Auburn vs Georgia Odds, Picks and Predictions: Defenses Shine in SEC Clash

The No. 2 ranked Bulldogs survived a heavy scare last week in order to stay undefeated. Now the defending National Champions will host the Tigers in a game that we expect to be dominated by defense. Read more in our Auburn vs. Georgia betting picks.

Phil Naessens - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Phil Naessens • Betting Analyst
Oct 6, 2022 • 08:25 ET • 4 min read
Kirby Smart Georgia Bulldogs NCAAF
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We have SEC football on a Saturday afternoon when the Auburn Tigers (3-2) meet the No. 2 ranked Georgia Bulldogs (5-0).

Auburn is coming off a tough, 21-17 home loss to rival LSU. Meanwhile, Georgia was on upset alert to Missouri entering the 4th quarter but ultimately pulled out a 26-22 victory. Who will win this Saturday afternoon SEC battle?

Find out in our free college football picks and predictions for this Week 6 showdown between Auburn vs Georgia this Saturday, October 8

Auburn vs Georgia best odds

Auburn vs Georgia picks and predictions

The total opened at 49, jumped up briefly to 50, and now resides at 49.5 points. I'll gladly take the Under in this case. 

The Georgia Bulldogs' defense is a monster, and I don’t see the Tigers scoring much at all Saturday. The defense suffered a bit of a week five letdown on the road against Missouri, and you can bet this defense will be in lockdown mode this time around. 

Georgia allows just 10 points per game on 264 yards of offense, with six sacks and six picks to their name as well. The Bulldogs defense allows a TD on 8.8% of their opponents' offensive drives, and an Auburn side scoring a TD on just 17% of its possessions is going to have a hard time finding the end zone.

Auburn has a bright future ahead of them with frosh QB Robby Ashford and junior wideout Ja’Varrius Johnson. The two have teamed up for a couple of big plays thus far, but Georgia is allowing only 175 passing yards per game and will shut this Tigers' offense off like a switch.

While Auburn may have trouble scoring the football, its defense is quite good. It might not be at the level of Georgia, but the Tigers allow an average of 330 yards of offense and 21 points per game. 

The Georgia offense can be explosive and average 39 points per contest, but it won’t be easy for QB Stetson Bennett and Co. to score as this Auburn defense might be their stiffest test thus far. 

Both defenses will do enough to keep this from being a rout, and the final score should end under 49.5 points.

My best bet: Under 49.5 (-110 at BetMGM)

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Auburn vs Georgia spread analysis

Georgia being favored at -30 is a lot for an SEC affair, and I’m not sure the Bulldogs can cover that number. Both sides are 2-3-0 ATS, and Georgia is 6-1 ATS over their last seven meetings with Auburn. None of those spreads were higher than 14.5 points, and this Auburn defense might be the best they’ve had in years.

The real question is how Auburn's freshman QB performs in the biggest game of his college career against one of the best defenses in the country. That remains to be seen, but I think 30 points is too many for this matchup.

Auburn vs Georgia Over/Under analysis

The Under is 6-1-0 over these two teams' past seven meetings, and the highest total over the past three seasons in a game featuring the Tigers and Bulldogs has been 45.5. These defenses are likely better than previous Auburn and Georgia sides.

Georgia hasn’t scored more than 34 points or won by more than 24 in any of their previous nine meetings with Auburn. Conversely, the Tigers have scored 30 points against Georgia over their last three contests. Expect a low-scoring, hard-hitting game on Saturday.

Auburn vs Georgia betting trend to know

The Under is 5-0-1 in the last six meetings in Georgia. Find more NCAA betting trends for Auburn vs. Georgia.

Auburn vs Georgia game info

Location: Sanford Stadium, Athens, Georgia
Date: Saturday, October 8, 2022
Kickoff: 3:30 p.m. ET
TV: CBS

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Auburn vs Georgia weather

Monitor gametime conditions with our College football weather info.

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Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst

Prior to joining Covers in 2022, Phil Naessens spent 38 years as a resident tennis pro in Las Vegas, Mykonos, and Corfu Greece. He’s the past host of the Phil Naessens Show (Armed Forces Radio), and currently hosts the tennis betting podcast, This Week in Tennis.

Phil is the author of the Betting 101 series (MLB, NFL, NCAAF, and Tennis) and has written for numerous publications including SB Nation, FanSided and Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports. Phil curates the Chip and Charge Tennis Newsletter and pens a weekly tennis column called “10 Things About the ATP Tour," for Passing Shot Productions. 

His favorite sports to bet on are tennis, MLB, WNBA, Euro men’s and women’s hoops, NCAA sports, NFL, and the NBA. Phil has numerous betting accounts in the US and Europe and his best advice is to line shop for the best value possible.

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