On Friday, April 23, the Atlanta Hawks host the Miami Heat at State Farm Arena in Atlanta, Georgia, with the opening tip scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET. Both of these teams are currently jostling for position in the Eastern Conference, so you aren’t going to want to miss what should be an intense game.
Who will come away with the victory in Atlanta? Keep reading our Heat vs. Hawks picks and predictions to find out.
(Editor's Note: These picks were made prior to Friday afternoon's news that Clint Capela would sit out for Atlanta against Miami.)
Heat vs Hawks odds
Odds via the Covers Line, an average comprised of odds from multiple sportsbooks.
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NBA sharp money and line movement report
By Patrick EversonMiami opened -4.5 overnight at PointsBet USA and moved to -5.5 a few times, and -5.5 is where the line rests at 4:45 p.m. ET. Point-spread ticket count is running 2/1 and money 3/1 on the Heat. The total moved from 213.5 to 215.5, then receded to 211.5 and is now 212, with ticket count almost dead even and 67 percent of money on the Over.
Check out the full line movement for this gameHeat at Hawks betting preview
Injuries
Heat: G Victor Oladipo (Out).
Hawks: G Trae Young (Doubtful), F Danilo Gallinari (Questionable), C Clint Capela (Out), F De’Andre Hunter (Out), F Cam Reddish (Out), G Tony Snell (Out), G Kris Dunn (Out).
Find our latest NBA injury reports.
Betting trend to know
The Under is 5-2 in Miami’s last seven games. Find more NBA betting trends for Heat vs. Hawks.
Against the spread (ATS) pick
The Hawks have completely turned things around since Nate McMillan took over as head coach, but getting somewhat healthy was also a significant factor. Now, Atlanta is dealing with some troublesome injuries again, as Trae Young suffered a pretty serious ankle sprain in Wednesday’s loss to New York. Young isn’t likely to miss too much time, but it’s pretty hard to imagine him returning to the court before next week. And even if he did, his trademark quickness likely wouldn’t be there, making this matchup with Miami a difficult one.
The Heat are coming into this contest on a three-game winning streak, and they covered the spread in all of those victories. Bam Adebayo has been remarkable for the Heat all season, and he’ll now go head-to-head with Clint Capela, who has been a revelation for the Hawks this year. The only problem for Capela is that Adebayo is one of the most skilled bigs in the league, and he also has a relentless motor. He takes every matchup against another top big personally, and he should make his presence felt here. Capela is one of the NBA’s best offensive rebounders, but Adebayo should hold his own on the glass.
Atlanta also does not have an answer for Jimmy Butler right now. The team is without most of its best perimeter defenders, so Butler should have his fingerprints all over this one. Lately, he has been doing a lot of his damage as a passer, but he usually does whatever is needed of him.
PREDICTION: Heat -4.5 (-110)
Over/Under pick
The Heat have really turned things up a notch defensively over the course of their winning streak, as they are allowing just 100.7 points per 100 possessions over the last three games. Miami now gets to take on an Atlanta team that could be without Young, one of the NBA’s most lethal offensive players. Without Young’s creation skills, the Hawks could struggle to put up a lot of points here. Also, Atlanta is solid defensively under McMillan, so the team should give Miami some problems.
PREDICTION: Under 213.5 (-110)
Player prop pick
Check back later for an additional prop pick when markets are live!
Heat vs Hawks betting card
- Heat -4.5 (-110)
- Under 213.5 (-110)
Picks made on 4/23/2021 at 3:00 a.m. ET
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