Rays vs Orioles Picks and Predictions: Rich Get Richer

Rich Hill has been pretty much unhittable in his last two outings, as he has allowed no earned runs in his last 12 innings of work, striking out 13 batters over those two games.

Zachary Cohen - Contributor at Covers.com
May 20, 2021 • 11:30 ET
Rich Hill MLB Tampa Bay Rays
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

The Baltimore Orioles take on the Tampa Bay Rays at Camden Yards in Baltimore, Maryland on Thursday, May 20, and the game has an early 12:35 p.m. ET start time. The Rays come into this one on a six-game winning streak, but the Orioles aren’t the types to roll over.  

Will Baltimore find a way to cool down Tampa Bay? Find out in our Rays vs. Orioles picks and predictions. 

Rays vs Orioles game info

Location: Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore, MD
Date: Thursday, May 20, 2021
Time: 12:35 p.m. ET
TV: MASN 2, BS-Sun

Rays vs Orioles odds

Odds via the Covers Line, an average comprised of odds from multiple sportsbooks.

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MLB Sharp Money and Line Movement Report

By Patrick Everson

Tampa Bay went up as a -164 favorite late Wednesday night at FanDuel, dipped as low as -154 and peaked at -172, where the moneyline stands at 11:30 a.m. ET. The Rays are taking practically all the tickets and money, at 86 percent and 91 percent, respectively, and they're a popular runline play today, too. The total moved from 9 to 9.5 a couple of times and is now 9 flat (-110), with ticket count dead even and 53 percent of money on the Under.

Check out the full line movement for this game

Rays vs Orioles betting preview

Starting pitchers

Rich Hill (2-1, 4.26 ERA): Hill has been pretty much unhittable in his last two outings, as he has allowed no earned runs in his last 12 innings of work. The lefty struck out 13 batters over those two games, and he’ll now turn his attention to an Orioles team that is 2-8 in its last 10 games. This is a great opportunity for him to keep it rolling. 

Dean Kremer (0-3, 5.81 ERA): Kremer has pitched surprisingly well for the Orioles as of late, as he has given up just six earned runs over his last three starts. The righty isn’t going to strike out a ton of batters or anything — and he’s certainly not likely to dominate any decent lineups. — but he is capable of going out there and making hitters work. 

Weather

Be sure to monitor the gametime conditions with our MLB weather info.

Key injuries

Rays: Kevin Kiermaier OF (questionable).
Orioles: Anthony Santander OF (out), Chris Davis 1B (out).
Find our latest MLB injury reports.

Betting trend to know

Rays are 6-2 in their last eight road games against right-handed starters. Find more MLB betting trends for Rays vs. Orioles.

Moneyline pick

It’s really hard to advise going against the Rays right now, especially with the way the Orioles are playing at the moment. Over the last four games, Tampa Bay is averaging 10.3 runs per game, which is just a ridiculous amount of offensive production. One would think the Rays will be able to put a decent number on the board again here. Guys like Randy Arozarena, Austin Meadows and Joey Wendle will be looking forward to this matchup with Kremer, who isn’t anything too special on the mound. 

Not only are the Rays hot offensively, but they also have Hill starting in this game. Hill has battled injuries throughout the course of his career, but he has generally been extremely effective on the bump. That is no different at the moment, as Hill is on an absolute tear coming into this one. The Orioles have done a nice job against lefties this season, but it’s hard to envision them doing too much against the 41-year-old veteran. 

PREDICTION: Rays ML -164

Over/Under pick

While the Rays should be able to score a decent amount of runs in this game, the Orioles likely won’t be able to get to Hill. When the lefty is rolling, he can really frustrate opponents, despite not having many pitches in his arsenal. He mostly throws a fastball (which isn’t that fast) and a breaking ball, but he has still given up only two earned runs in his last 21.2 innings of work. All in all, it seems like this one is destined to end up going Under.  

PREDICTION: Under 9.0 (-114) 

Rays vs Orioles betting card

  • Rays ML -164
  • Under 9.0 (-114) 

Picks made on 5/20/2021 at 2:40 a.m. ET

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