The Miami Heat have lost three in a row and now travel to take on the Minnesota Timberwolves at Target Center in Minneapolis at 7 p.m. ET.
Our Heat vs. Timberwolves predictions expect Sunday to spell more bad news for Miami, given the matchup against a team that has won three in a row.
Continue reading for free NBA picks for this matchup on Sunday, November 10th, live on FanDuel Sports Network North.
Heat vs Timberwolves prediction
My best bet
Timberwolves -7.5 (-110 at bet365)
My analysis
Things have been tough for Erik Spoelstra and the Miami Heat in the last week, losing three straight to playoff-caliber teams. Their latest loss was by a double-digit margin to the Nuggets, giving up 135 points in the process.
Miami has been uncharacteristically lacking in defense, ranking 20th in defensive rating after finishing fifth last year. On Sunday, they will have the challenge of containing the Minnesota Timberwolves, who rank fifth in offensive rating.
The Heat have been particularly awful at defending the three, as their 37.7% allowed ranks fifth-worst this year. Minnesota has shot 40.6% from deep this year, trailing only the undefeated Cavaliers in that category.
The Heat have also struggled on the glass, ranking 23rd in rebounding rate. That also does not bode well for them as the Timberwolves have ranked 12th so far this year.
Quite simply, if Miami's struggles on defense and the glass continue tonight, the Timberwolves should have no issue building a gradual lead through the game that could even reach blowout levels.
Heat vs Timberwolves same-game parlay
Timberwolves -7.5
Bam Adebayo Under 9.5 rebounds
Terry Rozier Under 1.5 turnovers
To take advantage of the rebounding mismatch, we should look towards Bam Adebayo.
The Timberwolves allow the fifth-fewest rebounds to opposing centers. His rebounding total at 9.5 seems a touch high given the matchup, as he tallied just six and three rebounds, respectively, in two games against the Wolves last year.
But one place where the Timberwolves do not find success is at the point guard position, where they force the second-fewest turnovers in the league.
That may mean an easier night for Terry Rozier, who had his fair share of turnovers in the opening month but has since cleaned things up.
Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.
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Heat vs Timberwolves odds
Heat vs Timberwolves live odds
Heat vs Timberwolves opening odds
- Spread: Miami +7.5 (-110)| Minnesota -7.5 (-110)
- Moneyline: Miami +260 | Minnesota -320
- Over/Under: Over 217.5 (-110) | Under 217.5 (-110)
Odds courtesy of bet365.
Heat vs Timberwolves spread and Over/Under analysis
- Minnesota has gone just 4-5 against the spread this season, but Miami has been a tad worse at 3-5.
- The Wolves have gone 6-3 to the Over this year, good for a rate that is sixth-highest on the year.
- The Heat have gone an even 4-4 on totals this year, including 2-2 on the road.
Heat vs Timberwolves trend
The Timberwolves have hit the game total Over in 22 of their last 33 games. Find more NBA betting trends for Heat vs. Timberwolves.
How to watch Heat vs Timberwolves
| Location: | Target Center, Minneapolis, MN |
| Date: | Sunday, 11-10-2024 |
| Tip-off: | 7:00 p.m. ET |
| TV: | FDSN, FDSSUN |
Heat vs Timberwolves latest injuries
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