Chi TT under 73 I'm
a firm believer of history and so I look to the last time a team as
dominant as Phx rolled into the Finals and those results because I feel
they are a good indicator of what may happen. To me the last dominant
team was in fact Minn last season 2013 when they barely lost a game last
2 months of season and swept through the playoffs to a Championship. In
game 1 of the Finals an unblemished Minn team was hosting a red hot Atl
team that after losing their 1st conf semi to Wash, righted the ship
and rolled thru Wash and Indy in a sweep. This was a pretty potent Atl
team mind you. They proceeded to go into Minn in game 1 of the Finals
and get demolished 84-59. In fact, in sweeping Atl Minn only gave up 59,
63 and 77pts to Atl. In the 2012 Final it was Minn limping in with a
loss and a couple scurvy 1pt wins to reach the Finals and they faced a
red hot Indy team that went into Minn and won 76-70. 2011 showed probably the 2nd best Minn team that cruised into the Finals and yet again beat a hot Atl team in game 1 88-74. Now
mind you there are some big differences this season: all of the past
game 1 Finals occurred in early to mid October, with this condensed year
game 1 is a whole month earlier. Also, all the past game 1's have been
at 8pm EST, we get an early 3:30 EST start. The main points I take
away from this is #1 Chi is no Atl of years past, they have been
fortunate to play teams in Atl and Indy that imploded on themselves #2
Chi is more than overdue for a beating on the road having won in Atl
81-80, had a relatively close loss in Indy 70-77 then just won in Indy
75-62 and #3 it is very difficult for a road team to get their footing
in the 1st game of a Finals much less a rd team that has overachieved on
the rd to the Finals. It is not unusual to see teams in the Finals lose
by 15-20pts and this to me feels like the game Chi finally takes the
beating they have avoided until now. 83-67 Phx
All Out
0
the drive to stay above 75
a play a game in the Finals right Curry?
Chi TT under 73 I'm
a firm believer of history and so I look to the last time a team as
dominant as Phx rolled into the Finals and those results because I feel
they are a good indicator of what may happen. To me the last dominant
team was in fact Minn last season 2013 when they barely lost a game last
2 months of season and swept through the playoffs to a Championship. In
game 1 of the Finals an unblemished Minn team was hosting a red hot Atl
team that after losing their 1st conf semi to Wash, righted the ship
and rolled thru Wash and Indy in a sweep. This was a pretty potent Atl
team mind you. They proceeded to go into Minn in game 1 of the Finals
and get demolished 84-59. In fact, in sweeping Atl Minn only gave up 59,
63 and 77pts to Atl. In the 2012 Final it was Minn limping in with a
loss and a couple scurvy 1pt wins to reach the Finals and they faced a
red hot Indy team that went into Minn and won 76-70. 2011 showed probably the 2nd best Minn team that cruised into the Finals and yet again beat a hot Atl team in game 1 88-74. Now
mind you there are some big differences this season: all of the past
game 1 Finals occurred in early to mid October, with this condensed year
game 1 is a whole month earlier. Also, all the past game 1's have been
at 8pm EST, we get an early 3:30 EST start. The main points I take
away from this is #1 Chi is no Atl of years past, they have been
fortunate to play teams in Atl and Indy that imploded on themselves #2
Chi is more than overdue for a beating on the road having won in Atl
81-80, had a relatively close loss in Indy 70-77 then just won in Indy
75-62 and #3 it is very difficult for a road team to get their footing
in the 1st game of a Finals much less a rd team that has overachieved on
the rd to the Finals. It is not unusual to see teams in the Finals lose
by 15-20pts and this to me feels like the game Chi finally takes the
beating they have avoided until now. 83-67 Phx
I had a good feeling that it would be difficult for Chi to find their
footing in G1 due to being on the big stage and overdue for a road
beatdown, they came out nervous and flat and played about as bad as they
could play lucky for us...now we get a G2 on both teams regular
rotation a game every other day, I expect the opening jitters to be gone
replaced by desperation for Chi and an increased pace. I think Phx will
not get the cakewalk they got in G1 and thus will be challenged to
score a bit more and trade buckets for a while. Pokey has to realize
that Quigley and others need to stop and pop and make 4-8' jumpers to
pull Griner away from the basket which will open up the inside out game
for Fowles. Chi is a confident team on the road and I expect to see a
