The Portland Trail Blazers had won and covered in four straight games heading into the All-Star break, but they now host the Golden State Warriors in their first game back. Jusuf Nurkic is now out indefinitely for the Blazers, so it’ll be interesting to see if they continue to win games.
Can Portland cover against Golden State at the Moda Center tonight? Continue reading our Warriors vs. Blazers NBA picks and predictions for Thursday, February 24 to find out.
Warriors vs Trail Blazers odds
This odds widget represents the best odds available for each betting market from regulated sportsbooks.
The Warriors were 9-point favorites at open in this meeting with the Blazers, but line now sits at 9.5 almost everywhere. Most of the bets have come in on Golden State at this point. Meanwhile, the total opened at 223.5 and is mostly sitting between 223 and 223.5 now.
Use the live odds widget above to track any future line movements right until tip-off and be sure to check out the full NBA odds before betting to ensure you get the best number.
Warriors vs Trail Blazers predictions
Predictions made on 2/24/2022 at 11:25 a.m. ET.
Click on each prediction to jump to the full analysis.
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Warriors vs Trail Blazers game info
• Location: Moda Center, Portland, OR
• Date: Thursday, February 24, 2022
• Tip-off: 10:00 p.m. ET
• TV: TNT
Warriors vs Trail Blazers betting preview
Key injuries
Warriors: Andre Iguodala F (Out), Draymond Green F (Out), James Wiseman C (Out).
Trail Blazers: Jusuf Nurkic C (Out), Eric Bledsoe G (Out), Keon Johnson G (Probable), Didi Louzada G (Out), Joe Ingles F (Out), Nassir Little F (Out), Damian Lillard G (Out).
Find our latest NBA injury reports.
Betting trend to know
The Blazers are 1-5-1 against the spread in their last seven home games against teams with winning road records. Find more NBA betting trends for Warriors vs. Trail Blazers.
Warriors vs Trail Blazers picks and predictions
Our predictions are compiled from the analysis of the spread and total and are indications of where we are leaning for this game.
Our best bet is the play that we like the most for this game, which we would actually put some of our bankroll behind.
Spread analysis
The Blazers seem to really have something in guard Anfernee Simons, who has played so well this season that Portland felt it was time to move on from CJ McCollum at the trade deadline. Simons is a remarkable offensive player in a number of different ways, but he is also extremely flawed as a defender.
That’s not a good sign heading into a meeting with the Warriors, who arguably have the best backcourt in the NBA. Steph Curry and Klay Thompson should really be able to take advantage of a weak Portland defense, and it wouldn’t be surprising if Curry gets really hot. After struggling with his shot for most of this season, Curry put on a show in the All-Star Game. He has to be feeling confident here.
Portland is also without Nurkic for the time being, which is going to hurt the team against Golden State. The Warriors are weakest at the center position right now, so Nurkic could have really given them an edge in the paint. Without him, there really aren’t many areas where Portland has an advantage over Golden State. Even on the wing, the Warriors have a tremendous two-way player in Andrew Wiggins.
It just isn’t hard to see a scenario in which the Warriors don’t go up big in this game, and they should be able to protect their lead. That’s one of the positives of having a deep and hungry bench.
Prediction: Warriors -9.5 (-105)
Over/Under analysis
The Under is 8-2 in Portland’s last 10 home games and it now hosts a Golden State team that doesn’t play all that fast. Over the last 15 games, the Warriors are just 20th in the league in pace of play, which might surprise you with an offense that features so many talented guards and wings. Meanwhile, the Blazers are just 17th in the league in pace in that same span, and they were just 16th in the league over their current winning streak. This just isn’t likely to be a high-paced game, which is something you want as an Under bettor.
The Under also happens to be 4-1 in the last five meetings between these teams, which includes two games earlier in the season. On top of that, the Under is 21-7 in Golden State’s last 28 games as a road favorite. It’s also 7-2 in Portland’s last nine games as a home underdog.
Prediction: Under 223.5 (-110)
Best bet
The Warriors had failed to cover in each of their last seven games heading into the break, but that time off should have served as a much-needed reset for this team. Curry was able to regain his confidence at the All-Star Game, and it also gave some guys time to rest up. Look for them to come back with some real focus, as they also have to feel like the Phoenix Suns are no longer a lock to run away with the top seed in the Western Conference. With Chris Paul out, anything can happen in the standings. However, the Warriors can’t afford to let a game like this slip away.
Portland is 9-18 ATS when facing teams that allow 108.0 or fewer points per game this season, and the Blazers are also just 7-19 ATS when facing teams that outscore their opponents by 6.0 or more points per game over the last three seasons.
Pick: Warriors -9.5 (-105)
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