Cubs vs Brewers Picks and Predictions: Woodruff, Brew Crew Stay Hot in NL Central Showdown

Milwaukee is on a six-game winning streak, is 22-8 in its last 30 games, and will send lights-out pitcher Brandon Woodruff to the mound Tuesday to try to secure a series victory over Chicago. We're backing the Brew Crew in our Cubs vs. Brewers picks.

Rohit Ponnaiya - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Rohit Ponnaiya • Betting Analyst
Jun 29, 2021 • 12:10 ET • 4 min read
Brandon Woodruff Milwaukee Brewers MLB
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

The Milwaukee Brewers host the Chicago Cubs on Tuesday night in the second contest of a three-game set at American Family Field.

With a 14-4 rout last night, the Brewers have taken a four-game lead over the Cubs at the top of the NL Central. Oddsmakers expect that lead to increase after tonight's contest with MLB betting lines installing the Brewers as -243 chalk.

Here are our best free Cubs vs. Brewers picks and predictions for Tuesday, June 29, with the first pitch scheduled for 8:10 p.m. ET. 

Cubs vs Brewers game info

Location: American Family Field, Milwaukee, WI
Date: Tuesday, June 29, 2021
Time: 8:10 p.m. ET
TV: Bally Sports Wisconsin, Marquee Sports Network

Cubs vs Brewers odds

Odds via the Covers Line, an average comprised of odds from multiple sportsbooks.

Compare MLB odds before betting to ensure you get the best number.

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MLB sharp money and line movement report

By Patrick Everson

After opening -200 at TwinSpires, Milwaukee stretched all the way out to -245, then backed up a bit to -230, where the moneyline stands at 4:30 p.m. ET. Moneyline ticket count is 2/1 and moneyline cash just shy of 3/1 on the Brewers. The total is up to 7.5 from a 7 opener, with the Over drawing 54 percent of tickets/60 percent of money.

Check out the full line movement for this game

Cubs vs Brewers betting preview

Starting pitchers

Zach Davies (5-4, 4.31 ERA): Davies has looked shaky in his first season with the Cubs, pitching to a 1.44 WHIP and .247 opponent batting average in 16 starts. He's been extremely inconsistent over his last four outings, getting rocked for eight runs by the woeful Marlins but pitching 18 2-3 innings of shutout ball against the Dodgers, Cardinals, and Padres where he allowed a total of just three hits. 

Brandon Woodruff (6-3, 1.89 ERA): Woodruff has been terrific this season, pitching to a 0.76 WHIP with an opponent batting average of .154 across 15 starts. The right-hander is coming off an excellent performance on the road against the Diamondbacks where he allowed three hits and one run in seven innings of work. 

Weather

Be sure to monitor the gametime conditions with our MLB weather info.

Key injuries

Cubs: Anthony Rizzo 1B (Questionable), Matt Duffy 3B (Out), Nico Hoerner SS (Out), David Bote 3B (Out).

Brewers: Kolten Wong 2B (Doubtful), Lorenzo Cain CF (Out), Travis Shaw 3B (Out).

Find our latest MLB injury reports.

Betting trend to know

The Under is 32-15-3 in the Cubs' last 50 games against NL Central foes. Find more MLB betting trends for Cubs vs. Brewers.

Moneyline pick

After last night's victory, the Brewers are on a six-game winning streak and are 22-8 in their last 30 games. The Cubs have lost four in a row and are 4-10 in their previous 14 contests. 

The Brewers have launched themselves to the top of the division thanks to a strong rotation featuring Corbin Burnes, Freddy Peralta, and today's starter, Woodruff. But the Brew Crew have also been hitting much better recently, plating 5.2 runs per game with an OPS of .750 in 25 games this month. 

On the other hand, the Cubs lineup has gone ice-cold in June, averaging just 3.42 runs per game with an OPS of .629. Davies will toe the rubber for Chicago tonight and he has been extremely inconsistent this season, struggling with his control to the tune of 4.7 walks per nine innings, which is the fourth-worst mark in the majors among all pitchers with at least 60 innings. 

Before Davies was traded to the Padres last year, he played the first five years of his career with the Brewers. However, he didn't perform well in Milwaukee, pitching to a 4.65 ERA, 1.34 WHIP, and .269 OBA in 332 innings at American Family Field (formerly Miller Park).

Woodruff has been lights out this season, ranking fourth in the majors among all pitchers with a WAR of 4.0 and the Brewers have lost only once in his last six starts. Take the Brewers on the runline. 

PREDICTION: Milwaukee -1.5 (-104)

Over/Under pick

Davies can be wild at times but when he's on he can be very effective. In seven of his last 10 starts, he has allowed one run or fewer. And despite the Cubs bullpen surrendering a whopping 10 runs in the eighth inning last night, they still have one of the best groups of relievers around, leading the majors with an OBA of .191 and ranking second with an ERA of 2.95.

Woodruff has been absolutely fire this season, allowing two runs or fewer in 13 of his last 14 starts, with the lone exception a game against the Rockies at Coors Field. Three of those quality starts came against the Cubs earlier this year and he shut them down in each contest, allowing just six hits and one run through 19 innings.

The Cubs have scored two or fewer runs in 11 of their last 15 games, averaging just 2.4 runs per contest over that span. With such ugly hitting over the last few weeks, it's little surprise that the Cubbies are 6-1-1 to the Under in their last eight games.

With the Under going 48-19-2 in the last 69 meetings between these NL Central foes, expect a lower-scoring game after last night's 18-run eruption. 

PREDICTION: Under 7.5 (-115)

Cubs vs Brewers betting card

  • RL Milwaukee -1.5 (-104)
  • Under 7.5 (-115)

Picks made on 6/29/2021 at 11:45 a.m. ET

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Betting Analyst

With a background playing soccer, rugby, and boxing, combined with a journalism degree, it's little surprise that Rohit gravitated towards the world of sports betting. He specializes in betting on UFC and college basketball, two sports where the eyeball test can tell you a lot more about matchups than any analytics. Rohit has years of experience handicapping NFL and NBA games as well as niche betting markets such as politics and Oscar odds. He's also the resident CFL expert and formerly hosted "The Chez and Ro Show" with former CFL star Davis Sanchez.

You can catch Rohit breaking down every UFC event with Joe Osborne on "P4P Picks" on the Covers YouTube channel and he also has regular appearances on "Before You Bet" with Joe. In addition, he's a regular guest on "By The Book" on the Monumental Sports Network and makes guest appearances on VSIN's "The Handle" and CBS Sports.

Rohit primarily makes his bets at bet365, which offers a wide variety of prop markets, but also has accounts at several others so he can shop around for the best prices. For Rohit, bankroll management is key. He believes you should never bet what you can't afford to lose and maximize those few betting opportunities where books misprice a line.

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