If Game 3 isn’t a must-win tilt for the Edmonton Oilers, it’s as close as they come because the Los Angeles Kings can take a commanding 3-0 series lead with a road win at Rogers Place on Friday, April 25.
While there have been goals in bunches through the first two games of the series, my Kings vs. Oilers predictions and NHL picks expect the scoring to dip with both teams tightening up defensively.
Who will win Kings vs Oilers Game 3?
Connor McDavid and Leon Draisaitl will have their way in a Game 3 win. The Los Angeles Kings didn’t travel well during the regular season with a 17-19-5 road record.
Additionally, Los Angeles has a splash of statistical correction coming to its unsustainably high 18.0 team shooting percentage at 5-on-5. Back the Oil to get one back.
Kings vs Oilers prediction
My Kings pick: Under 5.5 (+115 at BET99)
The goal scoring is going to cool in Game 3 between the Kings and the Edmonton Oilers. There have been 12 goals at 5-on-5 through the first two games of the Pacific Division series despite the two teams combining to generate just 6.44 expected goals.
Neither club has received quality goaltending, with Kings No. 1 Darcy Kuemper sporting a .863 SV% and -2.98 goals saved above expected, while Oilers starter Stuart Skinner has posted equally poor marks of .810 and -2.82. Improvement is imminent.
Los Angeles has also cashed in on five of its 10 power-play opportunities.
Considering the Kings allowed the second-fewest goals per game (2.48) and fewest expected goals per 60 minutes at 5-on-5, and the Oilers were above average with 2.87 allowed per and the ninth-fewest xGA/60, the two teams tightening up defensively Friday is definitely in the cards.
It’s also worth noting Edmonton showed off with just 2.39 per game during a lengthy 22-7-2 heater when the Oil were largely healthy and playing at their best.
Additionally, having the last-change advantage and playing at the Rogers Center stands to help Edmonton. Los Angeles dipped to a 24th-ranked 2.61 goals per game on the highway, after all.
Kings vs Oilers same-game parlay (SGP)
Oilers moneyline
Under 5.5
Alex Laferriere Over 2.5 shots on goal
While there are weaknesses throughout the Edmonton lineup, superstar strength can cure a lot of ills. I’m anticipating McDavid and Draisaitl showing up in Game 3, and the Kings have serious statistical correction ahead of their 18.0 team shooting percentage at 5-on-5 and 50.0 PP%.
Kings winger Alex Laferriere has only registered three shots through the first two games of the series, but he’s tied for third in attempts with 11. Look for Larerriere to convert more attempts into shots in Game 3, especially considering his much better efficiency during the regular season.
| Regular season | Postseason | |
|---|---|---|
| Attempts per 60 | 18.1 | 20.33 |
| Shots per 60 | 9.1 | 5.54 |
| Conversion percentage | 64.3% | 27.3% |
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Kings vs Oilers odds
Kings vs Oilers live odds
Kings vs Oilers opening odds
- Puck line: Los Angeles +1.5 (-235) | Edmonton -1.5 (+190)
- Moneyline: Los Angeles +110 | Edmonton -130
- Over/Under: Over 6.5 | Under 6.5
Odds courtesy of BET99
Kings vs Oilers trend
The Los Angeles Kings have hit the Under in 47 of their last 88 games (+4.40 Units / 4% ROI). Find more NHL betting trends for Kings vs. Oilers.
How to watch Kings vs Oilers
| Location | Rogers Place, Edmonton, AB |
| Date | Friday, 4-25-2025 |
| Puck drop | 10:00 p.m. ET |
| TV | TNT, Sportsnet |
Kings vs Oilers latest injuries
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