Today’s NBA Player Prop Picks: Clarkson Adjusting Well to Starting Role

Saturday features an eight-game slate in the NBA. Utah Jazz guard Jordan Clarkson headlines our best NBA player prop picks tonight, as the former Sixth Man of the Year has jelled nicely in the starting five up to now.

Rohit Ponnaiya - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Rohit Ponnaiya • Betting Analyst
Nov 12, 2022 • 14:20 ET • 4 min read
Jordan Clarkson Utah Jazz NBA
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

The Utah Jazz and Portland Trail Blazers have been two of the biggest surprises in the NBA this season. And while the Rockets are still terrible, the future looks bright in Houston.

We're looking at those three teams for our NBA player props on Saturday as we target Utah's Jordan Clarkson, Portland's Jerami Grant, and Houston's Alperen Sengun. Here are our best free NBA player prop picks for November 12.

NBA player props for November 12

Picks made on 11/12/2022 at 1:45 p.m. ET.
Click on each pick to jump to the full analysis.

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Today’s best NBA player props

The odds widgets below represent the best odds currently available for each betting market at regulated sportsbooks.

Clarkson's found a home

The Utah Jazz were expected to be the worst team in the league but are somehow on top of the Western Conference with a 10-3 record.

They are second in the league in offensive rating, with Lauri Markannen and Jordan Clarkson leading the way. Clarkson has been one of the league's best sixth men over the last few seasons, and he's now thriving in a starting role.

The guard has hit the 20-point plateau in five straight games, averaging 22 points per game over that span. He's also taking an average of 16.8 field goal attempts per game over that five-game stretch, so you know the volume will be there on a Jazz team that doesn't have many shot-creators.

With Clarkson and the Jazz taking on a Wizards squad that ranks 20th in the league in defensive rating, take the Over 18.5 on his points total. 

Jordan Clarkson Prop: Over 18.5 pts (-106)

Grant can do it all

The Blazers look to continue their strong start as they head to the Lone Star state to take on the Dallas Mavericks.

Portland might be without center Jusuf Nurkic for the third game in a row, with the center nursing a hip injury. That should mean more rebounding opportunities for other Blazers players, including forward Jerami Grant.

Grant is coming off a terrific performance against the Pelicans on Thursday, when he scored 27 points and grabbed eight boards. He'll look to attack the glass again tonight against a Mavs team that ranks just 25th in the NBA in rebounding rate.

With the O/U on Grant's rebounds set at 4.5 — a number he has eclipsed in five of his last six games — I'm hammering the Over. 

Jerami Grant Prop: Over 4.5 rebounds (-112)

Turkish delight

The Rockets take their 2-10 record on the road as they head to the Big Easy to face the New Orleans Pelicans. Despite an ugly start to their season, the Rockets have plenty of promising young players, including Alperen Sengun. 

The center is coming off a game where he scored 17 points on just eight field goal attempts versus the Raptors. He has now dropped at least 17 points in four-straight games, averaging 20 ppg on 61.4% shooting over that span. 

The Pels are 23rd in the league in points per game allowed in the paint (51.3), which is good news for Sengun, who gets most of his buckets close to the basket. Bet the Over 15.5 on his points total. 

Alperen Sengun Prop: Over 15.5 points (+100)

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Betting Analyst

With a background playing soccer, rugby, and boxing, combined with a journalism degree, it's little surprise that Rohit gravitated towards the world of sports betting. He specializes in betting on UFC and college basketball, two sports where the eyeball test can tell you a lot more about matchups than any analytics. Rohit has years of experience handicapping NFL and NBA games as well as niche betting markets such as politics and Oscar odds. He's also the resident CFL expert and formerly hosted "The Chez and Ro Show" with former CFL star Davis Sanchez.

You can catch Rohit breaking down every UFC event with Joe Osborne on "P4P Picks" on the Covers YouTube channel and he also has regular appearances on "Before You Bet" with Joe. In addition, he's a regular guest on "By The Book" on the Monumental Sports Network and makes guest appearances on VSIN's "The Handle" and CBS Sports.

Rohit primarily makes his bets at bet365, which offers a wide variety of prop markets, but also has accounts at several others so he can shop around for the best prices. For Rohit, bankroll management is key. He believes you should never bet what you can't afford to lose and maximize those few betting opportunities where books misprice a line.

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