Warriors vs Suns Picks and Predictions: Curry Can Extinguish Suns' Fire From Downtown

We get treated to arguably the best matchup of this young NBA season as the Golden State Warriors, owners of the NBA’s best record at 18-2, visit the Phoenix Suns who sit just behind them at 17-3 thanks to their incredible 16-game winning streak.

The Suns are slight 2.5-point home favorites, but who has the betting edge in a matchup of the best in the West? Find out in our free NBA picks and predictions for Warriors vs. Suns on November 30.

Warriors vs Suns odds

Odds via the Covers Line, an average comprised of odds from multiple sportsbooks.

The Suns opened this matchup of Western Conference powers as 2-point home favorites and have seen the early money, moving the line to 2.5. The total hit the board at 220 and has bet up to 221.5. Use the live odds widget above to track any future line movements right until tip-off and be sure to check out the full NBA odds before betting to ensure you get the best number.

Warriors vs Suns predictions

• Prediction: Warriors Moneyline (+115)
• Prediction: Over 221 (-110)
• Best bet: Steph Curry Over 5.5 made threes (+100)

Predictions made on 11/30/2021 at 2:00 p.m. ET.
Click on each prediction to jump to the full analysis.

Warriors vs Suns game info

• Location: Footprint Center, Phoenix, AZ
• Date: Tuesday, November 30, 2021
• Tip-off: 10:00 p.m. ET
• TV: TNT

Warriors vs Suns betting preview

Injuries

Warriors: Klay Thompson SG (Out), James Wiseman C (Out), Andre Iguodala SG (Out), Draymond Green PF (Questionable).
Suns: No key injuries to report.
Find our latest NBA injury reports.

Betting trend to know

The Warriors are 9-0 against the spread in their last nine games vs. a team with a winning percentage above .600. Find more NBA betting trends for Warriors vs. Suns.

Warriors vs Suns picks and predictions

Our predictions are compiled from the analysis of the spread and total and are indications of where we are leaning for this game.
Our best bet is the play that we like the most for this game, which we would actually put some of our bankroll behind.

Spread analysis

The Warriors enter this matchup of Western Conference heavyweights with the NBA’s best record and with Steph Curry looking like the MVP once again. Curry leads the NBA in scoring at 28.6 points per game, hitting a ridiculous 5.5 threes per game, and shooting 42.3%from deep while adding 6.8 assists and 5.8 rebounds per game. 

While Curry being awesome isn’t a surprise, the way the Warriors are playing defense right now kind of is, as Golden State leads the NBA in defensive rating. They are long and athletic and clog the passing lanes, leading the NBA in steals. 

Most impressively, the Dubs have done all this without Klay Thompson and James Wiseman. Jordan Poole and Andrew Wiggins have stepped up but the Warriors' depth is incredible, with 11 players averaging 14 or more minutes per game. 

The Suns have been nearly as impressive as they go for their 17th win in a row. The only team ahead of the Suns in net rating since the start of their streak is the Warriors, which includes ranking second in defensive rating over that stretch. And Chris Paul and Devin Booker have been arguably the best guard combo in the NBA this season.

This game is so close to call since both teams are so good at the defensive end, have great benches, and have top-notch scorers. The biggest edge here is Curry. He can take over any game at any time. His range is basically the second he steps on the opponent’s half-court. For those reasons, you’ve got to take the value with the Warriors on the moneyline.

Prediction: Warriors Moneyline (+115)

Over/Under analysis

While this is a matchup of two of the best defensive teams in the NBA, that does not necessarily mean the Under is a lock. In fact, with so many good scorers, we’re going to lean the other way.

For starters, these are also two of the top-scoring teams in the NBA. The Warriors rank second in the NBA in scoring, putting up 114 points per game, while the Suns aren’t too far behind in fourth at 112.6. 

Also, if there has been an area where the Suns have had a little trouble on defense, it's been on the outside, where they rank 15th in opponent 3-point shooting percentage. Not a great recipe when facing this sharpshooting Warriors team.

On top of all of that, the Suns and Warriors rank fourth and fifth respectively in pace. So, while this could be a defensive battle, both teams’ stars should shine in a game that looks like it could be a back-and-forth barnburner. 

Prediction: Over 221 (-110)

Best bet

Steph Curry Over 5.5 made threes. What else would you want to look at for the best bet? Curry is making 5.5 threes per game this season and that’s his made three total for this matchup, but we are getting an even money return on the Over.

And Curry has actually been hotter than normal from downtown lately. Curry has hit six or more threes seven times over his last 10 games and is shooting 46.6% from 3-point range over that stretch. Now, he’s going against a Suns team that ranks 15th in opponent 3-point percentage.

There is nothing more fun than backing Curry to do what he does best. At even money, who can say no?

Pick: Steph Curry Over 5.5 Made Threes (+100)

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