After earning a hard-fought win over the Los Angeles Clippers on Sunday, the depleted Denver Nuggets look to earn a road win over the Golden State Warriors. The Warriors should be getting some key players back out of quarantine for this one, so it’s not going to be an easy task for the Nuggets.
Will Denver find a way to give Golden State a game on Tuesday? Keep reading our Nuggets vs. Warriors NBA picks and predictions for Tuesday, December 29 to find out.
Nuggets vs Warriors odds
Odds via the Covers Line, an average comprised of odds from multiple sportsbooks.
The Nuggets were 7-point underdogs at open in this meeting with the Warriors, and they’re now getting either 6.5 or 7. The total, which opened at 217, is moving in both directions, with it being as low as 216 and as high as 217.5.
Use the live odds widget above to track any future line movements right until tip-off and be sure to check out the full NBA odds before betting to ensure you get the best number.
Nuggets vs Warriors predictions
Predictions made on 12/28/2021 at 12:25 p.m. ET.
Click on each prediction to jump to the full analysis.
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Nuggets vs Warriors game info
• Location: Chase Center, San Francisco, CA
• Date: Tuesday, December 28, 2021
• Tip-off: 10:00 p.m. ET
• TV: NBA TV
Nuggets vs Warriors betting preview
Injuries
Nuggets: Aaron Gordon F (Questionable), Markus Howard G (Out), Michael Porter Jr. F (Out), PJ Dozier G (Out), Jamal Murray G (Out).
Warriors: Andrew Wiggins F (Probable), Jordan Poole G (Out), Draymond Green F (Out), Damion Lee G (Out), James Wiseman C (Out), Klay Thompson G (Out).
Find our latest NBA injury reports.
Betting trend to know
The Warriors are 22-7-1 against the spread in their last 30 games as home favorites. Find more NBA betting trends for Nuggets vs. Warriors.
Nuggets vs Warriors picks and predictions
Our predictions are compiled from the analysis of the spread and total and are indications of where we are leaning for this game.
Our best bet is the play that we like the most for this game, which we would actually put some of our bankroll behind.
Spread analysis
The Warriors defense is definitely going to be hurting a bit without Draymond Green in the lineup, and Golden State will surely lose what is normally a huge advantage in positional versatility here. Still, this Denver team is not playing well enough right now to inspire much hope against a team as good as this one.
The Nuggets barely beat the shorthanded Clippers on Sunday, which was embarrassing considering the team was playing without Paul George. Denver had lost three of its previous four games before that narrow victory, and the team has now failed to cover in four of its last five.
The reality right now is that Nikola Jokic’s otherworldly play just isn’t enough to keep this Nuggets team afloat against some of the Western Conference’s best teams. With guys like Murray and Porter out, and Gordon being banged up, Denver is missing too many of its best players. Offensively, the Nuggets do not have enough punch to hang with a Warriors team that should still be great without Green.
Golden State will also be boosted by the returns of Wiggins, who is having a career year.
Prediction: Warriors -6.5 (-110)
Over/Under analysis
The Over is 4-1 in Golden State’s last five games and the Warriors should be involved in more high-scoring games with Green out of the lineup. Golden State isn’t going to completely fold defensively, but teams are going to have a much easier time scoring without one of the best defenders in the history of basketball on the floor. With that in mind, the Nuggets should put up some more points than they have over the last couple of games. They are likely to give it back up on the other end.
For what it’s worth, the Over is 9-1 in Denver’s last 10 games as an underdog. It’s also 9-2 when the Nuggets are coming off an ATS loss. Also, on the Golden State side, the Over is 4-0 in the Warriors’ last four games following a straight-up win.
Prediction: Over 216.5 (-115)
Best bet
The Warriors are 16-2 SU and 14-4 ATS in home games this season, and they’re also facing a Nuggets team that is 8-10 SU and 7-11 ATS on the road this year. On top of that, Denver is also a lousy 17-32 ATS when coming off a road win over the last three seasons. Meanwhile, Golden State is 12-2 ATS in home games against Northwest division teams since the start of last year.
Overall, it’s just hard to imagine a Nuggets team that is lacking in firepower finding a way to keep up with Curry and these Warriors. The Warriors superstar should have a couple of his classic three-point flurries, and any single one of those runs can put this Nuggets team away.
Pick: Warriors -6.5 (-110)
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