Best NBA Player Props Today: Washington Wipes Glass Clean

Rohit Ponnaiya has taken a long look at the NBA player prop markets for Tuesday night and has a three-pack of NBA betting picks to discuss. Find out why P.J. Washington will provide the Mavericks with valuable minutes in Game 2.

Rohit Ponnaiya - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Rohit Ponnaiya • Betting Analyst
Apr 23, 2024 • 11:45 ET • 4 min read
Dallas Mavericks NBA P.J. Washington
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

There are a trio of Game 2 matchups on the NBA betting board tonight and there are plenty of NBA player props to like.

Unders have gone 8-3 so far in the NBA playoffs and the Suns, Mavericks, and Pacers, were all held below 100 points in the first game of their respective series. I'm expecting two of those offenses to struggle again, which is why I'm fading a pair of All-Star guards in Devin Booker and Tyrese Haliburton in the NBA odds.

Here are my best free NBA picks and player props for Tuesday, April 23.

Best NBA player props today

Picks made on April 23 at 11:45 a.m. ET.
Read full analysis of each pick.

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NBA player props for April 23

Prop bet #1: Bearish on Booker 

The Minnesota Timberwolves had the best defense in the NBA during the regular season and they proved that they were ready for playoff ball by holding the Phoenix Suns to just 95 points in Game 1. Kevin Durant was his usually efficient self, but Devin Booker was limited to just 18 points on 5-16 shooting while knocking down a pair of treys. 

Even during the regular season when he was filling up the hoop, Booker was streaky from beyond the arc. The Suns guard knocked down fewer than 2.5 three-pointers made in 21 of his final 28 games during the regular season and had a mediocre 33.1 3PT% over that span.

The T-Wolves might be best known for the shot-blocking prowess of Rudy Gobert at the rim but they also do an excellent job of defending the arc. They finished the regular season, sixth in the NBA in opponent three-point percentage (35.4%) and third in threes allowed per game (11.4). Fade the Devin Booker odds on his threes today.

Devin Booker prop: Under 2.5 made 3s (-135 at DraftKings)

Prop bet #2: Wild about Washington

P.J. Washington pulled down seven rebounds in 37 minutes in Game 1 and he should another heavy workload vs. the Los Angeles Clippers in Game 2. Washington has grabbed 6+ rebounds in eight of his last 11 contests and one of the games where he went below that number was the meaningless season finale against Detroit where he played just 15 minutes.

Don't expect to see him on a minutes restriction tonight since the forward has gotten plenty of burn for the Dallas Mavericks after they traded for him at the deadline.

Since the start of March, Washington averaged 6.5 rebounds in 32.7 minutes per game. With most statistical models projecting between 5.9 and 6.2 boards for Washington tonight take the Over 5.5 on the rebounds total in the P.J. Washington odds.

P.J. Washington prop: Over 5.5 rebounds (-104 at FanDuel)

Prop bet #3: Tyrese gets tied down

The big story in Game 1 of this series was Damian Lillard dropping a playoff-record 35 points in the first half. However, a disappointing performance from Indiana Pacers point guard Tyrese Haliburton was also a big reason the Pacers lost. Haliburton averaged 20.1 points per game during the regular season but he took just seven shots and scored nine points in Game 1. 

I'm seeing many analysts calling for a bounce-back performance for Haliburton, especially since he torched the Bucks earlier in the season, but I'm not so sure. Keep in mind that while Haliburton put together four excellent performances against the Milwaukee Bucks during the regular season, all of those games came before the middle of January. 

Haliburton began the season on a tear averaging 24.9 ppg on 17.7 FGA with 50/41/86 shooting splits through the first 30 games. However, he sprained his hamstring on January 8 and hasn't looked the same since returning. In the final 35 games of the regular season, his field goal attempts dropped to 13.6 per game and with his shooting splits sinking to 45/32/84, he averaged a modest 16.8 ppg. 

Milwaukee's defensive gameplan was also a big reason that Haliburton struggled in Game 1 with the Bucks sending double-teams at the point guard, cutting off the rim and forcing him left. There's no reason for them to do anything different tonight and with Haliburton's performance in Game 1 looking more like a trend than just an off-night, I'm fading the Tyrese Haliburton odds on his points again.

Tyrese Haliburton prop: Under 19.5 points (-115 at bet365)

Not intended for use in MA.
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Betting Analyst

With a background playing soccer, rugby, and boxing, combined with a journalism degree, it's little surprise that Rohit gravitated towards the world of sports betting. He specializes in betting on UFC and college basketball, two sports where the eyeball test can tell you a lot more about matchups than any analytics. Rohit has years of experience handicapping NFL and NBA games as well as niche betting markets such as politics and Oscar odds. He's also the resident CFL expert and formerly hosted "The Chez and Ro Show" with former CFL star Davis Sanchez.

You can catch Rohit breaking down every UFC event with Joe Osborne on "P4P Picks" on the Covers YouTube channel and he also has regular appearances on "Before You Bet" with Joe. In addition, he's a regular guest on "By The Book" on the Monumental Sports Network and makes guest appearances on VSIN's "The Handle" and CBS Sports.

Rohit primarily makes his bets at bet365, which offers a wide variety of prop markets, but also has accounts at several others so he can shop around for the best prices. For Rohit, bankroll management is key. He believes you should never bet what you can't afford to lose and maximize those few betting opportunities where books misprice a line.

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