The Milwaukee Bucks have continued to struggle, having fallen to 4-9 after their most recent loss. Monday night sees them host the young and emerging Houston Rockets, who have all of the talent and depth needed to hand the Bucks their 10th loss tonight.
Read my Rockets vs. Bucks predictions and NBA picks below for more.
Rockets vs Bucks prediction
My best bet
Rockets +3.5 (-110 at bet365)
My analysis
The Houston Rockets flashed their potential at times last season in their first year under Ime Udoka, and it seems the learnings from that have not only stuck but have also been built upon.
The Rockets find themselves at 10-4, and it's not unwarranted: they're fifth in net rating, pairing their eleventh-ranked offensive rating with the third-ranked defensive rating. And that shows in the box scores as only two other teams allow fewer points per game.
They're more disciplined and well-rounded than just those few data points would suggest. They're the league's best team according to rebounding rate, and they also have the fifth-lowest turnover rate. The former could provide trouble for the Milwaukee Bucks as they rank just 24th in rebounding rate and dead last in offensive rebounding rate specifically.
And Houston has seemingly put it all together as of late, winning five straight and having never surrendered more than 107 points in any of those wins. This is quite simply the wrong night for the Bucks to be looking to get things back on track, all things considered.
Rockets vs Bucks same-game parlay
Rockets +3.5
Alperen Sengun Over 9.5 rebounds
Jalen Green Over 19.5 points
Given the prior points about their discrepancies in rebounding efficiency, it makes a lot of sense to look at that total for someone like Alperen Sengun.
Sengun averages 11.4 rebounds per game, which is why his Monday night total is relatively low given this plus matchup, and his floor on the glass has been superb as of late as he's reached double-digit boards in five straight.
The Bucks have also struggled against opposing point guards, allowing 26.7 points to the position which is the third-highest mark this year. Jalen Green should see ample scoring opportunities as a result.
Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.
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Rockets vs Bucks odds
Rockets vs Bucks live odds
Rockets vs Bucks opening odds
- Spread: Houston +3.5 | Milwaukee -3.5
- Moneyline: Houston +145 | Milwaukee -170
- Over/Under: Over 218 | Under 218
Odds courtesy of bet365.
Rockets vs Bucks spread and Over/Under analysis
- Milwaukee is 4-8-1 ATS this year, which is good for the fourth-lowest cover rate on the season. Houston is 9-5 ATS, good for the fourth-highest cover rate on the season.
- The Bucks are 8-5 to the Under, good for fourth in the NBA. The Rockets are near even on totals but are 4-2 to the Under on the road — the second-best Under mark in that split.
- Milwaukee has played in just four games at or below tonight’s total and has gone Over in three of them.
Rockets vs Bucks trend
The Rockets have covered the spread in 26 of their last 38 games for +12.8 units and a 31% ROI. Find more NBA betting trends for Rockets vs. Bucks.
How to watch Rockets vs Bucks
| Location: | Fiserv Forum, Milwaukee, WI |
| Date: | Monday, 11-18-2024 |
| Tip-off: | 8:00 p.m. ET |
| TV: | FanDuel Sports Network - Wisconsin, Space City Home Network |
Rockets vs Bucks latest injuries
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