College Football Odds Week 10: Opening lines and sharp money

With quarterback Trevor Lawrence out of the lineup and in COVID protocol, running back Travis Etienne will be key for No. 1 Clemson this week at No. 4 Notre Dame. FanDuel has the Tigers 5.5-point favorites.

Patrick Everson • SPORTS BETTING INDUSTRY INSIDER
Nov 7, 2020 • 11:23 ET
Clemson Tigers RB Travis Etienne NCAA
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

College football odds for Week 10 are on the betting board and getting action, with a couple of gems on this week's schedule. No. 1 Clemson, minus star quarterback Trevor Lawrence, travels to No. 4 Notre Dame, while No. 8 Florida and No. 5 Georgia square off in their annual neutral-site showdown.

Multiple oddsmakers provided insights on college football Week 10 opening lines, early line movement, sharp money and public betting for this week's matchups. Covers will update this action report with college football sharp picks vs. public bets and line movement throughout the week.

These are the current College football Week 10 odds for the premier games on the schedule, as of November 2. Click on each matchup in the table below to get updated in-depth information on the opening lines, sharp money, public betting and odds movement as we get closer to kickoff.

Matchup Time Spread Over/Under
(9) BYU at (23) Boise State 9:45 p.m. ET Friday BYU -4.5 62.5
Air Force at (22) Army PPD Army -5.5 40.5
Houston at (6) Cincinnati 3:30 p.m. ET Saturday Cincinnati -12.5 53
(25) Michigan at (13) Indiana Noon ET Saturday Indiana +3.5 55.5
Rutgers at (3) Ohio State 7:30 p.m. ET Saturday Ohio State -37.5 62.5
Arizona State at (20) USC Noon ET Saturday USC -11.5 57.5
Stanford at (14) Oregon 7:30 p.m. ET Saturday Oregon -12 50
(12) Oklahoma State at Kansas State 4 p.m. ET Saturday Kansas State +14.5 47
(8) Florida vs (5) Georgia 3:30 p.m. ET Saturday Georgia -3 54.5
(1) Clemson at (4) Notre Dame 7:30 p.m. ET Saturday Clemson -5.5 50.5

Opening line

Pick, Over/Under 59.5

Why the line moved

UPDATE 8:30 P.M. ET FRIDAY: BYU is up to -4.5 from an opener of pick 'em at FanDuel, with point-spread tickets and money both running about 3/1 on the Cougars. The total initially dipped from 59.5 to 57.5, then surged to 64.5 by this morning before dialing down to 62.5. The Over is attracting 82 percent of bets, but just 58 percent of money.

UPDATE 11:45 A.M. ET FRIDAY: Ten hours before kickoff, the road favorite is a very popular play at DraftKings. Brigham Young opened -2.5 and got to -4.5 this morning, with tickets and money both running more than 4/1 on the Cougars. The total is up to 63.5 from an opener of 59.5, with 86 percent of tickets and money on the Over.

UPDATE 8 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: Brigham Young opened -2.5 at DraftKings and spent several hours at -3 today, before ticking back to -2.5 a short time ago. The Cougars are taking 73 percent of bets and 89 percent of money on the spread. The total opened at 59.5 and bottomed out at 57.5, then worked its way up to 60, with 90 percent of bets and 69 percent of money on the Over.

---

This game opened pick 'em at FanDuel and moved to Brigham Young -2.5 Monday afternoon, with practically every early ticket and all the early dollars on the Cougars. The total dipped two points to 57.5, then returned to the opener of 59.5, with ticket count 9/1 on the Over and 72 percent of early cash on the Over, as well.

Opening line

Army -6.5, Over/Under 41.5

Why the line moved

UPDATE 6 P.M. ET THURSDAY: Due to an upward trend in COVID-19 cases on the Air Force Academy campus, this classic rivalry game was postponed. There is no reschedule date yet, though the schools said they are working to reschedule if possible.

---

The Black Knights were already down two points at FanDuel, sitting as 4.5-point favorites Monday night on some interesting point-spread betting splits: ticket count is more than 2/1 Army, but money is almost dead even. The total is also down a point to 40.5, with 77 percent of bets and nearly all the money on the Under.

BACK TO TOP

Opening line

Cincinnati -10.5, Over/Under 58.5

Why the line moved

UPDATE 3:15 P.M. ET SATURDAY: Cincinnati is -12.5 at FanDuel, dialing down a bit from its high of -13.5. Still, 91 percent of bets and 83 percent of money are on the Bearcats. The total is down to 51.5 from an opener of 58.5, despite the large majority of tickets and money showing on the Over.

