Knicks vs Pistons Prediction, Picks & Odds for Thursday's NBA Playoffs Game 3

Logan's prediction: Knicks forward OG Anunoby can be expected to see an uptick in scoring, both from the stripe and the floor after a dud of a performance vs. the Pistons last time out.

Jason Logan: Senior Betting Analyst at Covers
Jason Logan • Senior Betting Analyst
Apr 23, 2025 • 13:46 ET • 4 min read

NBA

Match starts: 26 hrs
DET
54 %
NY
46 %
Read Analysis
OG Anunoby New York Knicks NBA
Photo By - Imagn Images.

The New York Knicks head to Motown to tangle with the Detroit Pistons in Game 3 of their Eastern Conference quarterfinal on Thursday, with the series tied at 1-1.

New York’s offense struggled to keep pace in the Game 2 loss, but head coach Tom Thibodeau emphatically pointed to the lopsided tally in foul shots as a reason why his team fell behind.

The squeaky wheel often gets the grease and my Knicks vs. Pistons predictions believe the referees will be a little more whistle happy in Game 3. That has my NBA picks on Thursday, April 23, swinging to OG Anunoby and his points prop.

Who wil win Knicks vs Pistons Game 3?

The spread is very slim with this matchup basically set as a pick’em. The New York Knicks are 20-8 SU as road favorites this season and the outright odds slightly lean toward them with a 54.5% implied win probability for Game 3. I go with the Knicks to steal a road win against the Detroit Pistons.

Knicks vs Pistons prediction

My best bet: OG Anunoby Over 15.5 points (-115 at bet365)

OG Anunoby followed a 23-point performance in Game 1 with a 10-point dud in Game 2, finishing just 4-for-10 from the floor, missing all four of his 3-point attempts.

Anunoby made good on both free throws and was one of only three Knicks players to make their way to the stripe on Monday night — the basis of Tom Thibodeau’s complaints. 

The 6-foot-7 small forward started the season getting to the line just over twice per game but upped his aggression in the back end of the schedule. Anunoby averaged 4.4 free-throw attempts in his final 24 appearances of the regular season and was a perfect 4-for-4 from the line in Game 1.

His scoring average jumped from 16 points to 22 points in that span, which admittedly was boosted by Jalen Brunson’s injury issues toward the end of the campaign. He’s topped 16 points or more in 19 of his last 25 games overall. 

Anunoby has become one of the Knicks' more active attackers, upping his drive rates from 5.0 to 7.8 in those final two dozen contests. He played with that aggression in Game 1 but was much more passive in Game 2 — despite USA gymnast (and apparent OG muse) Suni Lee in attendance.

He took only 10 shots — compared to 18 in the series opener — and only three of those came from the foul line down (he made all three). Anunoby did a much better job getting inside in Game 1 with eight FGAs from the foul line inward (making four of those closer looks).

“No matter what, I’m always trying to be aggressive,” Anunoby told reporters when asked about his downtick in offensive activity.

That mindset could pay off in Game 3, especially if Thibodeau’s complaints fall on sympathetic ears. Anunoby’s attacking offense and ability to draw contact could send him to the line for bonus buckets with the refs trying to make amends.

Even without a potential uptick in attempts at the stripe, player projections are positive for OG. His scoring forecast ranges from 17 points to 18.6 tallies on Thursday, which sit above his scoring prop of 15.5 O/U.

Anunoby’s point total opened as high as 16.5 and is still there at some shops, while others are dealing Over 15.5 at -133. Given the projections, that result should be closer to -140. However, shopping the props you can find the Over 15.5 points at -115 at bet365.

Knicks vs Pistons same-game parlay

OG Anunoby 15+ points

Jalen Duren 10+ rebounds

Knicks moneyline

Anunoby will attack the paint for high percentage looks while also picking up points from the foul line, with projections north of 17 points.

Jalen Duren is a beast on the boards and forecasts call for at least 10 rebounds in Game 3.

The Knicks return serve in Game 3 as one of the better road teams in the league. They’re 20-8 SU when laying points as a visitor.

Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.

Cash your ML bets quicker with bet365's early win payout

Take advantage of the early win payout at bet365, where any pre-game NBA moneyline bet gets paid out as a winner if your team goes up by 20+ points!

Learn more about this feature, and all of bet365's offerings, with our comprehensive bet365 review.

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Knicks vs Pistons odds

Knicks vs Pistons live odds

Knicks vs Pistons opening odds

  • Spread: New York -1 (-110) | Detroit +1 (-110)
  • Moneyline: New York -115 | Detroit -105
  • Over/Under: Over 215.5 (-110) | Under 215.5 (-110)

Odds courtesy of bet365

Knicks vs Pistons spread and Over/Under analysis

  • Bookies installed New York as a 1-point road favorite for Game 3 and that spread has held steady as we close in on gameday. 
  • The Over/Under total opened at 215.5 O/U and slipped down a tick to 214.5 points, with initial play on the Under.
  • According to Covers Consensus, 53% of picks are taking Detroit as a slim home underdog while 58% of total picks are backing the Over.

Knicks vs Pistons trend

New York is 7-4 SU and 8-3 ATS in games with closing spreads of less than three points (-2.5 to +2.5) this season. Find more NBA betting trends for Knicks vs. Pistons.

How to watch Knicks vs Pistons

Location Little Caesars Arena, Detroit, MI
Date Thursday, 4-24-2025
Tip-off 7:00 p.m. ET
TV FanDuel Sports Network - Detroit, MSG

Knicks vs Pistons latest injuries

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Jason Logan Senior Industry Analyst Covers.com
Senior Betting Analyst

In his 20 years with Covers, lead NFL betting analyst “JLo” has seen it all and bet it all. Through the wild west of early Internet gambling to lobbying for legalized sports betting to our brave new wagering world, Jason has been a consistent source of actionable info and entertainment for squares and sharps alike.

Since joining the Covers team back in 2005, he’s honed his handicapping skills to provide audiences with the most thorough insights, blending traditional capping methods with advanced modelling and predictive analysis. Jason has studied the ins and outs of the sports betting business, learning from some of the most successful gamblers in the industry and the biggest sportsbook operators on the planet.

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