Posted:
#1
Hey everyone,
Opening up the thread nice and early to get insight and plays
Well the time has come for the teams to really play their best basketball. Unlike the NBA, the girls only get 3 games in the play-offs to try and get into the next round. Some great match-ups and some big spreads have been given to us in these games so far.
My initial leans (not plays)
Mystics +5 & the over. (I really like them and their coach and think they can keep this game close with the Fever). IMO, Fever do not play well under pressure. They are the fav's for this game and they may not keep their stuff together throughout the game. Both teams can go through spells of the game missing shots etc but I think Mystics have the edge on shooting. I think both teams can crack the 70 mark as well for the over.
Dream -2.5 & Under (line is so sus though, makes me nervous taking them especially after last years surprise loss to the Mystics in the 1st game in ATL. This should be around -5) As for the total, seems very high for a play-off game but I guess when you have the Dream averaging around 83 at home, the books make it high.
Dream -2.5 & Under (line is so sus though, makes me nervous taking them especially after last years surprise loss to the Mystics in the 1st game in ATL. This should be around -5) As for the total, seems very high for a play-off game but I guess when you have the Dream averaging around 83 at home, the books make it high.
Mercury -10.5 Under- what can I say about this team.. Too many positive things to list. Sparks are going to find it tough keeping it close. Tolliver is really their only sharp-shooter and even at times she is bad. GL Sparks this series. Mercury beat them last season and that was before BG was in beast mode. I think Mercury locked down on defense and keep the Sparks to a very low score..
Lynx -10.5 & over (in play-offs, you either play on the Lynx or don't play on the game at all IMO). For all those weren't here last season, the Lynx go into beast mode during the post-season and can be very dangerous especially against a Stars team they have dominated for so long (can't look into their last match-up, Lynx motivation = zero) The Stars really don't know how to play defense and the Lynx have put 85+ on the Stars in Minny in the last 5 games there. I think we see another big score from Minny. So if Minny hit 85, can the Stars hit 72 to get the over? I think they can.
BOL everyone. Plenty of time to look through the games before making a decision..
0
Mystics @ Fever: Over 141. (6 bags).
IMO, we gotta be very smart in the play-offs, not trying to play every game because some games are so tough to cap in Play-offs. Like the Stars @ Lynx game. Lynx are beasts post-season but as Ax pointed out, they haven't been playing too well lately. Stars can nail 3's with McBride and Jia Perkins off the bench as well and -10 is a big line to cover in the 1st game so I will be adding more money to my plays but less plays as I personally think this is the smarter way to cap the post-season.
Hot Forum Topics
