Brewers vs Dodgers Picks and Predictions: L.A. Handles Houser at Home

Los Angeles did not play around last night, pounding down on Milwaukee, 10-1. With a fresh set of arms on the mound for this matchup, which side will prevail> FInd out in our MLB betting picks and predictions for Brewers vs. Dodgers.

Robert Criscola - Contributor at Covers.com
Robert Criscola • Publishing Editor
Aug 24, 2022 • 14:09 ET • 4 min read
Max Muncy Los Angeles Dodgers MLB
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

The Milwaukee Brewers and Los Angeles Dodgers will wrap up a three-game series at Dodger Stadium on Wednesday night.

After getting blanked by the Brewers on Monday, 4-0, Los Angeles roared back with a 10-1 triumph on Tuesday night.

Can L.A. take the rubber match? Find out in our free MLB betting picks and predictions for Brewers vs Dodgers on Wednesday, August 24.

Brewers vs Dodgers odds

This odds widget represents the best odds available for each betting market from regulated sportsbooks.

The Dodgers opened as -225 moneyline favorites for this contest, and the price has only gotten steeper since. L.A. is now listed in the -250 range at the majority of sportsbooks. The total hasn’t moved from its initial mark of 8.5. 

Use the live odds widget above to track any future line movements right up until first pitch and be sure to check out the full MLB odds before placing your bets.

Brewers vs Dodgers predictions

Picks made on 8/24/2022 at 12:45 p.m. ET.
Click on each pick to jump to the full analysis.

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Brewers vs Dodgers game info

Location: Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles, CA
Date: Wednesday, August 24, 2022
First pitch: 9:00 p.m. ET
TV: Bally Sports Wisconsin, SportsNet LA

Brewers vs Dodgers betting preview

Starting pitchers

Adrian Houser (4-8, 4.72 ERA): Adrian Houser (elbow) makes his first start since June 30 in an intimidating spot. The right-hander from Oklahoma went 1-3 with a 6.30 ERA over six starts in June before hitting the shelf. He’s yet to face the Dodgers in his six-year MLB career.

Andrew Heaney (1-1, 1.77 ERA): Andrew Heaney had a Jekyll-and-Hyde performance against the Brewers on Thursday, striking out 10 batters while serving up three home runs. He was charged with three earned runs and allowed five total runs in 4 2-3 innings that day. The southpaw has allowed only one run over 19 2-3 innings at home in 2022.

Weather

Be sure to monitor the gametime conditions with our MLB weather info.

Key injuries

Find our latest MLB injury reports.

Betting trend to know

The Dodgers are 45-12 in their last 57 overall.  Find more MLB betting trends for Brewers vs. Dodgers

Brewers vs Dodgers picks and predictions

Our side and total predictions are based upon our analysis of the line and total in this game. Our best bet is our favorite pick across all markets.

Moneyline analysis

Though the price is hardly appealing, there’s no value in a losing ticket. The Dodgers are the better bet on the moneyline.

L.A. ran its record up to 42-13 in its last 55 home games against teams above .500 with an emphatic 10-1 triumph over Milwaukee on Tuesday night. The Dodgers will try to give Andrew Heaney all the run support he needs in this spot, but so far he hasn’t required all that much offense behind him at home.

Heaney sports a 0.46 ERA at Dodger Stadium this season to go along with a .157 opponent batting average. This spells trouble for a Brewers' offense that’s 3-9 in their last 12 road games, and 1-7 in their last eight meetings with the Dodgers in Los Angeles. 

Milwaukee is hitting .196 as a team in August, dead last in the major leagues. Every day players Andrew McCutchen, Hunter Renfroe, Luis Urias, and Rowdy Tellez are among those batting below .200 on the month. 

L.A. hitters have been just the opposite this year, averaging a MLB-best 5.34 runs per game. Though this team has never taken on Adrian Houser, it doesn't figure to struggle with a pitcher sporting a 4.72 ERA and 1.48 WHIP on the campaign. 

Houser is likely to hit the showers early as he makes his first big-league start since June 30, meaning more work for the Milwaukee bullpen. This unit is 17th in strand rate (70.8%) and 19th in FIP (3.88) this month. 

Look for the Dodgers to score early and often in a runaway victory.

Prediction: Dodgers moneyline (-238 at WynnBET)

Over/Under analysis

The Over is 8-3 in the last 11 meetings between these two squads, and Over bettors look poised to cash once more on Wednesday night.

Prop players have plenty of ways to go when it comes to the L.A. lineup, which is hitting .278 in August, second only to the St. Louis Cardinals (.290). Trea Turner, Mookie Betts, Freddie Freeman, Will Smith, and Max Muncy are all batting above .300 this month.

Freeman’s bat has been particularly potent over the last week, as he’s hitting .357 in that stretch. He had four RBI in his club’s blowout win on Tuesday. 

Muncy has supplied the power of late, as he owns a 1.074 OPS over the last two weeks. 

Christian Yelich could save the Brewers from being shut out on Wednesday. He had two hits in each of the first two games of this series, and has a .360 average over the last seven days. 

Trend bettors should also note that the Over is 4-1-1 in the Brewers’ last six road games, and 6-1-1 in the Dodgers’ last eight contests after allowing two or fewer runs in their previous affair.

Prediction: Over 8.5 (-108 at Unibet)

Best bet

Let’s try to extract some value in a Dodger victory by backing them on the run line instead of the moneyline.

The Brewers’ bullpen has been leaky all year, especially in the middle innings. But the Dodgers’ relief corps has been just the opposite, authoring a MLB-best 1.91 ERA in August. Evan Phillips and Alex Vesia each have nine scoreless appearances in August, and are tied for the team lead in holds in that span at three apiece. 

Heaney has been effective on the mound, but he hasn’t pitched deep into games this year, averaging a modest 4.55 innings per start. But the L.A. bullpen should give him a lift against a flailing Milwaukee order. 

The Dodgers’ offense faces a far less daunting opponent on the mound in Houser, and should plate plenty of runs against him and the Brewers’ relievers. 

Pick: Dodgers -1.5 (-120 at PointsBet)

MLB parlays

Did you know that if you parlayed today’s MLB Brewers vs. Dodgers picks, you could win $40.14 on a $10 bet?

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Robert Criscola - Covers.com
Publishing Editor

Robert M. Criscola’s road to becoming a Covers publishing editor began with an internship at Metro New York, which eventually turned into a freelance job at MetroBet covering many sports from a wagering angle, including horse racing. He continued to focus on “The Sport of Kings” by writing for shapperdacapper.com, danonymousracing.com, and informer.fanxt.com before joining the team at the TwinSpires Edge in 2019 as a regular contributor and weekend editor. “Crisco” began writing game previews for Covers in 2022 and joined the editing team in 2023.

His best advice for sports bettors? Bet with your head, not over it.

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