On Saturday, the UCLA Bruins host the Arizona State Sun Devils at the Rose Bowl in Pasadena. This is a big-time matchup in the Pac-12, with both teams coming into this one at 3-1.
Which one of these programs will end up winning its fourth game? Find out in our Arizona State vs. UCLA picks and predictions, with kickoff on October 2.
Arizona State vs UCLA odds
Odds via the Covers Line, an average comprised of odds from multiple sportsbooks.
The total in this one opened at 55.0 and is now 55.5 wherever you look. As for the spread, the Sun Devils were originally 4-point underdogs in this game, but it has since moved down to a 3-point spread at a majority of sportsbooks. It can, however, be found at 3.5.
Use the live odds widget above to track any future line movements right up until kickoff and be sure to check out the full college football odds before placing your bets.
Arizona State vs UCLA picks
Picks made on 10/1/2021 at 7:45 p.m. ET.
Click on each pick to jump to the full analysis.
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Arizona State vs UCLA game info
• Location: Rose Bowl, Pasadena, CA
• Date: Saturday, October 2, 2021
• Time: 10:30 p.m. ET
• TV: FS1
Arizona State vs UCLA betting preview
Weather
Be sure to monitor the gametime conditions with our NCAA football weather info.
Key injuries
Arizona State: Jake Ray TE (Questionable), Amiri Johnson DL (Questionable), Jordan Banks LB (Questionable), Travez Moore DL (Out), Jermayne Lole DL (Out).
UCLA: Ethan Fernea WR (Doubtful), Sam Marrazzo OL (Questionable), Delon Hurt WR (Out).
Find our latest NCAA football injury reports.
Betting trend to know
The Sun Devils are 5-1-1 against the spread in their last seven games as underdogs. Find more NCAA betting trends for Arizona State vs. UCLA.
Arizona State vs UCLA predictions
Arizona State +3.5 (-110)
As far as passing defenses go, it doesn’t get much worse than Chip Kelly’s UCLA team this year. The Bruins are giving up 330.3 passing yards per game, which is worse than all but four teams in the nation. Considering the Sun Devils just figured out their passing game in a 35-13 win over the Colorado Buffaloes, the timing couldn’t be better for this Arizona State offense.
Last week, Jayden Daniels was 18 for 25 with 236 passing yards against Colorado and that was more than enough for the Sun Devils to start humming offensively. Daniels’ 9.4 yards per attempt were the highest he’s had since a Week 1 meeting with an FCS opponent, and Arizona State’s offense completely opens up when Daniels is hitting his receivers.
UCLA doesn’t have the kind of secondary to stick with the Sun Devils’ receivers, and that will give running backs Rachaad White and Daniyel Ngata more holes to hit on the ground. Also, Daniels is an excellent runner himself, so if the linebackers have to drop into coverage at all, look for the junior to make the Bruins pay with his legs.
Defensively, Arizona State’s prior meeting with the BYU Cougars should help them prepare for this showdown with UCLA. BYU quarterback Jaren Hall is a talented thrower and runner, much like UCLA’s Dorian Thompson-Robinson. The Sun Devils didn’t do well in that meeting with the Cougars, but that shouldn’t matter. They’re aware of the difficulties that come with facing a quarterback that is a threat to break off long runs, and that should serve them well. This is going to be a somewhat high-scoring game, but an extra stop or two will go a long way.
Over 55.5 (-110)
As previously mentioned, this game likely won’t feature a whole lot of stops, but the team that wins will be the one that gets them at the right times. Last week, Arizona State and Colorado went Over the total, and UCLA has gone Over in two of its last three. The matchups in this one are what makes this likely to turn into something of a shootout, as the Bruins don’t have the right personnel to keep this Sun Devils team from scoring. Also, for what it’s worth, the Over is 6-3 when UCLA is coming off a game that went Under since 2018.
It’s also worth noting that the Over is 6-2 in Arizona State games in which the team has failed to cover in two of its last three games under Herm Edwards. It’s also 11-4-1 when UCLA is coming off an Under with Chip Kelly at the helm.
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