The Oklahoma City Thunder’s 11-game win streak was snapped on Friday with a loss to the Rockets, but OKC will look to bounce back and earn its 65th win on Sunday when the Los Angeles Lakers visit Paycom Center.
My Lakers vs. Thunder predictions expect big scoring performances from Luka Doncic and Austin Reaves in a close road matchup. Read my NBA picks to see which player props to target and how to bet the spread.
Lakers vs Thunder prediction
My best bet: Luka Doncic Over 27.5 points (-115 at bet365)
My analysis
Luka Doncic is one of the NBA’s most gifted scorers, and he’ll need to be at his best today when the Los Angeles Lakers play the top-seeded Oklahoma City Thunder on the road. He's averaged 29.8 points per game across the last six seasons, and he’s been excellent for L.A. down the stretch.
Over the last eight games, LeBron James has averaged 21.5 points, taking a backseat in the scoring department to Doncic and Austin Reaves. Doncic is the team’s leading scorer in that span, and since the All-Star break, he’s assumed the role of No. 1 option on offense.
In 22 games since returning from the All-Star break, he's averaged 29 points and scored 28 or more 14 times. That’s good for 63.6% of his appearances in that span, and the NBA odds on this scoring line should be much shorter. With an implied probability of just 53.49%, we’re getting this at a discount.
Since the break, Doncic has averaged 27.3 points at home and a healthy 31.6 on the road in eight games outside Crypto.com Arena. In those eight games, Doncic has scored 28+ points six times.
The Lakers are a healthy 10-4 across Luka’s 14 games with at least 28 points, so there's a strong correlation between his offense and the team’s success. I expect him to deliver a quality performance on the road against a familiar foe.
Lakers vs Thunder same-game parlay
Luka Doncic Over 27.5 points
Austin Reaves 20+ points
Lakers +9
Austin Reaves has been hot on offense, averaging a robust 25.1 points per game across his last eight appearances. In that span, he’s scored 20+ six times and reached that mark in 11 of his last 13. He's averaged slightly more with Luka Doncic on the court (21.2) than without him (19.8), and he’s gone for 20+ in 14 of 22 with Luka. His scoring line is set at just 18.5 (-125), but I like it a bit more at 19.5 for -105 odds.
The Thunder have been stellar at home, going 26-11-2 ATS at home and as the home favorite. The Lakers have also been solid, going 11-9 ATS as the road underdog. The Thunder have covered in 23 of 41 games when favored by 8.5 points or more, and the Lakers have covered in three of four when underdogs of at least that many points.
With its big win over the Pelicans, the Lakers are now the No. 3 seed in the Western Conference, though there’s no time to catch their breath. Just 1.5 games separate the No. 3 seed from the No. 8 seed, and each win is crucial for L.A. over the final week of the regular season. I expect L.A.’s Big 3 of Doncic, James, and Reaves to keep things close at Paycom Center and stay on track to avoid a Play-In Tournament spot. Give me the Lakers and the points.
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Lakers vs Thunder odds
Lakers vs Thunder live odds
Lakers vs Thunder opening odds
- Spread: Los Angeles +9 | Oklahoma City -9
- Moneyline: Los Angeles +280 | Oklahoma City -360
- Over/Under: Over 230.5 | Under 230.5
Odds courtesy of bet365.
Lakers vs Thunder spread and Over/Under analysis
- Los Angeles has won three of four and gone 2-1-1 ATS in that span.
- OKC has covered in nine of the last 10.
- The Lakers and Thunder have each hit the Over in three of their last four.
Lakers vs Thunder trend
The Lakers have covered the spread in 34 of their last 55 games (+13.10 Units / 22% ROI). Find more NBA betting trends for Lakers vs. Thunder.
How to watch Lakers vs Thunder
| Location | Paycom Center, Oklahoma City, OK |
| Date | Sunday, 4-6-2025 |
| Tip-off | 3:30 p.m. ET |
| TV | Spectrum SportsNet, FDSN-Oklahoma |
Lakers vs Thunder latest injuries
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