A game that unfortunately has lost a ton of hype after last week’s results is still one of the top matchups in Week 3, as the Georgia Bulldogs travel to Lexington, KY to face off with the Kentucky Wildcats.
The number one team in the country has a ton of talent, but so do the Cats including two of the Bulldogs' former players. There is a great opportunity to find some solid college football player props in this showdown on Saturday night.
Here are my favorite college football picks for Georgia vs. Kentucky on Saturday, September 14.
Georgia vs Kentucky props for Week 3
- Brock Vandagriff Over 117.5 passing yards (-115 at BetMGM)
- Barion Brown Over 19.5 receiving yards (-115 at BetMGM)
- Arian Smith Over 34.5 receiving yards (-115 at BetMGM)
Picks made on 9-13.
Read full analysis of each pick.
Georgia vs Kentucky college football player props
Prop bet #1: Brock Vandagriff Over 117.5 passing yards
I know this is an ugly bet to look at considering he just played South Carolina last week and had a total of 30, yes that’s right, 30 total passing yards. But that was an all-systems failure game from the Kentucky Wildcats and literally nothing was working on offense. There is no way they let that happen two weeks in a row without adjustments.
Vandagriff threw for 169 yards in the season opener against Southern Miss before the game was called with still 10 minutes left to go in the third quarter for weather. He also just transferred in from Georgia where he was playing against several of these defensive guys every day in practice being on the second-team offense. He will not be intimidated by the name on the jersey on the other side.
Even if this game goes south quickly for the Cats, Brock is going to need to pass the ball to get back into the game quickly. You saw in Week 1, Clemson get demolished by this Georgia squad and still saw Cade Klubnik throw for 142 yards. This number is just way too low and an overreaction to last week.
Prop bet #2: Barion Brown Over 19.5 receiving yards
If Vandagriff is going to go Over his passing yards, there is no way he is doing it without getting the ball to Barion Brown. Brown is the fastest and possibly most talented athlete on this Kentucky offense. He is the guy that needs to make plays for the Cats to have any chance of making this a game.
Last week, Brown was completely shut out and that was a disaster. In Week 1, Brown went for 28 yards on four catches, but he had 2 touchdowns. That game was also shortened due to bad weather. He was the clear target for when they were looking for a big play.
I expect the Cats to look to find ways to get Brown the ball in space and use his speed with screens and jet passes. Even if he is limited in getting the ball thrown to him downfield, he should get enough target volume with chances to run after the catch to surpass this number.
Prop bet #3: Arian Smith Over 34.5 receiving yards
Carson Beck has had to find several new targets this year after the loss of Brock Bowers, Ladd McConkey, and Marcus Rosemy-Jacksaint. While the obvious options of Dominic Lovett, Dillon Bell, and Oscar Delp seemed like they would be those guys given how they were used last season, a new name has emerged early this year as a favorite target and that is Arian Smith.
Smith leads the team in catches through two games with nine catches for 129 yards and a touchdown. He also has shown to be consistent with five catches for 56 yards in the season opener and then four catches for 73 yards last week. He will likely be the lead target for Beck again this week in their first road game of the season.
Kentucky has a very good defense, but they have been susceptible to some lapses in their zone defense that led to a wide-open receiver. Despite only playing a half of football, the lead receiver for Southern Miss had three catches for 42 yards. Last week, they allowed three receivers to have at least three catches and 40 yards. Smith should find this number surpassable in just a few targets.
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