UPDATE 9 P.M. ET FRIDAY: This line bounced around a bit at DraftKings, from Cincinnati -12.5 to -11.5, then up to -13.5, followed by a dip to -11.5. Then on Friday night, the line jumped back up to -12.5. All that said, it's all Bearcats, with Cincy landing 92 percent of tickets and 95 percent of money on the spread. Over the course of the week, the total plunged from 58.5 to 53 on some disparate betting splits: 93 percent of tickets are on the Over, but 55 percent of money is on the Under.

UPDATE 8 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: The Bearcats opened -12.5 and have been at -13.5 since Monday at DraftKings. The early action is all Cincinnati, in the 9/1 range for both ticket count and money. The total fell from 58.5 to 55 by this evening on polar-opposite splits, with 87 percent of bets on the Over and 84 percent of money on the Under.

---

Cincinnati opened -10.5 at FanDuel and sped to -13.5 by Monday afternoon, but the betting splits are a bit wild. The Bearcats are attracting 95 percent of early tickets, but money is two-way, with 52 percent of early dollars on double-digit-dog Houston. The total is down to 56.5 from 58.5, with a 4/1 ticket count on the Under and almost all the early money on the Under.

Opening line

Michigan -3.5, Over/Under 55.5

Why the line moved

UPDATE 11:45 A.M. ET SATURDAY: Michigan moved from -3.5 to -2.5, then got up to -4.5 today at FanDuel before going back to -3.5, with ticket count 3/1 and money almost 5/1 on the Wolverines. The total opened at 55.5, dropped to 50.5, then rebounded back to 55.5 today, with tickets and money in the 9/1 range on the Over.

UPDATE 10 A.M. ET SATURDAY: At BetMGM Nevada, Michigan is the most-bet team by ticket count of any team on the Saturday schedule, "by a decent margin," BetMGM Nevada's Scott Shelton said. The Wolverines are at -3.5 from an opener of -3, with tickets and money both in the 3/1 range on Michigan.

UPDATE 9 P.M. ET FRIDAY: Michigan has spent most of the week at -3.5 at DraftKings, save for a short visit to -2.5 and about 28 hours at -3. Point-spread tickets and money are running 2/1 on the Wolverines. The total is now at 54.5, down a point from the opener of 55.5 but up three points from Monday's low of 51.5. The Over is landing 81 percent of bets and 88 percent of dollars.

UPDATE 8 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: Michigan ticked from -3.5 to -2.5 Tuesday, then back to -3.5 and is now -2 at DraftKings, but point-spread splits weren't available. The total initially dropped from 55.5 to 51.5, but has since rebounded to 54.5, with tickets running 4/1 and money almost 3/1 on the Over.

---

Michigan, coming off a stunning home loss to Michigan State, opened -3.5 at FanDuel and moved to -2.5. As of Monday night, 53 percent of bets and 68 percent of money were on the Wolverines. The total tumbled from 55.5 to 51.5, with 62 percent of tickets on the Over, but 74 percent of cash on the Under.

BACK TO TOP

 

Opening line

Ohio State -38, Over/Under 64.5

Why the line moved

UPDATE 2 P.M. ET SATURDAY: At FanDuel, Ohio State dipped a bit to 37.5 and the total is down to 62.5. But the book didn't have betting splits available for tonight's game.

UPDATE 9 P.M. ET FRIDAY: Ohio State is up to -39 at DraftKings, despite there being very few Buckeyes buyers. Ninety-four percent of tickets and 89 percent of dollars are taking the huge number with Rutgers. The total is at 65, with tickets 2/1 and money 6/1 on the Over.

UPDATE 8 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: Ohio State is a massive 37.5-point chalk at DraftKings, where tickets are running more than 2/1 and money about 3/1 on the Buckeyes.

---

Ohio State opened a massive favorite at The SuperBook at Westgate, and there was no line movement on Monday. The Buckeyes are coming off a 38-25 victory at Penn State, while Rutgers fell to visiting Indiana 37-21.

Opening line

Southern California -9.5, Over/Under 59.5

Why the line moved

UPDATE 11:45 A.M. SATURDAY: The Trojans opened -9.5 and peaked at 12.5, then dipped to -10.5 at FanDuel and are now at -11.5. Sixty-two percent of bets and 65 percent of dollars bet are on Arizona State. The total dropped from 59.5 to 55.5, but is now at 57.5, with 67 percent of tickets on the Over and 52 percent of money on the Under.

UPDATE 9:30 P.M. ET FRIDAY: This line bounced between Trojans -10.5, -11 and -11.5 throughout the week at DraftKings and is currently at -11. Arizona State is the more popular play, though, attracting 60 percent of bets and 66 percent of money.

