Buckle up for a Sunday night of entertainment when the Indiana Pacers meet the Denver Nuggets at Ball Arena.
Indiana’s perimeter defense is inconsistent, and my Pacers vs. Nuggets predictions see this as an excellent opportunity for Denver sharpshooter Michael Porter Jr.
Read on as I share my NBA picks for Sunday, April 6.
Pacers vs Nuggets prediction
My best bet: Michael Porter Jr Over 2.5 made threes (+105 at bet365)
My analysis
The Indiana Pacers bring their middling 3-point defense to the Mile High City when they meet the Denver Nuggets.
That Pacers have been torched to the tune of 39% shooting from downtown across the last five, which bodes well for Denver and Michael Porter Jr.
Porter Jr. is the Nuggets’ most accurate long-range sniper, and he’s been red-hot from downtown. The former Missouri Tigers star has knocked down 3+ in three straight with a trio or more made threes in three of his last five at Ball Arena.
He thrives in the Nuggets' up-tempo offense with Nikola Jokic's playmaking skills, and both should be on full display tonight.
Indiana doesn’t defend the perimeter well, and they could be without Pascal Siakam tonight. That will make defending the 3-point arc that much more difficult for Indiana than it has already been.
Porter will get his looks, and the six-year vet averages nearly three made threes per night on 41% shooting at home. I like his chances of dropping 3+ triples against this inconsistent Pacers perimeter defense.
Pacers vs Nuggets same-game parlay
Michael Porter Jr. Over 2.5 made threes
Tyrese Haliburton Under 22.5 points
Nuggets moneyline
Porter is used to shooting in the Denver altitude, but Pacers guard Tyrese Haliburton and the rest of the team aren’t.
Haliburton has only scored 23+ once in the last six games. He’s reliant on the triple that likely won’t be there as Denver holds point guards to 20% from downtown at home. Haliburton only averages a shade Under 17 ppg.
Slow Haliburton, slow Indiana. Especially if Siakam is out. Denver has won nine straight over Indiana, and I expect them to win this one too.
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Pacers vs Nuggets odds
Pacers vs Nuggets live odds
Pacers vs Nuggets opening odds
- Spread: Indiana +6.5 (-118) | Denver -6.5 (-102)
- Moneyline: Indiana +195 | Denver -235
- Over/Under: Over 239.5 (-115) | Under 239.5 (-105)
Odds courtesy of bet365
Pacers vs Nuggets spread and Over/Under analysis
- Indiana is 3-7-0 ATS in their last 10 and 17-22-0 ATS as the away team.
- The Over/Under in their 10 H2H meetings is 5-5-0.
- Covers Consensus data shows 58% of picks backing the Nuggets, with 67% on the Over.
Pacers vs Nuggets trend
Denver is 9-1 SU in their previous 10 matchups with Indiana. Find more NBA betting trends for Pacers vs. Nuggets.
How to watch Pacers vs Nuggets
| Location | Ball Arena, Denver, CO |
| Date | Sunday, 4-6-2025 |
| Tip-off | 8:00 p.m. ET |
| TV |
FDSN Indiana, Altitude |
Pacers vs Nuggets latest injuries
Not intended for use in MA.
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