Pacers vs Wizards Picks and Predictions: Turner is the X-Factor Defensively

Indiana looks to end a two-game losing skid when they face Washington in D.C. tonight. Read why we're backing Myles Turner's presence to be a difference against one of the Wizards' key players in our NBA betting picks.

Trevor Knapp - Publishing Editor at Covers.com
Trevor Knapp • Publishing Editor
Oct 28, 2022 • 09:40 ET • 4 min read
Myles Turner Indiana Pacers NBA
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

It's an Eastern Conference battle on Friday night in the nation's capital when the 3-1 Washington Wizards play host to the 1-4 Indiana Pacers.

Washington is coming off two full days of rest, while Indiana last played on Wednesday in Chicago — a game in which the Pacers lost by 15.

Can Indiana rebound, or will Washington continue its pleasant start to the season? Find out in our free NBA picks and predictions for Wizards vs. Pacers on October 28.

Pacers vs Wizards best odds

Pacers vs Wizards picks and predictions

We're only a handful of games into the NBA season for these two teams, and both have already faced one another.

In the season opener in Indianapolis, the Wizards prevailed 114-107, led by the trio of Bradley Beal, Kristaps Porzingis, and Kyle Kuzma

The Wiz currently rank just 27th in pace at 97.3, compared to Indiana's 102.8. However, they've been highly efficient from the field, starting with a FG% of 49.4. 

While Indiana is hitting 14 threes a game so far (sixth in the league), it's doing so at a paltry rate of 34.5%. Meanwhile, the Wizards are shooting less from beyond the arc but have been much more efficient thus far. 

In Washington's first win of the season over Indiana, Porzingis hit double-digits in rebounds with 10. He's since followed that up with uneven performances of 3, 11, and 7. 

What we do know, however, is that Porzingis cleaning up the glass against Indiana may have been a bit deceitful. The absence of center Myles Turner from the Pacers' lineup left them weak and exposed down low, and he's since returned to the court.

The two-time blocks leader has incredible athleticism for a big man and should be able to keep KP away from the rim tonight. 

At a number of 8.5, I'm hitting the Under on Porzingis' rebounds.

My best bet: Kristaps Porzingis Under 8.5 rebounds (-115 at bet365)

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Pacers vs Wizards spread analysis

Washington is currently a 5.5-point favorite tonight compared to being -2.5 road chalk in Indiana to begin the season. The Wizards were also favored by 5.5 in their latest 120-99 win over Detroit this past Tuesday. 

The Wizards clean up at home against squads with bad road records, as they're 5-0 ATS in their last five against teams coming in with a win percentage under .400.

The Pacers are 0-4 ATS in their last four meetings in Washington and 1-4 ATS in their last five games overall. 

Currently, 74% of the public is backing Washington -5.5 over at our Covers Consensus page. The Wizards are 2-0 on home court this year, and all trends point towards them remaining unbeaten at Capital One Arena. 

Pacers vs Wizards Over/Under analysis

Indiana comes into this matchup 2-3 to the Under, while Washington has cashed the Over just once. 

Dating back to last season, the Under is 1-7 in Washington's last seven overall and 5-1 when their opponent scored 100+ the previous outing (Indiana last scored 109 against Chicago). 

In the first meeting between these two teams, the total was set at 228.5, which is the same as tonight's O/U. The game finished at 221 total points, and with Turner back in the fold, I expect the final score to be even lower. 

Pacers vs Wizards betting trend to know

Indiana is 1-6 ATS in its last seven Friday games. Find more NBA betting trends for Pacers vs. Wizards.

Pacers vs Wizards game info

Location: Capital One Arena, Washington, DC
Date: Friday, October 28, 2022
Tip-off: 7:30 p.m. ET
TV: ESPN

Pacers vs Wizards key injuries

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Trevor Knapp - Covers
Publishing Editor

Trevor joined the Covers content team as a publishing editor in early 2022. Growing up in Vancouver, he studied Broadcast and Online Journalism at the British Columbia Institute of Technology (BCIT), and interned with TSN and Sportsnet Radio while also writing for the Daily Hive.

An avid bettor of the MLB, NFL, and CFL, Trevor advises his fellow sports bettors to leave their hearts at the door and not hesitate to fade their favorite team. It's a strategy he follows regularly as an apathetic Toronto Blue Jays and Indianapolis Colts fan.

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