The NBA player prop market is full of value today. Giannis Antetokounmpo will be dishing out the dimes for the Bucks, and Buddy Hield will continue to let it rain.
Here are my NBA picks for Wednesday, November 20.
Best NBA player props today
-
Antetokounmpo 7+ asts (+135 at bet365) -
Camara Over 5.5 rebs (+105 at bet365) -
Hield Over 3.5 threes (+110 at bet365)
Picks made on 11-20 at 2:20 p.m. ET.
NBA player props for November 20
Prop bet #1: Giannis Antetokounmpo 7+ assists
We all know by now Giannis Antetokounmpo does it all for the Milwaukee Bucks, but he's taken his playmaking to the next level recently, and I’m backing him to dish out some dimes in tonight’s matchup against the Chicago Bulls.
The Greek Freak continues to do his thing, averaging 31.4 points, 12.4 rebounds, and 5.9 assists per game. After a slow start to the season, Antetokounmpo has taken it upon himself to get his teammates more involved in the offense.
Giannis is averaging 7.0 assists per game over his last five games, and I like him to keep that up tonight.
The Bulls aren’t actually that far behind the Bucks in the standings, but their defense will keep hurting them if things don’t improve. Chicago enters this game ranked 24th in defensive rating and opponent effective field goal percentage, and it’s the extra pass that has really burned the Bulls. Chicago allows the second-most assists per 100 possessions in the NBA this season.
Giannis has an assists prop sitting at 5.5 with the Over juiced to -145. I don’t love that, so instead, I’m going to take his alternate assists at seven plus, which you can get at +135. It’s a number he’s hit in three of his last four games.
Prop bet #2: Toumani Camara Over 5.5 rebounds
We came up one rebound short with San Antonio Spurs center Zach Collins last night, but that’s not scaring me off from fading the Oklahoma City Thunder with another rebounding prop tonight.
The Thunder were actually upset by the Spurs, losing 110-104 as 9.5-point home favorites. While it wasn’t by a huge margin, OKC lost another battle on the boards.
As I said yesterday, that seems to be a direct result of not having Chet Holmgren, Isaiah Hartenstein, and Jaylin Williams. But that doesn’t change the fact OKC enters tonight’s matchup against the Portland Trail Blazers ranked dead last in both rebounding rate and opponent rebounds allowed per game.
The other reason the Thunder make a good team to pick on when it comes to rebounds is despite the fact they have a good offense, they take the second-most shots per game. So, there are lots of rebounds up for grabs in OKC games, and that has me looking at Blazers power forward Toumani Camara.
The 24-year-old looks like he’s taking a leap in Year 2 and is doing it as a starter for Portland. Camara is averaging 8.7 points while shooting an impressive 43.5% from 3-point range while adding 5.0 rebounds, 2.2 assists and 1.9 steals per game.
Camara is also logging an impressive 31.4 minutes per game. That’s plenty of time to go Over 5.5 rebounds tonight, and with our Covers Prop Projections predicting six for him, the Over at plus money looks like a great bet tonight.
Prop bet #3: Buddy Hield Over 3.5 threes
Buddy Hield is not Klay Thompson... but he has sure looked like a great substitute in his first month with the Golden State Warriors.
The veteran sharpshooter has been lethal off the bench for the Dubs this season, averaging 16.9 points per game on a crazy good 46.2% from 3-point range. And it’s not like he’s only taking a handful of shots; that’s on a big 8.0 attempts from beyond the arc per game.
I’m backing Hield to keep letting it fly in tonight’s matchup against the Atlanta Hawks.
The Hawks have probably exceeded expectations at this point with their 7-8 record, but this is still a young and flawed roster — particularly when it comes to the defensive end of the floor.
Atlanta enters this game ranked 22nd in the NBA in defensive rating, and the team has had real problems when it comes to defending the perimeter. The Hawks rank dead last in opponent 3-point field goal attempts (42.2), makes (16.7) and percentage (42.2).
Hield’s 3-pointers made prop is sitting at 3.5, which would seem lofty for most, but he's averaging 3.7 threes made per game and has gone Over this number seven times in 13 games played this season. Yet, oddsmakers are still giving us a +110 price tag. Sign me up with the newest Splash Bro.
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NBA odds today
Here are the full NBA odds for all of today’s matchups.
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