Rams vs Jets Predictions and Picks for NFL Week 16

The Jets' defense has been leaky of late, but their offense has shown signs of life. They host a high-octane Rams attack on Sunday and the sparks should fly, per Ed Scimia's NFL betting picks.

Ed Scimia - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Ed Scimia • Betting Analyst
Dec 20, 2024 • 15:30 ET • 4 min read

NFL

Match starts: 41 hrs
NYJ
25 %
LA
75 %
EXPERT PICK - TOTAL
Over 46.5 (-110)
Read Analysis
Matthew Stafford Los Angeles Rams NFL
Photo By - Imagn Images. Pictured: Matthew Stafford.

The Los Angeles Rams will try to solidify their playoff position this weekend as they visit the New York Jets at MetLife Stadium in Week 16 action.

My Rams vs. Jets predictions believe the offenses should dominate in this matchup, which is why I’m backing the Over.

Read on to see my full analysis for this game in my free NFL picks for Sunday, December 22.

Rams vs Jets predictions

    My best bet
    Over 46.5 (-110 at BetMGM)

    My analysis

    As bad as the New York Jets have been, they can’t place all the blame on Aaron Rodgers.

    At age 41, Rodgers is no longer putting up great numbers, but he’s been solid enough, especially over the past month or so, when the New York offense has actually looked like a legitimate NFL unit. Over their last four games, the Jets are averaging 26.5 ppg.

    Of course, the Jets have only won one of those games. At this point, the real blame should be on the New York defense, which seems to be stuck in a pattern of “don’t break, just bend.”

    While the Jets are allowing just 5.2 yards per play, an elite number in the NFL, they are allowing a relatively poor 23.2 ppg, seemingly finding the worst times to allow big plays and long drives. The Los Angeles Rams and quarterback Matthew Stafford will be ready to take advantage of those opportunities.

    A dreary outing in a 12-6 win over the 49ers has depressed Los Angeles’ offensive numbers, but that came on the heels of a 44-point outburst against Buffalo. In the four games before that trip to San Francisco, Stafford threw for 10 touchdowns and no interceptions, and is likely to add to those numbers on what looks like a good weather day in New Jersey on Sunday.

    The Jets have hit the Over in four straight games as they trend towards higher-scoring football, and the Rams also went Over the total in three of four before last Thursday’s debacle. Both the matchup and the trends are pointing clearing in the same direction, which is why I’m taking the Over in this game.

    Rams vs Jets same-game parlay

    Over 46.5

    Rams moneyline

    Matthew Stafford Over 240.5 passing yards

    I see the Rams getting the best of this shootout in New York, and that gives me a couple extra legs to throw on my same-game parlay. Along with the Over, I’ll take the Rams on the moneyline.

    I’m not so sure about the spread here, but the Rams are a relatively small favorite, which means betting on Los Angeles still comes with solid value – and they should be able to score a win against a Jets team that has been awful at closing out games against quality opponents this year.

    In what should be a relatively close and high-scoring affair, Rams quarterback Matthew Stafford should be able to get Over his passing prop of 240.5 yards.

    While Stafford had a quiet game in that ugly win over the 49ers last week, there’s no reason to expect that against a Jets defense that has been average against the passing game overall. Stafford has hit this total in six of his last eight games and should get Over that number on Sunday.

    Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.

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    Rams vs Jets odds

    Rams vs Jets live odds

    Rams vs Jets opening odds

    • Spread: Los Angeles -3 | New York +3
    • Moneyline: Los Angeles -160 | New York +135
    • Over/Under: Over 46.5 | Under 46.5

    Odds courtesy of BetMGM

    Rams vs Jets spread and Over/Under analysis

    • The Rams are 7-7 against the spread this year while the Jets have gone 5-9 ATS on the season.
    • Los Angeles is riding a three-game winning streak against the spread coming into Sunday’s game.
    • The Over has an 8-5-1 record when the Jets play this year, while the Rams have played to an even 7-7 record on both sides of the total.
    • New York is playing to an average total of 43.4 ppg on the year, with Los Angeles averaging a total of 46.2 ppg.

    Rams vs Jets betting trend to know

    The Over is 4-0 in New York’s last four games. Find more NFL betting trends for Rams vs. Jets.

    Rams vs Jets game info

    Location: MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, NJ
    Date: Sunday, 12-22-2024
    Kickoff: 1:00 p.m. ET
    TV: CBS

    Rams vs Jets latest injuries

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    Ed Scimia - Covers.com
    Betting Analyst

    Ed Scimia has been writing about the gaming industry for over 15 years. He graduated from Syracuse University with degrees in Magazine Journalism and Political Science in 2003, and has covered major gambling events like the World Series of Poker in his career. Since joining Covers in 2022, Ed has offered his sports betting analysis primarily on MLB, NFL, college football, and college basketball games, but is willing to take on any sport.

    His betting strategy focuses more on finding line value based on deviations from the market rather than traditional handicapping, primarily shopping between DraftKings, FanDuel, and Fanatics in his home state of Connecticut, though he’s not afraid to do deep game analysis to find profitable bets at any book.

    Outside of gambling, Ed is an avid curler who competes in mixed doubles on the World Curling Tour and runs a popular curling YouTube channel, Chess on Ice. That experience has come in handy during the Olympics, when he has proven to be a successful curling bettor as well. 

    Ed's advice to new bettors is to always open multiple sportsbook accounts and check the odds at each before placing any bet. Successful sports betting is about consistently beating the closing line value, which requires finding spots where one book is offering odds far better than the rest of the market and jumping on those opportunities.

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