UPDATE 8 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: Southern Cal is at -11, after opening -10.5 and peaking at -11.5 earlier today at DraftKings. However, 57 percent of bets and 64 percent of money are on double-digit-dog Arizona State. The total is down a point to 58.5, with 53 percent of bets on the Over, but 64 percent of money on the Under.

---

And hello to the Pac-12, which finally joins the college football scene on the first weekend of November. By Monday night, USC was already up to -11.5 at FanDuel in a game drawing two-way action, with 54 percent of bets on Arizona State and 55 percent of money on Southern Cal. The total ticked from 59.5 to 58.5, though 69 percent of bets and 60 percent of dollars were on the Over as of Monday night.

BACK TO TOP

Opening line

Oregon -11.5, Over/Under 53.5

Why the line moved

UPDATE 7:05 P.M. ET SATURDAY: This was another game that bounced around a lot this week. At William Hill US, the Ducks opened -10.5, dropped as low as -7.5, then popped up  to -12 with kickoff approaching. WillHill director of trading Nick Bogdanovich said some sharp play was involved in that move, and the public surely on Oregon. The book needs Stanford small.

UPDATE 5 P.M. ET SATURDAY: Oregon got as low as -7.5 this week at FanDuel, from an opener of -11.5, but surged back to -11.5 briefly this afternoon before going down to -10.5. Tickets and money are running about 3/1 on the Ducks. The total from 53.5 to 50.5, then ticked up to 51.5, with 70 percent of tickets and money on the Over.

UPDATE 9:30 P.M. ET FRIDAY: The Ducks dropped from -11 to -8 by Thursday at DraftKings, then ticked up to -9 this afternoon. Betting splits are pretty interesting on this Pac-12 After Dark clash, with 81 percent of tickets on Oregon, but 53 percent of money on underdog Stanford. The total made a modest move from 51 to 50.5, despite tickets and money in the 9/1 range on the Over.

UPDATE 8 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: Oregon is down to -9.5 from an opener of -11.5 at FanDuel. However, the Ducks are taking 81 percent of bets and 83 percent of money so far. The total is at 50.5 from 53.5, with 54 percent of tickets on the Over and 51 percent of money on the Under.

---

Staying in the Pac-12, FanDuel sped to Ducks -12 Sunday afternoon, but a volatile line was down to -10.5 by late Monday morning. Still, ticket count and money were both running 4/1 on Oregon. The total dipped from 53.5 to 52.5 Monday, with tickets split 50/50 but almost all the early money on the Under.

Opening line

Oklahoma State -9.5, Over/Under 50.5

Why the line moved

UPDATE 3:15 P.M. ET SATURDAY: Oklahoma State surged to -15.5 today at FanDuel, then dialed back a tick to -14.5 but still well above the -9.5 opener last weekend. However, 62 percent of tickets and money are on Kansas State. The total is 48.5, with tickets 9/1 on the Over, but money just 2/1 on the Over.

UPDATE 9:30 P.M. ET FRIDAY: After a speedy move from Cowboys -10.5 to -13.5 early in the week at DraftKings, this line has been fairly stable at Cowboys -12.5. Fifty-nine percent of spread bets are actually on the underdog Wildcats, but 62 percent of spread dollars are on Oklahoma State.

UPDATE 8 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: The Cowboys quickly moved from -10.5 to -13.5 at DraftKings, then dipped to -11.5 before setting at -12.5 Tuesday. Interestingly, 53 percent of bets/74 percent of dollars are on Kansas State. Meanwhile, the total is down to 46.5 from 51.5 on an extreme disparity of 9/1 tickets on the Over and 9/1 money on the Over.

---

The Cowboys bolted to -13.5 at FanDuel by early Monday afternoon, then receded a bit to -12.5. It's two-way action early, with 59 percent of tickets on Kansas State and 53 percent of money on Oklahoma State. The total first went up to 51.5, then plummeted to 46.5, with tickets more than 2/1 on the Over, but money 2/1 on the Under.

Opening line

Georgia -4.5, Over/Under 52.5

Why the line moved

UPDATE 3:15 P.M. ET SATURDAY: Shortly before kickoff in Jacksonville, Fla., Georgia is a 3-point favorite at BetMGM Nevada, with the  public on the Bulldogs and sharp play on Florida bringing this line down. "Money is about the same, ticket count about 55/45 on Georgia," BetMGM Nevada's Jeff Stoneback said. "Good two-way on the game."

UPDATE 2:30 P.M. ET FRIDAY: Georgia is at -3 from an opener of -4.5, in what PointsBet USA's Patrick Eichner termed a Pros vs Joes game. "We saw sharp money come for the Gators at +4.5, and Florida was still being bet at +3.5," Eichner said. "Pros all over Florida in this one, Joes all over Georgia."

