Georgia Tech vs Pittsburgh Odds, Picks and Predictions: Yellow Jackets Help Cash the Over

Conventional wisdom says low-scoring affair, but the arm and the hammer will be the key that unlocks this total. Find out more by reading our Week 5 college football betting picks for Georgia Tech vs. Pittsburgh.

Phil Naessens - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Phil Naessens • Betting Analyst
Oct 1, 2022 • 08:10 ET • 4 min read
Kedon Slovis Pittsburgh Panthers NCAAF
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

We have ACC football on display Saturday night when the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets meet the No. 24-ranked Pittsburgh Panthers.

Georgia Tech enters this one hoping to end a two-game losing streak, while Pittsburgh has won two straight and finds itself in the Top 25.

Who will win this Saturday night lights ACC battle? Find out in our free college football picks and predictions for this Week 5 showdown between Georgia Tech and Pittsburgh on Saturday, October 1.

Georgia Tech vs Pittsburgh best odds

Georgia Tech vs Pittsburgh picks and predictions

The total opened at 50 points and now sits at 49 points. That number is perfect for us, as this matchup is heading over that number. Pitt has a nice offense that won’t be much fun for Georgia Tech to deal with Saturday night. The Panthers' offense has scored 27 points or more in each of their four previous contests and could post a big number on the Yellow Jackets.

Senior QB Kedon Slovis has thrown for 692 yards and a pair of touchdowns with just one interception. He’s completed 66% of his throws, and he has several weapons at his disposal to cause a Georgia Tech defense allowing 202 passing yards per clash all kinds of trouble.

Top-threat wideout Jared Wayne is questionable for this tilt, but he is Slovis’ main guy, and the senior WR has hauled in 13 balls for 265 yards and a TD. If Wayne can’t play, Slovis has three other receivers with over 100 yards in catches, including WR Konata Mumpfield and TE Gavin Bartholomew.

If Slovis is the arm, then RB Israel Abanikanda is the hammer. The junior tailback has rushed for 479 yards and six TDs with an additional receiving touchdown. 

Meanwhile, Georgia Tech has already played two Top 20 teams and won’t be intimidated by the Panthers.

Head Coach Geoff Collins was let go, and offensive line coach Brent Key takes over a 1-3 football team struggling to score points. Sophomore signal caller Jeff Sims is having quite a season, and if the offensive line could keep his jersey clean, he’d have thrown for more than what his stat sheet indicated. Sims has been sacked 13 times already this season and faces a Pitt defense with a dozen sacks and 223 passing yards allowed per game.

Sims is also a threat on the ground and, alongside RB Dontae Smith, could give a stingy Pitt rushing defense allowing 98 yards per matchup all sorts of trouble Saturday night.

The Yellow Jackets boast a pair of wideouts with over 100 receiving yards. Sophomore speedster Nate McCollum leads the way with 18 receptions for 158 yards, and WR Malachi Carter has a receiving TD and averages 19 yards per reception.

I don’t expect a big number from Pitt, but I do expect Georgia Tech and its offense to put up a fight and score a couple of TDs against a questionable Panthers defense, helping push this one over the total.

My best bet: Over 49 (-107 at PointsBet)

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Georgia Tech vs Pittsburgh spread analysis

Pitt is laying 22 points, and I had a real dilemma between the total and the points. The Panthers more than likely will win this game, so the -1,708 moneyline play isn’t viable or wise.

The biggest concern is the status of Wayne. He is a big part of what Pitt does offensively, and Slovis depends on him. If he’s out, then maybe the Panthers' offense stalls a bit, and that would certainly lead me to play Georgia Tech +22.

Pittsburgh doesn’t have a great defense, and Georgia Tech has faced already faced very tough Ole Miss and Clemson defense. The Yellow Jackets laid an offensive dud last week at UCF, and it's difficult to say what the Georgia Tech offense will look like Saturday.

Pitt should win by a good-sized number, but 22 points is a ton, and I would leave a spread bet alone until we get more info on whether Wayne will suit up or not.

Georgia Tech vs Pittsburgh Over/Under analysis

I might be the only one who thinks this, but I believe this game could end in a high-scoring affair.

Sims has thrown some big balls this season, has competent skill players to throw to, and maybe Key allows his young signal-caller to let it fly against a suspect Pitt secondary.

Slovis was disappointing in the Panthers' home loss to Tennessee, but since then has thrown the ball well, and he’s going to want to have a big game in Pittsburgh's ACC opener. He’ll do so with or without Wayne, and the Georgia Tech defense will likely accommodate the Panthers.

The Over is 18-8 in the Panthers' last 26 games overall and 7-2 in the Yellow Jackets' last 9 games following an ATS win.

Georgia Tech vs Pittsburgh betting trend to know

The Over is 10-3 in the Panthers' last 13 home games. Find more NCAA betting trends for Georgia Tech vs. Pittsburgh.

Georgia Tech vs Pittsburgh game info

Location: Acrisure Stadium, Pittsburgh, PA
Date: Saturday, October 1, 2022
Kickoff: 8:00 p.m. ET
TV: ACC Network

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Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst

Prior to joining Covers in 2022, Phil Naessens spent 38 years as a resident tennis pro in Las Vegas, Mykonos, and Corfu Greece. He’s the past host of the Phil Naessens Show (Armed Forces Radio), and currently hosts the tennis betting podcast, This Week in Tennis.

Phil is the author of the Betting 101 series (MLB, NFL, NCAAF, and Tennis) and has written for numerous publications including SB Nation, FanSided and Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports. Phil curates the Chip and Charge Tennis Newsletter and pens a weekly tennis column called “10 Things About the ATP Tour," for Passing Shot Productions. 

His favorite sports to bet on are tennis, MLB, WNBA, Euro men’s and women’s hoops, NCAA sports, NFL, and the NBA. Phil has numerous betting accounts in the US and Europe and his best advice is to line shop for the best value possible.

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