Yankees vs Rockies Predictions, Picks, Odds: Bombers Bring Their Bats to Colorado

The New York Yankees will start their second-half push towards the postseason on Friday night as they visit the Colorado Rockies at Coors Field.

New York (49-42) hasn’t quite fired on all cylinders this year, and currently finds itself one game out of a Wild Card spot in the American League. The Rockies (34-57) have the worst record in the National League and are 18 games back in the NL West standings.

This is the kind of game the Yankees need to win if they want to contend for a playoff spot, especially when they have pitching matchups as advantageous as they’ll enjoy tonight. The MLB odds reflect the massive upper hand they have in that department.

We’ll take a closer look at what to expect from tonight’s game in our free MLB picks and predictions for Yankees vs. Rockies on July 14.

Yankees vs Rockies odds

Yankees vs Rockies predictions

For most teams, being on pace to win 87 games would constitute a more-than-acceptable start to the season. For the Yankees, however, their current record is a mild disappointment, especially as it lands them in fourth place in the ultra-competitive AL East. 

While New York’s pitching has largely held up this season, it has been let down by a surprisingly weak offensive output. The Yankees are averaging just 4.40 runs per game, with injuries to the likes of Aaron Judge and Giancarlo Stanton sapping some of the power out of what should be a dangerous lineup.

Nonetheless, the Yankees have the talent to beat anyone. As much as we talk about their struggles, they’re still seven games over .500 heading into the second half of the season. And if the New York lineup needs a boost, they’re likely to get one tonight in Colorado.

As usual, Coors Field is the best ballpark in the majors when it comes to run production. The huge field ensures home runs don’t get out of control in the thin air, but leads to a massive number of doubles and triples instead, while pitchers have difficulty finishing off hitters due to the lower spin on the ball at altitude. 

If that weren’t enough to excite the Yankees bats, they’ll also have the opportunity to tee off on Rockies starter Austin Gomber. The 29-year-old lefty is throwing to a putrid 6.40 ERA, and leads the majors in earned runs allowed. He’s given up 20 homers in just 90 innings, and beyond just the longball, he’s pitching to an ineffective 1.511 WHIP.

The Yankees will counter with their own southpaw in Carlos Rodon. New York shut down Rodon during spring training due to forearm issues, and he only made his first start of the year on July 7. Rodon is coming off two great All-Star campaigns, and should provide a huge lift to the Yankees rotation in the second half of the season.

This isn’t just a game the Yankees should win, but one that should be a walkover for the Bronx Bombers. The moneyline reflects this, so I’m looking towards the run line in order to get a better number on New York. I’m taking the Yankees and laying the runs tonight.

My best bet: Yankees -1.5 (-125 at DraftKings)

Yankees vs Rockies same-game parlay

Yankees -1.5

Yankees Over 5.5 runs

Rodon 7+ Ks

+280 at DraftKings

With tonight’s game lining up for a Yankees blowout, I’m looking to craft a same-game parlay that incorporates all the reasons why New York should dominate. That starts with taking the Yankees on the run line again, giving 1.5 runs to the hapless Rockies.

Next, I think the Yankees offense should have a field day scoring runs in Colorado. Six runs seems like a reachable target, so I’m taking New York’s run prop here at Over 5.5 runs at the best offensive ballpark in the league.

Finally, I’m looking for Rodon to show exactly why the Yankees were excited to add him for the 2023 season. It’s only his second start of the year, but against a weak Colorado lineup, he should be able to pile up some strikeouts tonight. I’m rounding out my SGP by taking Rodon to record at least seven strikeouts tonight.

Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.

Yankees vs Rockies moneyline and Over/Under analysis

While lines were all over the place for this game, the Yankees opened at around a -210 favorite at most books. As of early afternoon on Friday, you can get -200 on the Yankees at many sites, with some making New York an even bigger favorite. The best available line on the Rockies is +185.

While I’ve talked about how the Yankees have been a bit underwhelming this year, they’ve still performed well for bettors, winning about four units on the moneyline this year. The Rockies have lost bettors about 10 units this season.

The Yankees should absolutely win this game, and I’m happy to suggest a lean towards New York on the moneyline. However, given the much better value on the run line, I’d rather give up the 1.5 runs and get a better return on what should be an easy Yankees win.

Tonight’s total opened at a robust 11.5 runs. That number has come down slightly at most books, with the consensus Over/Under now a flat 11 runs. The best you can do on the Over at that number is -110, but you can get the Under at -105.

Both teams have disappointed on offense this year, and that has led to a lot of low totals. The Under has gone 46-41 in Yankees games in 2023, as well as 51-39 when Colorado plays.

While the Yankees should be able to put up a lot of runs tonight, the total of 11 still seems too high with Rodon on the mound. Anything is possible in Colorado, and even deep into the game, either team could suddenly score five runs in an inning and put the total back into play. Still, I’m leaning towards the Under tonight, as I think 11 is just too many runs for two lineups that haven’t produced big numbers this season.

Trend to know

The Yankees have won on the run line in 15 of their last 23 road games. Find more MLB betting trends for Yankees vs. Rockies

Yankees vs Rockies game info

Starting pitchers

Carlos Rodon (0-1, 3.38 ERA): The Yankees picked up Rodon in the offseason after the left-hander had come off two outstanding seasons, first with the Chicago White Sox and then with the San Francisco Giants in 2022. Injuries prevented Rodon from pitching for New York until July, but the Yankees still expect him to slot in as a strong No. 2 starter behind Gerrit Cole. In his first start of the year, Rodon gave up two runs on four hits over 5 1/3 innings against the Chicago Cubs last Friday.

Austin Gomber (7-7, 6.40 ERA): Even given the rough pitching conditions at Coors Field, Gomber has failed to provide much for the Rockies over the past two seasons. In 2023, he’s allowing two homers per nine innings while throwing to a 1.511 WHIP – both career highs and numbers that simply won’t play anywhere. Gomber has at least been respectable in his last few starts, including last Friday against the Giants, where he gave up two runs on five hits over six innings of work.

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