Bulls vs Warriors Odds, Picks, and Predictions Tonight: Green Does It All for Warriors

The Warriors will look to carry the momentum of last night's win over the Bucks into this matchup, and with Chicago also playing last night, our NBA picks expect Draymond to tear apart the Bulls' extra tired bigs.

Jon Metler - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Jon Metler • Betting Analyst
Mar 7, 2024 • 15:57 ET • 4 min read
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This article contains predictions for an old game!

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Draymond Green Golden State Warriors
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The Chicago Bulls will make the trip to Chase Center as they take on the Golden State Warriors, and I have you covered with my best bet utilizing the latest NBA odds.

Neither team will be able to use the excuse of tired legs tonight because the Warriors and Bulls are both coming off wins last night.

With Golden State making a push to get out of the Play-In Tournament, find out what I'm backing in my free NBA picks for the Bulls vs. Warriors on Thursday, March 7.

Bulls vs Warriors odds

Bulls vs Warriors predictions

The Golden State Warriors and Chicago Bulls will both be on the back end of a back-to-back, but the injury reports for both teams look pretty clearly defined. The Warriors look ready to roll across the board, and I know the Bulls were hopeful to get Dalen Terry back yesterday. 

When these two met on back on January 12, something really popped on film. Golden State — while small — has wing players such as Jonathan Kuminga and Andrew Wiggins who are able to attack the foot speed of Nikola Vucevic and Andre Drummond, create for their teammates, and finish at the rim. 

The problem for the Bulls is they really don't have a counter or any other options to fix this issue. They didn't on January 12, and they have even less now because at least back then Patrick Williams and Zach LaVine were healthy. 

I bet on Draymond Green to go Over his assists prop on Wednesday, and I'm doing it again tonight because there is a probability gap.

Green will be able to attack the lateral quickness of Vucevic and Drummond all night, and when he gets past them into the lane, he has teammates in Wiggins and Kuminga who can make a basket cut and put pressure on the rim off of a Green drive and kick. Green should be able to tee up his teammates all night with high-value potential assists.

Full disclosure, I bet on Green early this morning at 4.5 (-130). This price point is long gone because there was a clear probability gap in these odds. The best available price we're seeing now is an Over 5.5 (+123), and while it may look like you missed the boat on this bet, you didn't.

The exact same projection I used on Green for Over 4.5 (-130) equates to a price point of -120 for Over 5.5. So you still have an edge you can exploit, but I wouldn't hesitate to place this bet: the market is moving fairly quickly.

My best bet: Draymond Green Over 5.5 assists (+123 at BetRivers)

Bulls vs Warriors same-game parlay

Draymond Green Over 5.5 assists

Green Over 7.5 points

Green Over 0.5 threes

I rolled with a three-leg Jalen Suggs same game parlay on Wednesday and he cashed for us, so it only feels right to run it back with Green.

When I was talking about Green's assists prop and his ability to attack the lateral quickness of Vucevic and Drummond, this will help him drop dimes, but it should mean Green will be able to get to the rim on his own for some easy buckets. .

Once Green blows past Vucevic and Drummond a couple of times, the natural reaction from them as a defender will be to back up. Green has shown us in the past that if you're going to disrespect his 3-point shot, he will take it, and I think you will see this happen for Green tonight. 

Also, if Green makes a 3-pointer, it will be incredibly helpful for us getting Over the total of 7.5 points. Of course, this is correlated in the odds, but I still like combining these two legs with the assists prop.

Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.

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Bulls vs Warriors spread and Over/Under analysis

The Warriors opened as seven-point favorites, and that number has moved towards the Dubs to make them eight-point favorites. It's not surprising to see some support in the market for Golden State — who has blown out several teams of late — and Chicago is also traveling from Utah to San Francisco on Thursday.

The total opened at DraftKings at 223 and is now trading at 223.5. We did see this number touch as high as 225 at DraftKings, but it was immediately bet back down to 223 and then back up to 223.5. This movement is very telling and shows that you should probably expect this number to settle at 223.5. If you're looking to bet on the Over, there are some 223s available out there in the market.

Bulls vs Warriors betting trend to know

The Warriors have hit the fourth quarter game total Over in 34 of their last 54 games (+12.00 Units / 20% ROI). Find more NBA betting trends for Bulls vs. Warriors.

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Bulls vs Warriors game info

Location: Chase Center, San Francisco, CA
Date: Thursday, March 7, 2024
Tip-off: 10:00 p.m. ET
TV: NBC Sports Bay Area, NBC Sports Chicago

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Betting Analyst

Having played, coached, and officiated basketball, Jon immediately turned his attention to the NBA when he entered the sports betting space. Sports betting has been a part of his life for over 14 years, and he specializes in futures markets and player props, particularly in the NBA. In pursuit of value, he keeps a close eye on movements in the betting markets. He believes strongly in analytics and staying ahead of the curve and, when possible, lets the numbers do the talking.

Jon hosts the NBA Prop Picks show powered by EV Analytics, which airs on the Covers YouTube channel, and he is also a regular guest on Before You Bet with Joe Osborne.

Jon keeps his eye on the NBA betting markets 365 days a year and uses 10-plus sportsbooks to always shop around for the best price for whichever bet he is looking to place. If there are NBA games on for that current day, you can guarantee that Jon woke up way too early, has already had some caffeine, and is ready to begin placing bets on NBA player props.

His favorite sportsbooks are Pinnacle, Caesars, and Betano, with the first two being where he places the majority of his bets, while Betano sneaks into the top three because of their creative futures markets for the NBA.

Before joining Covers in December 2023, Jon worked as a sports betting analyst at Sportsbook Review. He also holds a Bachelor's degree from the University of Windsor, where he studied Human Kinetics with a focus on Sports Studies.

Jon's top piece of advice for sports bettors: "Any outcome is possible in sports betting; you're just hunting for one that is more probable than the sportsbooks have it priced."

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