The Ottawa Senators are on a 4-1-1 run and have firmly cemented themselves in the top Wild Card spot as a result.
Defense has been the name of the game, with the Senators conceding just 12 goals along the way.
My Blue Jackets vs. Senators predictions expect Ottawa’s strong goal-suppressing ability to be at the forefront once again on Sunday.
Let’s break down my NHL picks for April 6.
Senators vs Blue Jackets prediction
My Senators pick: Under 6 (-102 at Pinnacle)
My Senators analysis
We successfully backed the under in Saturday’s game against Florida, and we’re going right back to the well vs. the Columbus Blue Jackets.
The Ottawa Senators have leaned towards lower scoring games all season long, as evidenced by their 30-38-8 O/U record. After a bit of a surge in goals coming out of the 4 Nations break, they have buttoned things up defensively and gotten back to their usual ways.
The Senators have conceded three goals or fewer in seven of the last eight games and given up only nine goals spanning the last five.
It’s not as if they’ve done this against a string of bad offensive teams. They blanked the Panthers and held the high-powered Lightning and the Penguins to one goal each, and these same Blue Jackets scored only twice a few games ago.
I expect the trend of keeping offense to a minimum will continue in this one. The Blue Jackets have scored a lot of goals this season, but they’ve really hit a wall of late.
They rank 25th in goals over the last 10 games, sitting below teams like the Kraken, Islanders, and Flyers. It’s going to be tough for them to flip the switch given how well Ottawa is defending. Not to mention, they’ll have to deal with Linus Ullmark.
His save percentage is well above league average (.908 vs. .895) and he is in strong form, having posted a .912 SV% or better in four of his last five starts.
The Senators are in a back-to-back situation and without their leading goal scorer in Brady Tkachuk. This is not a spot where they’ll be looking to open things up and play in a track meet.
Expect sound defensive structure, and strong goaltending from Ullmark, to be front-and-center en route to a relatively low-scoring affair.
Senators vs Blue Jackets odds analysis
The Senators opened as enormous favorites but have seen a market correction since, now trading at -159. That seems a reasonable price considering they are missing their captain and the Blue Jackets are a respectable opponent.
As well as the Senators have played at times this season, the difference between the two teams in goal differential is about one every five games. It’s not as if they’re worlds apart.
The total has jumped around quite a bit. It moved to 6.5 but was bet back down to 6, with bettors needing to lay quite a bit of juice (-134) to get the extra half of a puck at 6.5.
That checks out given Columbus’ offense has tailed off while Ottawa is limiting goals effectively.
Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.
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Senators vs Blue Jackets odds
Senators vs Blue Jackets live odds
Senators vs Blue Jackets opening odds
- Puck line: Ottawa +1.5 (-156) | Ottawa -1.5 (+135)
- Moneyline: Ottawa +164 | Ottawa -188
- Over/Under: Over 6 (-114) | Under 6 (-101)
Odds courtesy of Pinnacle
Senators vs Blue Jackets trend
The Senators have hit the Under in 43 of their last 83 games (+8.10 Units / 9% ROI). Find more NHL betting trends for Senators vs. Blue Jackets.
How to watch Senators vs Blue Jackets
| Location | Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa, ON |
| Date | Sunday, 4-6-2025 |
| Puck drop | 5:00 p.m. ET |
| TV | TSN5 |
Senators vs Blue Jackets latest injuries
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