Open Championship Picks and Predictions: Our Best Bets for Royal Troon on July 18

The 2024 Open Championship is underway at Royal Troon in Scotland! Get our best golf picks and predictions for the 2024 British Open below.

Chris Gregory - Publishing Editor at Covers.com
Chris Gregory • Publishing Editor
Jul 18, 2024 • 18:10 ET • 4 min read
Scottie Scheffler Open Championship PGA Tour
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

The 2024 Open Championship tees off this month from Royal Troon. As the excitement builds for the final major of 2024, Covers is here to provide you with expert analysis, insights, and our top picks for this historic tournament.

Our best golf analysts are following the players, studying their recent form, evaluating the course conditions at Royal Troon, and, most importantly, analyzing the Open Championship odds, to bring you our best golf picks for this thrilling event.

Round 2 picks

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Corey Conners Top 20 (+110)

By Tony Sartori

Corey Conners is already inside this number at T18 following his even-par performance on Thursday. He also entered this week in great form, making the weekend in 26 consecutive tournaments with 12 Top-20 finishes over that stretch. One of those performances included his T9 finish at the U.S. Open, proving he can finish at major championships that are contested on difficult golf courses.

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Rasmus Hojgaard Top 20 (+550)

By Tony Sartori

Rasmus Hojgaard ranks 46th in the field in strokes gained approach, which is the most important metric to keep an eye on this week. The front nine at Royal Troon plays alongside a windy shoreline while the back nine features an abundance of difficult gorse bushes, wispy rough, and bunkers to navigate. Subsequently, the name of the game this week is ball-striking. Hojgaard was striking the ball well today and just didn’t convert on his chances, but the opportunities have been there. If a few more shots go his way, the score will improve.

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Bryson DeChambeau over Rory McIlroy in Round 2 (+120)

By Tony Sartori

There's no denying Bryson DeChambeau played better of the two on Thursday. He's two shots lower at +5 while Rory McIlroy is sitting at T129 following his 7-over performance in the opening round. DeChambeau also outranked McIlroy in the opening round in strokes gained around the green, strokes gained off-the-tee, total strokes gained, greens in regulation percentage, and average driving distance.

Round 3 picks

Check back on July 19 to see our picks after the Open Championship cut is made.

Round 4 picks

Check back for picks on the final round of the 2024 Open Championship on July 20.

Pre-tournament picks and predictions

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Collin Morikawa - Outright Winner (+1600)

By Neil Parker

Collin Morikawa has shown elite form with five Top 5 finishes in his last nine tournaments, including solid performances in key statistical categories such as tee-to-green, putting, and driving accuracy. With consistent strong showings and two major wins under his belt, Morikawa's tight game makes him a formidable contender in upcoming events.

Read the full analysis for this British Open prediction.
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Tony Finau - Outright Winner (+5000)

By Neil Parker

Tony Finau has been performing well with three consecutive Top 10 finishes, showcasing strong statistics in tee-to-green, approach play, and putting. His past success at the Open Championship, including a T18 finish at Royal Troon in 2016, adds to his confidence in contending for a major championship victory.

Read the full analysis for this British Open prediction.
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Adam Scott - Outright Winner (+7000)

By Neil Parker

Adam Scott is expected to continue his solid performance at Royal Troon following his impressive runner-up finish at the Genesis Scottish Open. With elite talent and a strong showing in various statistical categories, including off-the-tee, tee-to-green, and putting, Scott's experience and previous success at the Open Championship make him a formidable contender for another strong showing.

Read the full analysis for this British Open prediction.
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Jon Rahm to win outright (+2500)

By Neil Parker

Jon Rahm had a rough start in the 2024 majors but has bounced back in recent LIV Golf events. He leads in birdie average and greens-in-regulation on the circuit and consistently finishes in the Top 10. Despite uneven results in the Open Championship, his current odds are better than last year.

Read the full analysis for this British Open prediction.
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Tommy Fleetwood Top 20 (+105)

By Chris Gregory

Despite a T34 finish at the recent Scottish Open, Tommy Fleetwood's strong track record at the event and in past Open Championships makes him an appealing pick. With consistent top finishes and good form, his odds for success at Royal Troon are considered favorable.

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Bryson DeChambeau - Outright Winner (+1600)

By Tony Sartori

I believe Bryson DeChambeau should have better odds to win than Rory McIlroy, Xander Schauffele, and Ludvig Aberg, considering his strong performances and all-around game. Despite playing in the LIV Golf league, DeChambeau's skills and recent U.S. Open win showcase his potential for success and contention in upcoming tournaments.

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Scottie Scheffler - Outright Winner (+500)

By Tony Sartori

I find the 5/1 return on Scottie Scheffler, who has been dominating tournaments with six wins in the past 10 events, too good to pass up. With consistent top finishes and a strong putting game, Scheffler is viewed as a must-play contender for success in every tournament, making the odds favorable for betting on him.

Where can I bet on the 2024 Open Championship?

Golf betting is booming, with the popularity of the sport spawning fun and unique ways to wagers and the PGA Tour schedule providing year-round action. Where you bet on golf is just as important as what you bet, and we review the best golf betting sites available to you.

Qualifying for the British Open

Golfers can qualify for The Open Championship through various means:

  • Exemption categories: The tournament organizers grant automatic exemptions to certain players based on their achievements and rankings. These include past Open Champions, top finishers from previous Open Championships, and winners of other major tournaments.
  • Regional qualifying: Regional qualifying tournaments are held at various golf courses in the United Kingdom and international locations prior to the British Open. Golfers who perform well in these qualifiers earn a spot in the final qualifying stage.
  • Final qualifying: The final qualifying stage consists of several 18-hole stroke play events held at selected courses. Golfers who succeed in these events secure their place in the British Open's official field.
  • Official World Golf Ranking (OWGR): The top-ranked players in the Official World Golf Ranking automatically receive an invitation to participate in the tournament.
  • Special Invitations: The tournament organizers can extend special invites to exceptional players who may not have qualified through other means but are deemed deserving of a spot in the tournament nonetheless.

British Open FAQ

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Chris Gregory Covers.com
Publishing Editor

In his three years on the Covers editorial team, Chris Gregory has helped bolster the site’s PGA Tour and college football coverage, though his love for Rory McIlroy and the Buckeyes is often met with disappointment. He brings a journalism and marketing background to his work as a Publishing Editor and has appeared on Jason Logan’s Sharp 600 to talk about the Masters and golf’s other majors.

His best betting advice? Stay away from betting your favorite teams; it’ll only make the hurt worse.

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