the Fever and Reeve was absolutely fuming by the end of the game. I think the Lynx feel cheated out of this win and I don't disagree with them. Love to bet on a team that feels disrespected like that.
I am looking for the Lynx to further improve in this transition to life without Fowles and take out the anger of losing to the worst team in the league (until they beat the Lynx) on Seattle. So will the Storm match their energy tonight? First of all, Bird and Russel are out. Storm are 2-1 without Bird and have gone 3-2 with Russel since joining the team 5 games ago. Not much there. Losing a big evens the playing field a bit with Fowles out but Russel avgs less than 11 mins per game and Magbegor is a stud regardless. Besides, Seattle is 11th in the league for points in the paint. I don't expect them to really punish Minnesota down low. McBride is probable for Minnesota. Hoping she plays.
Schedule-wise, I think this is a difficult game for Seattle to get up for. It is the 14th today and since the 3rd they have had 3 games against the Wings (2-1), threw one away at home against Connecticut and secured a solid win against Atlanta. 3 games in 10 days against Dallas is crazy. Dallas is 4 of 5 games through their stretch of playing LV and SEA the two teams they trail in the West. They stole the first one in Seattle but then dropped two straight at home. These are two huge road wins for Seattle that now has a two game lead on Dallas and sits 5th overall in the W. These were both hard fought 40 minutes games on the road and Seattle won them both. The Lynx now sit alone at 12th after their loss to Indiana. 2 game win steak for Seattle. 3 game losing streak for Minnesota. After this game, Minnesota doesn't play again until the 19th in Las Vegas. As a matter of fact, after this game the next time Minnesota will face a team other than LV, DAL, CHI, or PHX is July 15th in Indiana on a back to back. Literally over a month from now and still not a good spot but I'm fairly certain they have that game circled. Anyway, that is a month from now. The Mercury are playing a lot better than their record right now and even if Dallas has stumbled a bit this is a very rough month of games where it should be very difficult for the Lynx to pick up wins. Tonight, I think they might get one though. The rest of the month for Seattle, looking back as well as forward is a lot more challenging on paper than this game tonight. This is the middle of a 5 game road trip for Seattle. They got two big road wins to start and the 4th game is in Connecticut where they will absolutely be looking for revenge for giving up that game in Seattle just over a week ago. Even without revenge, this was a potential look ahead spot but knowing the recent history makes it even stronger in my mind. The road trip will end in NY where Seattle will face a very different Liberty team from the one they beat by 31 with 4 players out but that's for another day.
Seattle hangs their hat on defense but that takes energy and focus, both of which I think will be lacking tonight. Outscoring a team is also "more fun" and I think that might be Seattle's approach early on as they underestimate this hungry 3 win team. Lynx offense should continue to improve with more time as well as players getting healthier.
Note: Seattle has 8 wins but Pythagoras has em at 7. Minnesota has 3 wins but Pythagoras puts em at 4.
SEA Storm @ MIN Lynx +8 (-110) 4U
SEA Storm @ MIN Lynx ML (+265) 1U
SEA Storm @ MIN Lynx OVER 157.0 (-110) 1U
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Schedule-wise, I think this is a difficult game for Seattle to get up for. It is the 14th today and since the 3rd they have had 3 games against the Wings (2-1), threw one away at home against Connecticut and secured a solid win against Atlanta. 3 games in 10 days against Dallas is crazy. Dallas is 4 of 5 games through their stretch of playing LV and SEA the two teams they trail in the West. They stole the first one in Seattle but then dropped two straight at home. These are two huge road wins for Seattle that now has a two game lead on Dallas and sits 5th overall in the W. These were both hard fought 40 minutes games on the road and Seattle won them both. The Lynx now sit alone at 12th after their loss to Indiana. 2 game win steak for Seattle. 3 game losing streak for Minnesota. After this game, Minnesota doesn't play again until the 19th in Las Vegas. As a matter of fact, after this game the next time Minnesota will face a team other than LV, DAL, CHI, or PHX is July 15th in Indiana on a back to back. Literally over a month from now and still not a good spot but I'm fairly certain they have that game circled. Anyway, that is a month from now. The Mercury are playing a lot better than their record right now and even if Dallas has stumbled a bit this is a very rough month of games where it should be very difficult for the Lynx to pick up wins. Tonight, I think they might get one though. The rest of the month for Seattle, looking back as well as forward is a lot more challenging on paper than this game tonight. This is the middle of a 5 game road trip for Seattle. They got two big road wins to start and the 4th game is in Connecticut where they will absolutely be looking for revenge for giving up that game in Seattle just over a week ago. Even without revenge, this was a potential look ahead spot but knowing the recent history makes it even stronger in my mind. The road trip will end in NY where Seattle will face a very different Liberty team from the one they beat by 31 with 4 players out but that's for another day.
Seattle hangs their hat on defense but that takes energy and focus, both of which I think will be lacking tonight. Outscoring a team is also "more fun" and I think that might be Seattle's approach early on as they underestimate this hungry 3 win team. Lynx offense should continue to improve with more time as well as players getting healthier.
Note: Seattle has 8 wins but Pythagoras has em at 7. Minnesota has 3 wins but Pythagoras puts em at 4.
OT win for Mercury last game. PHX is definitely playing better ball these days. 5-8 but 3 of those wins are in their last 3 games. I would like to trust Washington to stop that tonight and cover the number but I don't. The total in this game is intriguing to me though. Last game had a line of 160.5 and finished at 189. Yes that was OT. It still hit 170 in regulation. The current line is 161. 3 of the last 4 games for Washington have gone over this number and twice by 10 or more. 3 of the last 4 PHX games have gone over this number and all three times by 15+. Tired legs from OT, PHX regression, Washington slowing the pace with EDD back in and leaning on their defense for revenge. Let's go under
PHX Mercury @ WAS Mystics UNDER 161.0 (-110) 1U
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MERCURY@MYSTICS
OT win for Mercury last game. PHX is definitely playing better ball these days. 5-8 but 3 of those wins are in their last 3 games. I would like to trust Washington to stop that tonight and cover the number but I don't. The total in this game is intriguing to me though. Last game had a line of 160.5 and finished at 189. Yes that was OT. It still hit 170 in regulation. The current line is 161. 3 of the last 4 games for Washington have gone over this number and twice by 10 or more. 3 of the last 4 PHX games have gone over this number and all three times by 15+. Tired legs from OT, PHX regression, Washington slowing the pace with EDD back in and leaning on their defense for revenge. Let's go under
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