UPDATE 8 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: The Bulldogs moved from -2.5 to -4.5 early at DraftKings, then receded to -3, with ticket count almost dead even, but money flowing 3/1 on the Gators. The total moved from 52.5 to 53.5 and back, with almost-perfect two-way ticket count, but 85 percent of early dollars on the Under.

---

It's a neutral-site game in Jacksonville, Fla., for the World's Largest Outdoor Cocktail Party, the unofficial name of this rivalry. FanDuel opened the Bulldogs -4.5, and that number stuck through Monday night, while the total moved from 52.5 to 53.5, but betting splits were not yet available.

Opening line

Clemson -6.5, Over/Under 51.5

Why the line moved

UPDATE 7:05 P.M. ET SATURDAY: About a half-hour before kickoff, Clemson is -5.5 at William Hill US, where director of trading Nick Bogdanovich said the book is dead even to practically every element of full-game betting. However, in the last hour, the book took a $200,000 wager on Clemson -3 first half, so the book needs Notre Dame to dispatch that ticket.

UPDATE 5 P.M. ET SATURDAY: This line has done plenty of jumping around this week, from Clemson -6.5 to -4.5, back to -6.5 and now -5.5 at FanDuel. On the point spread, 60 percent of tickets and 64 percent of money are on Clemson. However, Notre Dame is a hugely popular moneyline play to win outright, taking 90 percent of tickets and 73 percent of dollars bet. The total went from 51.5 to 49.5 to 50.5, with 77 percent of bets and 61 percent of money on the Over.

UPDATE 2:30 P.M. ET FRIDAY: This game is generating strong handle at multiple sportsbooks, including PointsBet USA. "It's shaping up to be one of the best games of the year in terms of overall handle," PointsBet's Patrick Eichner said. "It is already almost double our No. 2 game this week, Florida-Georgia. It also will definitely beat our No. 1 college game overall to date, which was Michigan-Minnesota." Clemson opened -6.5, peaked at 7 and dipped to -5 before setting at -5.5. "Good two-way on the side, 60 percent of the tickets on Clemson, but 60 percent of the money on Notre Dame." Eichner said Notre Dame moneyline (+175) is also a popular play, taking 80 percent of money in that market. The total moved from 51 to 52 to 50, with 80 percent of bets on the Over, but just 55 percent of money on the Over.

UPDATE 8 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: The SuperBook at Westgate pegged Clemson a 5.5-point favorite, a big adjustment from where this line would stand if the Tigers had Trevor Lawrence under center this week. "Clemson would be -11 or -11.5 if Lawrence was playing, about the same adjustment as last week," SuperBook manager/oddsmaker Eric Osterman said, alluding to the spread adjustment in Clemson's home win over Boston College. "The action has been pretty light so far. I'm sure people are evaluating (DJ Uiagalelei's) play last week before making a wager. I would expect to see Notre Dame money from the public, because of Clemson's near loss to BC last week."

---

FanDuel posted a look-ahead line for this game back on Oct. 24, with Clemson a 14.5-point road chalk. However, last week's news that Tigers stud QB Trevor Lawrence tested positive for COVID-19 led to that line coming off the board. On the subsequent news that Lawrence won't play this week, the line went up at Clemson -6.5 Sunday and fell to -5.5 Monday. The Tigers were landing 60 percent of bets/64 percent of money on the spread through Monday night. The total opened 51.5 and went to 52.5 before returning to the opener Monday, with 76 percent of bets on the Over, but 53 percent of early money on the Under.

Where can I bet on college football?

Whether it’s in Las Vegas or online, every sportsbook under the sun offers college football point spreads, plus a cornucopia of other NCAA odds. College football lines tend to be posted shortly after the previous week's schedule is completed, so check out the college football odds at the best sportsbooks available where you live.

Pages related to this topic

SPORTS BETTING INDUSTRY INSIDER

If you've ever been in a Las Vegas sportsbook, you've likely crossed paths with Patrick. A proud resident of Sin City, he's one of the most connected sources in sports betting, tapping into industry contacts around the globe to bring you the opening lines, odds adjustments, and action reports – directly from inside the biggest casinos in Vegas. His infamous "tweetstorms" and video reports right from the sportsbook floor give you the gaming edge to beat the bookies.

Popular Content

Legal Canadian sports betting

Best Canadian betting sites Ontario sports betting
Covers 25 Years Logo Established in 1995,
Covers is the world
leader in sports
betting information.
Covers is verified safe by: Evalon Logo GPWA Logo GDPR Logo GeoTrust Logo Evalon Logo