Rockies vs Dodgers Picks and Predictions: LA Will Bomb Freeland, Avoid Another Upset

The Rockies upset the Dodgers as massive road underdogs last night. Do we expect to see a repeat again tonight with Colorado again a big 'dog? Considering Kyle Freeland is on the mound, we're not quite as enthusiastic in backing the Rockies.

Zachary Cohen - Contributor at Covers.com
Jul 24, 2021 • 11:43 ET • 4 min read
Justin Turner Los Angeles Dodgers MLB
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

The Colorado Rockies defied the MLB betting odds last night in their series opener against the Los Angeles Dodgers, pulling off a 9-6 upset victory in extra innings.

Game 2 of this three-game weekend set is tonight at Dodger Stadium, with the Dodgers again heavily favored.

Will Colorado pull off another upset over Los Angeles tonight? Find out in our Rockies vs. Dodgers picks and predictions for Saturday, July 24. 

Rockies vs Dodgers game info

Location: Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles, CA
Date: Saturday, July 24, 2021
Time: 9:10 p.m. ET
TV: SportsNet LA, ATT Sportsnet-RM

Rockies vs Dodgers odds

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Rockies vs Dodgers betting preview

Starting pitchers

Kyle Freeland (1-4, 5.36 ERA): Freeland hasn’t been very good this season overall, but the lefty has been rock solid as of late. Freeland has allowed three or fewer earned runs in each of his last five starts, and one of those outings was a game in which he turned in a quality start against this Dodgers team. Colorado won’t be looking for much more than that, but it’s worth noting that Freeland is 0-2 with a 6.26 ERA on the road this year.

Tony Gonsolin (1-1, 2.83 ERA): The Dodgers don’t ask Gonsolin to work deep into games but the righty has done a good job as a member of this rotation. The 27-year-old has allowed one or fewer earned runs in six of his last seven appearances but the most he pitched in any of those games was 5 1-3 innings against the Miami Marlins on July 6. So, expect him to pitch four or five innings max in this game.

Weather

Be sure to monitor the gametime conditions with our MLB weather info.

Key injuries

Rockies: Chris Owings SS (Out), Ian Desmond 1B (Out), Scott Oberg RP (Out).
Dodgers: Mookie Betts OF (Questionable), Max Muncy 1B (Out), Gavin Lux 2B (Out), Corey Seager SS (Out), Corey Knebel RP (Out), Tommy Kahnle RP (Out).
Find our latest MLB injury reports.

Betting trend to know

The Dodgers are 12-5 in their last 17 games against left-handed starters. Find more MLB betting trends for Rockies vs. Dodgers.

Moneyline pick

Last night, it was hard to suggest that anybody should back the Dodgers, as they had had no value as massive favorites and there were reasons to believe the Rockies could come away with a win.

Tonight, that isn’t the case — Los Angeles should be able to take this game... rather easily.

While Freeland was solid in his last start against the Dodgers, the team did end up losing 9-2. He also happens to be a bit worse when pitching on the road, which is surprising when considering his home park is Coors Field. Still, the numbers don’t lie and he also happens to be facing a Dodgers team that crushes left-handed pitching.

Los Angeles is tied for fifth in the league in RBIs against southpaws this season, and the team is also fourth in the league in homers off of lefties. On top of that, most of the Dodgers’ star players have been great against Freeland in the past.

Cody Bellinger is 5 for 14 with three doubles and four RBIs against the lefty, while Justin Turner is 13 for 32. Then there’s A.J. Pollock, who is a ridiculous 9 for 25 with a double, a triple, two homers and four RBIs off Freeland. Even Chris Taylor has given him fits, as he had two homers off the lefty in 19 at-bats.

The Dodgers don’t have an ace on the mound or anything, but Gonsolin is rarely the reason this team loses games. He should keep the Rockies offense in line, which is enough when considering their success against Freeland.

Overall, it’s understandable if you don’t want to back Los Angeles straight up, but it could be worth throwing the moneyline into a parlay.

PREDICTION: Dodgers (-260)

Over/Under pick

The Dodgers only scored three runs against Freeland in their last meeting with the lefty but look for them to cash in five or six runs when playing him at Dodger Stadium — making the Over 5.0 on the Dodgers team total a decent play.

It’s just hard to ignore the production these hitters have turned in against Freeland, and the Rockies also have the second-worst bullpen ERA in baseball this year (5.35). Once the Dodgers chase Freeland, the scoring might actually increase.

As for the Rockies, it wouldn’t be surprising if they contribute three or four runs to this total themselves. Gonsolin is a solid option for Los Angeles but he can easily give up a couple runs over his four-to-five innings.

PREDICTION: Over 8.5 (-110)

Rockies vs Dodgers betting card

  • Dodgers ML (-260)
  • Over 8.5 (-110)

Picks made on 7/24/2021 at 7:55 a.m. ET

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