Georgia vs Vanderbilt Picks and Predictions: Not THAT Much of a Blowout

The Georgia Bulldogs have a golden opportunity to get off to a 4-0 start, as they’ll face the Vanderbilt Commodores at Vanderbilt Stadium in Nashville, Tennessee at 12:00 p.m. ET on Saturday, September 25. 

The Bulldogs are favored by just about five touchdowns in this game, which marks the second week in a row that the team will be favored by more than 30. Is there anything the Commodores can do to make this thing somewhat respectable? Find out in our Georgia vs. Vanderbilt picks and predictions. 

Georgia vs Vanderbilt odds

Odds via the Covers Line, an average comprised of odds from multiple sportsbooks.

Georgia was a 33.5-point favorite when this thing opened, but the team is now laying 35 points at most books. The majority of bettors seem to be backing the Bulldogs, which is likely the reason the line is moving so much. As for the total, the number was pretty low at opening, but it has since gone from 51.0 to 53.5 — depending on where you look, it might be 53.0. 

Use the live odds widget above to track any future line movements right up until kickoff and be sure to check out the full college football odds before placing your bets.

Georgia vs Vanderbilt picks

• Vanderbilt +35.5 (-105)
• Over 52.0 (-110)

Picks made on 9/23/2021 at 9:15 p.m. ET.
Click on each pick to jump to the full analysis.

Georgia vs Vanderbilt game info

• Location: Vanderbilt Stadium, Nashville, TN
• Date: Saturday, September 25, 2021
• Time: 12:00 p.m. ET
• TV: SEC Network

Georgia vs Vanderbilt betting preview

Weather

Be sure to monitor the gametime conditions with our NCAA football weather info.

Key injuries

Georgia: Arik Gilbert WR (questionable), Dominick Blaylock WR (questionable), George Pickens WR (out), Tate Ratledge OL (out), Tykee Smith DB (out), Darnell Washington TE (out)
Vanderbilt: Re’Mahn Davis RB (out), Michael Warden OL (questionable), Ben Bresnahan TE (questionable), Dashaun Jerkins DB (questionable)
Find our latest NCAA football injury reports.

Betting trend to know

Georgia is 3-7 against the spread in its last 10 games against teams with losing records. Find more NCAA betting trends for Georgia vs. Vanderbilt.

Georgia vs Vanderbilt predictions

Vanderbilt +35.5 (-105)

Last week, Georgia threw for 307 yards and added another 184 rushing yards on the ground in a 40-13 win over the South Carolina Gamecocks in Athens. Defensively, the team only allowed the Gamecocks to throw for 214 yards, and the Bulldogs held them under 100 yards rushing. Georgia also forced two turnovers in that one, but it still wasn’t enough for the Bulldogs to cover the hefty 31-point spread. Consider that a warning when looking at this game, as it’s just not easy to beat SEC teams by more than four touchdowns. 

The last time Georgia beat Vanderbilt by more than 36 points was back in 2012, and it’d take that type of beatdown for the Bulldogs to cover the spread in this game. Since then, the Commodores have had no trouble staying within this distance, and they should be able to do the same here. 

Last week, Georgia quarterback JT Daniels threw for 303 yards with three touchdowns against the Gamecocks, and this Bulldogs passing game has been humming since he took over under center last season. However, Vanderbilt’s defense doesn’t look quite as bad as it did last season, with the team allowing 28.3 points per game this year. The Commodores gave up 37.3 points per game a year ago. Part of the reason it’s been a little tougher to score on this Vanderbilt defense is the fact the team returned all four of its starting defensive backs from last year. If Dashaun Jerkins ends up being good to go, all of them will be out there in this game. It’s not a particularly strong group, but it’s good enough not to let this game get out of hand — especially with Georgia a bit banged up at wide receiver. 

The Bulldogs also haven’t run the ball all that well this year, so they could look to get the ground game going in this one. Both Zamir White and James Cook are more than capable of running all over this Commodores defense, but attacking the ground will help kill some clock. That could be huge in a game like this one. 

For what it’s worth, this Vanderbilt team also has what it takes to score a touchdown or two here. Ken Seals is an extremely talented young quarterback, and he should be able to make some plays in this game, even if he isn’t surrounded by a lot of talent. Last week, South Carolina’s Luke Doty manufactured a touchdown drive against this defense, and Seals has a bit more to his game than Doty does. All it will take is a score or two to make this spread a bit too high for the Bulldogs to cover.

Over 52.0 (-110)

Much like the spread in this game, the Commodores only need to get a couple of scores to really put Over bettors in a good position. Georgia is averaging 48.0 points per game over the last two weeks, so the Bulldogs will easily do their part to make this Over a possibility. Vanderbilt appears to be capable of pushing it over the finish line, as the team scored 23 points against a solid Stanford defense a week ago. The Commodores are now averaging 23.5 points per game over their last two contests. 

Under head coach Kirby Smart, the Over is 9-4 when Georgia is coming off a home no-cover in a game which the team won outright. The Over has also hit in seven of the 10 games in which the Bulldogs were coming off a two-game homestand in that time. If that’s not enough, the Over is also 6-0 under Smart when Georgia has played teams that allow 5.9 or more yards per play. 

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