We've got a relatively quiet Saturday of NBA betting with just six games on the slate, but that still leaves us with hundreds of options on the NBA player prop markets.
Today, we take advantage of the slumping Lakers to jump on a low prop number for LeBron James, while fading a pair of young talents that might be a bit overvalued in some key categories.
Here are our best free NBA player prop picks for Saturday, March 5.
NBA player props for March 5
Picks made on 3/5/2022 at 12:05 p.m. ET.
The odds widgets below represent the best odds currently available for each betting market at regulated sportsbooks.
Click on each pick to jump to the full analysis.
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Today’s best NBA player props
Faulty Bridges
Hornets forward Miles Bridges is enjoying a breakout season with 19.9 points and 7.2 rebounds per game. One area he has really improved at over the course of the season has been as a passer.
Bridges is averaging 4.7 assists per game over his last 12 games but that uptick in assists has been equaled by a surge in turnovers for the 23-year-old. Bridges has turned the ball over at least three times in five of his last six games.
With the Hornets facing off against the Spurs today, expect an up-tempo game with plenty of mistakes being made as these teams push the pace. With the Over 2.5 on Bridges' turnovers paying out at +155, we're grabbing it.
Pick: Miles Bridges Over 2.5 turnovers (+155 at bet365)
Fade-away jumper
The Grizzlies host the Magic as whopping 16-point favorites tonight, and while all eyes will be on the red-hot Ja Morant, Memphis is more than a one-man team. Power forward Jaren Jackson is averaging 16.5 points per game and is capable of stretching the floor, draining 1.7 three-pointers per game at a 31.4% clip.
That said, Jackson has gone ice-cold from deep lately, going just 2-14 from beyond the arc in his last five games.
With the O/U on Jackson's three-pointers made today set at 1.5, a number he has gone below in 26 of his last 37 games (70.3%), we're taking the Under.
Pick: Jaren Jackson Under 1.5 3-pointers made (-125 at Caesars)
Sharing the King's riches
With the Lakers seemingly falling apart, LeBron James has been forced to become more assertive as a scorer and has seen his assists numbers plummet since the All-Star break. He hasn't logged more than five assists in four-straight games and had back-to-back contests with just three assists last weekend.
That said, LeBron is still one of the best passers in the league and his recent slump in that area also means that the O/U on his assists total is now at just 5.5. Keep in mind that before the All-Star break, LeBron was averaging 6.5 assists per game and had dropped at least six dimes in six consecutive games.
King James has averaged 7.4 apg in his career. Despite his teammates struggling to score right now, they are facing a Warriors team that has regressed on defense lately, allowing 115 ppg on 48.6 FG% in their last eight games. That includes a February 12 showdown with the Lakers where James racked up eight assists.
Pick: LeBron James Over 5.5 assists (-120 at Caesars)
Did you know that if you played today’s NBA props as a parlay, you could win $74.15 on a $10 bet?
Use our NBA parlay calculator to create your own parlays and see their potential payouts.
