The Mountain West gives college football betting fans a nightcap to look forward to as the Hawaii Rainbow Warriors travel to Reno to take on the Nevada Wolf Pack.
Nevada sits at 4-1 on the season and is a contender for the conference championship. The Wolf Pack’s lone MWC game resulted in a comfortable win over conference elite Boise State, so they have every reason to fancy their chances in 2021. Will they handle business over Hawaii, or falter under the lofty expectations?
Check out our picks and predictions for the Hawaii Rainbow Warriors vs. the Nevada Wolfpack on Saturday, October 16 to find out.
Hawaii vs Nevada odds
Odds via the Covers Line, an average comprised of odds from multiple sportsbooks.
Nevada opened -15.5 but has been bet down to -14 across most books at the time of this writing. Be sure to check out the full college football odds before placing your bets, and also view the full line movement for this game.
Hawaii vs Nevada picks
Picks made on 10/14/2021 at 1:00 p.m. ET.
Click on each pick to jump to the full analysis.
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Hawaii vs Nevada game info
• Location: Mackay Stadium, Reno, NV
• Date: Saturday, October 16, 2021
• Time: 10:30 p.m. ET
• TV: CBSSN
Hawaii vs Nevada betting preview
Weather
Be sure to monitor the gametime conditions with our NCAA football weather info.
Key injuries
Hawaii: Chevan Cordeiro QB (Probable), Cameron Lockeridge DB (Questionable)
Nevada: Romeo Doubs WR (Probable), Elijah Cooks WR (Out), Tyson Williams DB (Out)
Find our latest NCAA football injury reports.
Betting trend to know
The Wolf Pack are 6-0 ATS in their last six games following an ATS loss. Find more NCAA betting trends for Hawaii vs. Nevada.
Hawaii vs Nevada predictions
Nevada -14 (-115)
Nevada is a program with a clear direction right now, and that direction is up. After finishing at 7-2 last year under head coach Jay Norvell, the Wolf Pack have responded with a 4-1 start to 2021 including an impressive win over conference rival Boise State.
They’ve been rolling against the spread, too, going 13-6 ATS in their last 19 games.
Carson Strong is one of the top quarterbacks in the Group of Five. If you don’t know his name, you probably should get familiar before he’s selected highly in the next NFL draft.
Confidence will be sky-high after Strong threw for 377 yards and a career-high six touchdowns a week ago against New Mexico State. The Wolf Pack scored 52 unanswered points in that contest and did so without the help of star wide receiver Romeo Doubs, who is probable to return against Hawaii. Strong should throw the ball all over the yard against this 119th ranked Hawaii secondary allowing 292 passing yards per game.
Although Hawaii beat Fresno State last game (a resume booster, for sure), they were outgained 505 to 348 and benefited from six turnovers. Unless it can rely on a handful of turnovers here — which is a tough task on the road against a quarterback of Strong’s caliber — the results should not be similar.
Starting quarterback Chevan Cordeiro is questionable to return after missing the Fresno State game. Coach Todd Graham said that he expects both Cordeiro and Brayden Schager to play against Nevada.
The Wolf Pack have responded well following an ATS loss, going 6-0 ATS in the last six games in such a scenario. I expect them to do just that here and gain revenge for last year’s upset loss in Hawaii.
Over 61 (-110)
Strong and this Nevada passing offense should have a field day against a Hawaii secondary that is poor in coverage. Outside of the opener against UCLA where the game entered garbage time before the start of the second half in a blowout, Hawaii has been torched through the air against every team they have played. They’re allowing 321 passing yards per game in their last five contests.
Wolf Pack receiver Romeo Doubs is probable to return after missing last week’s game, which would be an additional boost. Doubs has over 1300 receiving yards in his past 13 games. Star tight end Cole Turner has 13 touchdowns in his past 14 games. Both should find breathing room against a porous Hawaii secondary.
The trends point to the Under when you look at Hawaii, but trend to the Over when examining Nevada. We expect Nevada to have success in this matchup and dictate the game, which would lend more toward their side of things. The Over is 4-0 in the Wolf Pack’s last four games overall and 4-0-1 in their last five home games.
Nevada games have been lighting up the scoreboard with 72 and 83 combined points in their last 2 games respectively. We expect more points this Saturday night.
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