WNBA playoffs

33-30 2nd half  

Connecticut losing cost me having my three futures teams in the final four.  I have Atlanta +450, 2 units and Seattle +1767 to win it all, so obviously I am hoping for a Dream/Storm finale.

Any of the four teams could win it, and Phoenix is looking very much like a sleeping giant that has woken up at the right time.  Read somewhere that Taurasi is 13-0 in close out games in her playoff career, that is a pretty amazing stat.  She is a pain in the butt to have to watch go through her theatrics, but no one can deny she steps up when it counts.

For the two series....

I make the Storm -140 to beat the Mercury for the season, game 1 Seattle -4 168....it looks dead even now, with the homecourt being the advantage that makes the Storm the favorite.  Mercury have THE advantage in that they have two weapons that are very hard to stop, Griner inside and Taurasi outside.  Seattle has only one in Stewart and a big coaching edge.  If Seattle were to win game one, I may hedge on the Mercury on game 2, and if they lost that, perhaps in game 3.  I think this goes five games.

Dream -175 for series over  Mystics.   Game 1 Dream -4' 175.   j Dream have been the best team in the league second half of the season and the Mystics have not been too far behind.  Dream matchup well with the Mystics as they can put 2 or 3 different players on EDD.  I wouldn't expect they'd double her like the Sparks foolishly tried to do, in this modern world of basketball it is much better strategy to give up some post buckets than leave open three point shooters to blitzkrieg and demoralize you from downtown.  Toliver is a loose cannon,....she can be all-world for a half and then disappear for the next 3 halves or decide that she will beat the other team all by herself. 

Montgomery has been the best point guard in the league the past month and the Dream are the most athletic team, and the best defensive team in the league....they haven't been on the big stage in their careers, which could be a drawback to their chances.  Still, they get the first two at home and its at home where their defense should shine, which should transition them from regular season to playoff mode.  They should get their share of calls as well being at home and having Hayes slashing to the bucket, causing referees to have to blow their whistles.

I like the Dream's chances in this series.

That’s what it is a dream

Well I don't know what to make of that Desert, but whatever, good luck.

My perception of these teams are elther diluted or the linemaker has spilled coffee on his data entry forms he puts into his computer as he opened with Atlanta pick and 160.  Atlanta at 5Dimes is +140 for the series, which is not in the same universe as mine. 

We're going to see if the adage that defense wins championships holds true in the W with four teams left, as the two home teams have been much superior throughout the year in team defense efficiency.  The Dream in my opinion are the better team and have the better coach and have the better defense.....I don't get the Mystic love.    If Kristi goes off, sure, then any team in the W could be in trouble, but Montgomery has been much the better player throughout the second half of the season.

For either of the teams starting on the road they are going to have to win two road series in a row more than likely to win it....the Mercury have played better this year on the road than at home and give them more of a chance to beat Seattle than the Mystics have of beating the Dream.

I see neither the Mercury or the Mystics  taking their series, maybe that is the dream you were referring to, eh Desert?

We'll see if I'm dreaming soon enough.

Teams off a playoff win where they covered the line by >10 points (Mercury, Mystics) have been 2-8 ATS, 2-8 SU with <=3 days rest.

This moves to 2-6-1 ATS, and 1-8 straight up  if their present  game after their big win/cover is on the road.

Well, I am making one play, and if this loses, it means I am so out of touch with what is going on that I will probably sit out the rest of the playoffs, and maybe consult with a shrink......

Atlanta -1 +100