Magic vs Wizards Odds, Picks, and Predictions Tonight: Suggs Facilitates for Orlando

Jalen Suggs has turned his game around and has become a very important piece for the success of Orlando's success. With the Magic guard expected to get a bump in minutes tonight, our NBA picks are banking on Suggs to stuff the stat sheet.

Jon Metler - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Jon Metler • Betting Analyst
Mar 6, 2024 • 14:40 ET • 4 min read
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This article contains predictions for an old game!

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The Orlando Magic will travel to Capital One Arena to take on the Washington Wizards tonight, and I have you covered with my best bet for the matchup featuring the latest NBA odds.

Don't look now, but the Magic are the No. 4 seed in the Eastern Conference, and this isn't a fluke that won't last. Orlando has one of the easiest remaining schedules in the NBA down the stretch and can definitely maintain its spot in the standings.

With the visitors on the back end of a back-to-back find out which NBA player prop I'm backing in my free NBA picks for the Magic vs. Wizards on Wednesday, March 6.

Magic vs Wizards odds

Magic vs Wizards predictions

Both Gary Harris and Jonathan Isaac are both expected to be out for the Orlando Magic tonight while Markelle Fultz, who missed Tuesday's game, is expected to play. 

Marvin Bagley, who left Monday's game for the Washington Wizards, will also be out tonight, which is a disaster for this roster. The Wizards already have some of the worst rim protection in the NBA, and now they'll be without their starting center and maybe forced to start Richaun Holmes at the five.

With the Magic missing their main 3-point threat in Gary Harris, Jamahl Mosley will need to elevate the minutes of some of his other shooters to help create space for Paolo Banchero and Franz Wagner on the offensive end. This bodes well for increased minutes for Jalen Suggs, who is shooting 38.9% from deep this season.

Washington also has no rim protection, which means potential assists at the rim should convert at a higher rate. We saw it with the guards for the Jazz, as Collin Sexton, Jordan Clarkson, and Kris Dunn all went Over their assists totals against the Wiz on Monday.

Not only do the Wizards have no rim protection, but the Magic have several big men who can finish potential assists at the rim from their guards.

Orlando may have played last night, but Suggs only played 20 minutes. I think there are so many indicators pointing to increased minutes for Suggs in this spot, and with his assists prop trading at 2.5 (+110) for the Over against the Wizards, I love this bet.

Suggs is projected to have three assists, which means we can price the Over 2.5 assists at -130, but it is available at DraftKings at +110. Based on this projection, this bet is showing a positive expected value of 19%.

My best bet: Jalen Suggs Over 2.5 assists (+110 at DraftKings)

Magic vs Wizards same-game parlay

Jalen Suggs Over 2.5 assists

Suggs Ovr 9.5 points

Suggs Over 1.5 made threes

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I hope you enjoy rooting for Suggs because I am fully leaning into his player props for this same game parlay.

I talked about in my best bet for Suggs Over 2.5 assists how I think he will see elevated minutes because of the Magic's need for shooting with Harris out of the lineup. While this is a reason I'm playing him Over 2.5 assists, it's also a reason why I think we should pair this prop with the Over on his points prop and threes made prop. 

In the month of February, Suggs shot 42.6% from deep, which is very impressive for him considering what his stats were like in his rookie season. The bottom line is that if we think Suggs could see elevated minutes, the majority of his props are going to show an edge, and this is very true with his points prop trading at 9.5 along with the assists prop trading at 2.5.

Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.

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Magic vs Wizards spread and Over/Under analysis

The Magic opened as a seven-point favorite at FanDuel, and they are still trading there. We did see this line spend some time at Magic -8.0, but it wasn't for very long, as it was almost immediately bet back down to Magic -7.0. If you're betting on the side in this matchup, make sure to shop around because there are some -7.5s out there in the market as well.

The total opened at 227 at DraftKings and has since fallen three points to 224. We did see this total dip as low as 222.5, but it keeps finding its way back to 224. Unless we get a surprise addition to the injury report, I would expect this total to close near 224.5. Anytime it has dipped below 224.5, we have seen resistance from the market and the number driven back up to 224.5.

Magic vs Wizards betting trend to know

The Magic have covered the spread in 50 of their last 75 games (+22.60 Units / 27% ROI). Find more NBA betting trends for Magic vs. Wizards.

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Magic vs Wizards game info

Location: Capital One Arena, Washington, DC
Date: Wednesday, March 6, 2024
Tip-off: 7:00 p.m. ET
TV: Bally Sports Florida, MNMT

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Betting Analyst

Having played, coached, and officiated basketball, Jon immediately turned his attention to the NBA when he entered the sports betting space. Sports betting has been a part of his life for over 14 years, and he specializes in futures markets and player props, particularly in the NBA. In pursuit of value, he keeps a close eye on movements in the betting markets. He believes strongly in analytics and staying ahead of the curve and, when possible, lets the numbers do the talking.

Jon hosts the NBA Prop Picks show powered by EV Analytics, which airs on the Covers YouTube channel, and he is also a regular guest on Before You Bet with Joe Osborne.

Jon keeps his eye on the NBA betting markets 365 days a year and uses 10-plus sportsbooks to always shop around for the best price for whichever bet he is looking to place. If there are NBA games on for that current day, you can guarantee that Jon woke up way too early, has already had some caffeine, and is ready to begin placing bets on NBA player props.

His favorite sportsbooks are Pinnacle, Caesars, and Betano, with the first two being where he places the majority of his bets, while Betano sneaks into the top three because of their creative futures markets for the NBA.

Before joining Covers in December 2023, Jon worked as a sports betting analyst at Sportsbook Review. He also holds a Bachelor's degree from the University of Windsor, where he studied Human Kinetics with a focus on Sports Studies.

Jon's top piece of advice for sports bettors: "Any outcome is possible in sports betting; you're just hunting for one that is more probable than the sportsbooks have it priced."

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