The Bronx Bombers are back! Or at least Giancarlo Stanton is. The New York Yankees outfielder will look to continue his ridiculous heater when he and his teammates host the Washington Nationals for the opener of a three-game set.
The Yankees dropped their last game but have won seven of nine overall as their bats begin to heat up, while the Nationals are coming off a sweep at the hands of the Atlanta Braves.
Check out our MLB free picks and predictions for Nationals vs. Yankees on Friday, May 7, with first pitch scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET.
Nationals vs Yankees odds
Odds via the Covers Line, an average comprised of odds from multiple sportsbooks.
Compare MLB odds before betting to ensure you get the best number.
MLB Sharp Money and Line Movement Report
By Patrick EversonNew York opened -190 chalk at PointsBet USA, topped out at -195 and by midmorning hit its low point of -180, where the moneyline remains at 4 p.m. ET. Ticket count is 4/1 and money 3/1 on the Yankees. The total is down a full run, from 9.5 (Under -125) to 8.5 (Over -115), with the Over getting 63 percent of tickets and the Under 53 percent of cash.
Check out the full line movement for this gameNationals vs Yankees betting preview
Starting pitchers
Patrick Corbin (1-3, 8.10 ERA): It has been a rough start to the season for Nationals’ lefty. Corbin has a 1.76 WHIP and opponents are hitting nearly .300 off him to go along with that ugly ERA. But Corbin may have turned a corner, recording two quality starts in his last three appearances, pitching to a 3.18 ERA.
Jameson Taillon (1-2, 5.24 ERA): It has been a similar story for Taillon. His first two starts in pinstripes were a little rocky, but he has rebounded with solid outings in two of his last three and is coming off limiting the Tigers to one run on three hits in five innings. However, Taillon has not gone long into games, never pitching more than five innings.
Weather
Be sure to monitor the gametime conditions with our MLB weather info.
Key injuries
Nationals: Juan Soto RF (Questionable), Wander Suero RP (Out).
Yankees: Aaron Hicks OF (Questionable), Gio Urshela 3B (Questionable), Rougned Odor 2B (Out), Luke Voit 1B (Out), Darren O'Day RP (Out), Zack Britton RP (Out).
Find our latest MLB injury reports.
Betting trend to know
The Yankees are 5-1 in their last six games at Yankee Stadium. Find more MLB betting trends for Nationals vs. Yankees.
Runline pick
The Yankees may have lost their last game, but the rest of Major League Baseball is on notice. The Bronx Bombers, led by Giancarlo Stanton are back. Over their last nine games, the Yankees are 7-2 while plating 5.56 runs per game, and no one is clubbing balls with more ferocity than Stanton.
The Yanks’ outfielder extended his hit streak to 12 games with yet another dinger. Stanton is now hitting an even .500 with five homers and 10 RBIs over that stretch. Now, he and the Yanks get to go up against the Nationals’ Patrick Corbin.
The Nats’ lefty has bounced back a bit but he is still struggling with his command. Corbin has nearly as many walks this season (14) as strikeouts (18) and giving the Yankees extra baserunners is never a recipe for success. To make matters worse, the Yankees rank sixth in batting average and OPS against lefties this season.
Taillon, on the other hand, has his own issues, but the Nationals don’t hit right-handers nearly well as they do lefties. And Taillon’s job is simple, get through five innings relatively well and then hand the ball off to the big leagues' best bullpen.
The moneyline is too pricy here so take the Yankees on the runline.
PREDICTION: Yankees -1.5 (+110)
Over/Under pick
Even though the Yankees are back to slugging baseballs like we are used to and they’re a good bet to get to Corbin, this number may be a little high.
While Corbin has had his problems, he has allowed just two earned runs on eight hits in his last two road starts. Corbin also has the support of a sneaky good Nationals bullpen that ranks seventh in WHIP and third in opponent batting average.
At the same time, the Nats’ bats have gone silent. They have scored three runs or fewer five times in their last six games with the Under going 5-1 in that stretch. Even if Washington can get to Taillon, they then have to deal with a Yanks’ pen that's among the MLB leaders in ERA, WHIP, and opponent batting average.
This one should sneak Under the number.
PREDICTION: Under 9.5 (-110)
Nationals vs Yankees betting card
- Yankees -1.5 (+110)
- Under 9.5 (-110)
Picks made on 5/6/2021 at 10:45 p.m. ET
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