fight to the end from them, unfortunately they are up against one of the
best ladies team ever. I would not start EDD if I was coach and let the
team know that well ahead of time so they know G2 squarely rests on
their shoulders, Chi reserves have had to carry the team during injuries
so should be ready. Having a hobbled EDD helps nobody as it sends mixed
messages and they can always bring her off the bench for energy. Chi
has no reason not to be aggressive the entire game and should let things
fly. G2's usually are faster paced because teams now have their footing
and are in rhythm. In the 4 G2's that each has played in playoffs thus
far all went over this number. Both can and should improve from 3pt land
(8-30) and both should get to the FT line more (17-18), I'd expect Chi
to get to the line at least 20 attempts themselves. I anticipate a game
that gets a good scoring clip at some point with 2 40+pt qtrs and gets
us over the total I was hoping for when I capped G1, a 3pt discount. 88-81 Phx over 155 G2
All Out
0
the drive to stay above 75
I had a good feeling that it would be difficult for Chi to find their
footing in G1 due to being on the big stage and overdue for a road
beatdown, they came out nervous and flat and played about as bad as they
could play lucky for us...now we get a G2 on both teams regular
rotation a game every other day, I expect the opening jitters to be gone
replaced by desperation for Chi and an increased pace. I think Phx will
not get the cakewalk they got in G1 and thus will be challenged to
score a bit more and trade buckets for a while. Pokey has to realize
that Quigley and others need to stop and pop and make 4-8' jumpers to
pull Griner away from the basket which will open up the inside out game
for Fowles. Chi is a confident team on the road and I expect to see a
fight to the end from them, unfortunately they are up against one of the
best ladies team ever. I would not start EDD if I was coach and let the
team know that well ahead of time so they know G2 squarely rests on
their shoulders, Chi reserves have had to carry the team during injuries
so should be ready. Having a hobbled EDD helps nobody as it sends mixed
messages and they can always bring her off the bench for energy. Chi
has no reason not to be aggressive the entire game and should let things
fly. G2's usually are faster paced because teams now have their footing
and are in rhythm. In the 4 G2's that each has played in playoffs thus
far all went over this number. Both can and should improve from 3pt land
(8-30) and both should get to the FT line more (17-18), I'd expect Chi
to get to the line at least 20 attempts themselves. I anticipate a game
that gets a good scoring clip at some point with 2 40+pt qtrs and gets
us over the total I was hoping for when I capped G1, a 3pt discount. 88-81 Phx over 155 G2
I respect your opinion and think your an excellent capper. Just disagree with you on this one. Chi will again struggle, but show a better effort,(couldn't be much worse). Ph will not have the urgency they have shown in the last two games, knowing they are clearly superior. I look for them to cover the spread, and the game to go under again. G.L.
0
I respect your opinion and think your an excellent capper. Just disagree with you on this one. Chi will again struggle, but show a better effort,(couldn't be much worse). Ph will not have the urgency they have shown in the last two games, knowing they are clearly superior. I look for them to cover the spread, and the game to go under again. G.L.
I respect your opinion and think your an excellent capper. Just disagree with you on this one. Chi will again struggle, but show a better effort,(couldn't be much worse). Ph will not have the urgency they have shown in the last two games, knowing they are clearly superior. I look for them to cover the spread, and the game to go under again. G.L.
I see a number of folks just going for PHX ATS and under again, based on GM1, but that is not how it usually works. This is one square lean. Anyway, why are you posting in this thread; what is your record, pal ?
0
Quote Originally Posted by boomersooner18:
I respect your opinion and think your an excellent capper. Just disagree with you on this one. Chi will again struggle, but show a better effort,(couldn't be much worse). Ph will not have the urgency they have shown in the last two games, knowing they are clearly superior. I look for them to cover the spread, and the game to go under again. G.L.
I see a number of folks just going for PHX ATS and under again, based on GM1, but that is not how it usually works. This is one square lean. Anyway, why are you posting in this thread; what is your record, pal ?
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