Rockies vs Giants Picks and Predictions: Bludgeoning by the Bay

Austin Gomber has put together one of the worst statistical seasons among starting pitchers in 2022 and the San Francisco Giants will capitalize on Thursday afternoon. We expect the home team to trounce the visiting Rockies by the Bay in our betting picks.

Zachary Cohen - Contributor at Covers.com
Jun 9, 2022 • 13:04 ET • 4 min read
Evan Longoria San Francisco Giants MLB
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

On Thursday, the San Francisco Giants will host the Colorado Rockies for a little afternoon baseball at Oracle Park. The Giants have cooled down a bit after a red-hot start to the season, but this game is the first of seven in a row that San Francisco will play at home. That means the Giants can get hot and turn things back around. 

Will Colorado roll into Oracle Park and win this game? Keep reading our MLB betting picks and predictions to find out. 

Rockies vs Giants odds

This odds widget represents the best odds available for each betting market from regulated sportsbooks.

The Giants are big home favorites against the Rockies today, as they opened at -258 and are now at -280. With that said, the run line is the more realistic option for San Francisco bettors, as you can get the -1.5 at -120. 

The total opened at 8 and hasn’t moved at all. There’s also pretty even action on both the Over and the Under.  

Use the live odds widget above to track any future line movements right up until first pitch and be sure to check out the full MLB odds before placing your bets.

Rockies vs Giants predictions

Picks made on 6/9/2022 at 9:00 a.m. ET.
Click on each pick to jump to the full analysis.

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Rockies vs Giants game info

Location: Oracle Park, San Francisco, CA
Date: Thursday, June 9, 2022
First pitch: 3:45 p.m. ET
TV: AT&T SportsNet Rocky Mountains, NBC Sports Bay Area

Rockies vs Giants betting preview

Starting pitchers

Austin Gomber (2-6, 6.54 ERA): It’s hard to be much worse than Gomber has been in his last two starts. The lefty has allowed 17 earned runs over his last 6 1-3 innings on the mound, and he doesn’t just have Coors Field to blame as he gave up eight runs on seven hits before getting chased in the second inning in a road game against the Washington Nationals.

Logan Webb RHP (5-1, 3.82 ERA): Webb’s last start certainly wasn’t his best, as he gave up four earned runs in 4 2-3 innings against the Miami Marlins. Now, Webb is set to go on just four days of rest, so he could be a little more fatigued than usual. Webb did, however, pitch seven innings of three-run ball against the Rockies at Coors Field on May 18. 

Weather

Be sure to monitor the gametime conditions with our MLB weather info.

Key injuries

Rockies: Kris Bryant OF (Out), Ryan Rolison P (Out), Peter Lambert P (Out).
Giants: Brandon Belt 1B (Out), Austin Slater OF (Out), LaMonte Wade Jr. OF (Out), Steven Duggar OF (Out).
Find our latest MLB injury reports.

Betting trend to know

The Giants are 37-14 in their last 51 games against teams with losing records. Find more MLB betting trends for Rockies vs. Giants

Rockies vs Giants picks and predictions

Our side and total predictions are based upon our analysis of the line and total in this game. Our best bet is our favorite pick across all markets.

Run line analysis

The Rockies are a below-average team when facing right-handed pitchers this season, ranking in the MLB's bottom half in OPS, weighted runs created plus, and isolated power. That’s pretty hard to ignore in a match-up with Webb, who is the righty the Giants have right now.

Logan Webb will also be eager to go out there and turn in a good performance, as he was pretty lousy in his last game. The only issue is whether or not he’ll be a little tired after having started just four days ago, but we think he’ll be fine. He's also is throwing in pitcher-friendly Oracle Park, and he threw seven innings of three-run ball against these very Rockies at Coors Field in May. 

As for the Giants, the team will have the luxury of facing a starter that has completely lost his way, so even if Webb isn't pristine, San Francisco is in a great position to roll over the Rockies.

Austin Gomber hasn’t been able to get anybody out, and the Rockies have let up double-digit runs in each of his last two starts. He isn’t just pitching poorly in Colorado, either. This season, Gomber is 1-3 with a 6.94 ERA in five road outings. And he surrendered five earned runs to the Giants in his last start against them on May 9.

Only two pitchers with at least 50 innings pitched this season — Patrick Corbin and Joan Adon, both of the Washington Nationals — have a worse ERA than Gomber's 6.54. Yikes.

Overall, this looks like a really straightforward game, and the Giants should ultimately cover the 1.5-run spread. 

Prediction: Giants -1.5 (-120 at DraftKings)

Over/Under analysis

The Over is 7-3 in the Rockies' last 10 games after scoring two or fewer runs in the prior contest. They ended up losing 2-1 against the Giants last night, so they could be in for a game in which they score a few more here. The Giants, meanwhile, have a team total of 4.5, so the oddsmakers like their chances of putting up a big number. And with Gomber on the mound, it's almost a foregone conclusion that they will. 

Additionally, Webb hasn't been able to suppress scoring in recent outings. After opening the season with consecutive starts where he surrendered one run in each, the righty has allowed at least three earned runs in seven of nine subsequent appearances.

The Over is also 5-2-1 in the last eight meetings between these teams, and it’s just not high enough to justify taking the Under with Gomber having allowed 17 runs over his last two starts. The Over is 8-2-1 in the last 11 games in which San Francisco has been favored at home. 

Prediction: Over 8 (-110 at DraftKings)

Best bet

The Giants have a golden opportunity to put up a ton of runs on Thursday afternoon, as Gomber has been miserable in his last two trips to the hill — and for the bulk of the season. In addition to allowing 17 runs over his last two starts, opponents are hitting .288 against the lefty on the season. Hitters are having no trouble producing against him, and the Giants likely won’t be the ones to buck that trend.  

San Francisco also happens to be in the Top 10 in OPS and wRC+ against left-handed pitching this year. 

And if Gomber gets chased early, he gives way to a Rockies bullpen with the second-worst ERA (5.02) in MLB this season.

Pick: Giants team total Over 4.5 (-132 at Unibet)

MLB parlays

Did you know that if you parlayed today’s MLB Rockies vs. Giants picks, you could win $51.52 on a $10 bet?

Use our MLB parlay calculator to create your own parlays and see their potential payouts.

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