The Cleveland Cavaliers wasted no time in Game 3 making it clear that they are focused on ending this first-round series as quickly as possible.
The Miami Heat might have pride at stake, but this series is over, and my Cavaliers vs. Heat predictions expect Cleveland to put a button on this series.
Read on for my full NBA picks ahead of this 7:30 p.m. ET tip on Monday, April 28.
Who will win Cavaliers vs Heat Game 4?
The Cleveland Cavaliers are taking care of business. That sounds like small praise, but did you see the Thunder barely survive the Grizzlies on Saturday? These routs cannot always be assumed.
Cleveland knows its next round will not be anywhere near as easy, with either the Pacers or the Bucks looming. So getting some rest should be a priority. Completing this sweep against the Miami Heat will grant that.
Cavaliers vs Heat prediction
My best bet: Cavaliers halftime/full-time double result (-190 at bet365)
The value here is astounding, and no, that is not often said about a bet juiced to -190. For some context, know that this same double result (or, as some would refer to it, same-game parlay) was priced beyond -400 in Oklahoma City’s Game 4 at Memphis.
The Thunder were favored by two more buckets, but that massive price was still steep. It was understandably steep, a 3-0 series ruining an 8-seed’s psychological hopes as much as anything else. But -400 was notable.
To get the same bet in the East at half that price is a delight. And Cleveland has not shown any uncertainty in this series. In fact, the Cavs have been leading at halftime and at the final buzzer in their last five games against the Heat, overing every meeting in 2025.
That fact alone could be justification enough for this bet.
Cleveland has a very professional attitude, one that warrants praise. Remember, the Grizzlies put a game-long scare into the Thunder on Saturday. Meanwhile, the Cavs have won the three first quarters in this series by an average of seven points. When Game 2 was within a point after a frame, Cleveland then won the second quarter by 16.
This is not as common as we make it out to be. And we are getting a wonderful price in this one moment of postseason reliability.
Cavaliers vs Heat same-game parlay
First of all, these playoffs have seen a renewed physicality allowance from the officiating crews. Entering Sunday, 19 of 26 playoff games had fallen short of their totals, though the first two games of this series both hit their Overs.
Miami has hit the Under on its team total twice in this series, the Game 2 exception coming in some part thanks to trailing by 13 at the start of the fourth quarter.
But a similar deficit in the clinching game should not evoke the same desperate rally. It should instead prompt an expedited quarter looking a lot like garbage time while Miami thinks about Cancun.
Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.
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Cavaliers vs Heat odds
Cavaliers vs Heat live odds
Cavaliers vs Heat opening odds
- Spread: Cleveland -9 (-110) | Miami +9 (-110)
- Moneyline: Cleveland -425 | Miami +325
- Over/Under: Over 210.5 (-110) | Under 210.5 (-110)
Odds courtesy of bet365
Cavaliers vs Heat spread and Over/Under analysis
- Cleveland was just a five-point road favorite in Game 3, this spread jumping by more than a bucket a distinct reflection of that 37-point win.
- The Cavs are 27-15 against the spread on the road this season.
- The total falling by two points since Saturday’s rout only furthers belief in the Cavaliers.
Cavaliers vs Heat trend
Cleveland has won the first half in 62 of 85 games this year. Find more NBA betting trends for Cavaliers vs. Heat.
How to watch Cavaliers vs Heat
Location | Kaseya Center, Miami, FL |
Date | Monday, 4-28-2025 |
Tip-off | 7:30 p.m. ET |
TV | TNT |
Cavaliers vs Heat latest injuries
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