A doubleheader day for the St. Louis Cardinals and New York Yankees gets underway with this afternoon showdown as both teams try to spark a better second half of the season.
The Cardinals’ year has gone way off script, as they’re currently propping up the NL Central at 33-47 and enter today having lost their last two games, but they are 6-4 over their past 10 outings and the offense has continued to function.
After rain washed out last night’s contest, the Yankees will again look to build on a series win over Oakland, where the Bronx Bombers’ bats came alive over the last two games.
Both offenses should be active in the first matchup today — find out how I'm betting it with my best free MLB picks for Yankees vs. Cardinals on July 1.
Yankees vs Cardinals odds
Yankees vs Cardinals predictions
Aaron Judge’s toe injury has taken its toll on the New York Yankees line-up this month, but there were promising signs in Oakland as New York exploded for 21 runs over the last two games of that series.
Giancarlo Stanton and Isiah Kiner-Falefa were among the Yankees who found their rhythm against the A’s, as both tallied five RBIs in New York’s pair of wins, and I expect those fireworks to carry over this afternoon as the visitors take on Jack Flaherty, who’s allowed six runs and 10 hits in each of his last two starts.
The St. Louis Cardinals were blanked by the Astros on Thursday, they put seven runs on the board the evening prior and logged 4+ runs in seven of their last nine games before that dud.
The Over has also cashed in Flaherty’s last five home starts and with the winds blowing out today, this feels like a high-scoring matchup and I’m taking these odds for a run fest at Busch Stadium.
My best bet: Over 9 (-104 at FanDuel)
Yankees vs Cardinals same-game parlay
Over 9
Severino Over 4.5 strikeouts
Kiner-Falefa Over 0.5 hits
With an unexpected rest day yesterday due to the wet weather, I see both teams coming in fresh today and delivering at the plate.
Luis Severino is taking the ball for New York and his 5.25 ERA tells the story of an up-and-down season so far; he pitched six good innings against a potent Rangers lineup his last time out, but his prior four starts were rough — including him surrendering seven or more hits in three times.
That said, I see him being in attack mode today. He’s recorded six Ks in two of his past four starts, and I like his chances of repeating that here if he can get through at least five innings of work, even if he coughs up a few runs too.
I’m also throwing Kiner-Falefa into the mix too following his hot series in Oakland. While his .262 average doesn’t jump off the screen, he has three hits and five RBIs in his last two games.
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Yankees vs Cardinals moneyline and Over/Under analysis
The Cardinals are the slightest of favorites based on the MLB odds, but it’s a tough one to call given both teams’ underwhelming performances this season.
While the Yankees are 1-4 in their past five visits to Busch Stadium, the bats seemed to turn an important corner in two big wins in Oakland this week and there’s urgency to stay afloat in the AL East with both the Baltimore Orioles and Toronto Blue Jays joining New York in pursuit of the division-leading Tampa Bay Rays.
With question marks around both pitchers’ consistency, I expect runs this afternoon. The Over is 4-0-1 in the Cardinals’ last five home games against a right-handed starter.
Sure, the visitors had been scuffling before this week’s bounceback, scoring two runs or fewer in four of their five outings before getting back on track on Wednesday and Thursday, but I like the Yankees to target Flaherty early — and Anthony Rizzo has a 9-for-19 career record against the St. Louis starter.
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Trend to know
The Over has hit in each of Jack Flaherty's last five home starts. Find more MLB betting trends for Yankees vs. Cardinals
Yankees vs Cardinals game info
| Location: | Busch Stadium, St. Louis, MO |
| Date: | Saturday, July 1, 2023 |
| First pitch: | 2:15 p.m. ET |
| TV: | FS1 |
Starting pitchers
Luis Severino (1-2, 5.25 ERA): The 29-year-old has been persevering through a difficult 2023, with a 1.50 WHIP so far, but there were encouraging signs in his last start as he held the Rangers scoreless in six strong innings
Jack Flaherty (4-5, 4.95 ERA): Flaherty could be vulnerable here after getting roughed up in his last two starts (allowing a combined 20 hits), with his ERA at home this season now ballooned to 7.06.
