Indiana State vs Indiana Odds, Picks, and Predictions: Friday Night Rock Fight

The Indiana Hoosiers raised their stock significantly after keeping Ohio State in check in Week 1, but have they done enough to justify such a big spread when they host the Indiana State Sycamores on Friday night? Our college football betting picks dig in.

Jeremy Jones - Betting Analyst at Covers
Jeremy Jones • Betting Analyst
Sep 8, 2023 • 16:18 ET • 4 min read
Indiana Hoosiers college football
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The Indiana Hoosiers were tabbed to be one of the worst teams in the FBS. However, after an impressive defensive showing against Ohio State last week, do they have a chance to tally some wins this season?

They're going to get a nice reprieve from last week by facing one of the worst teams in the FCS this weekend in the Indiana State Sycamores. Will they be able to cover the giant spread in the college football odds despite offensive woes?

Here are our free college football picks and predictions for Indiana State vs. Indiana in Memorial Stadium in Bloomington, IN on Friday, September 8. 

Indiana State vs Indiana best odds

Indiana State vs Indiana picks and predictions

The Indiana State Sycamores went a dreadful 2-9 last season and ranked 113th in the FCS with 16 points per game. They also allowed 32.7 points per game, which ranked 94th in FCS. The Sycamores got destroyed 56-0 by Purdue last season in their one game against an FBS opponent and failed to cover the 37-point spread. 

Indiana State will have mostly the same roster as last year, as they were very young and did not have many transfers. However, that is not necessarily a good thing, as they lost 27-0 to Eastern Illinois last week and looked to still have a terrible offense. 

The Sycamores went with two quarterbacks, and they combined for 13 of 26 passing for 116 yards and four interceptions. Evan Olaes is the running quarterback, and he had 59 yards on nine carries, but threw two picks in his only two pass attempts. The defense did have a sack and forced two turnovers, but when the offense allows three sacks and has six turnovers, it makes it hard to compete. 

The Indiana Hoosiers played very competitively with Ohio State in the first half, allowing only 10 points and forcing one turnover. However, the offense was only able to muster 153 yards and averaged just 2.2 yards per rush. After going 4-8 last season, averaging 23.2 points per game (100th in the nation) and losing their starting quarterback, leading rusher, and three starters on the line, it could be a rough go for the Hoosiers offense this year. 

The good news is that the Hoosiers did bring in several transfers that will be starting this season. Wide receivers E.J. Williams from Clemson and Dequece Carter from Fordham will be immediate contributors. Quarterback Tayven Jackson will also likely see time if Brendan Sorsby continues to struggle, and Jackson was the 11th-ranked QB in the 2022 class before transferring from Tennessee. 

On the defensive side, Indiana brought in five starters through the transfer portal. The impact was shown immediately with their performance against the Buckeyes after Indiana allowed 33.9 points per game last season (120th). Defensive end Andre Carter from Western Michigan led the team with two tackles for loss last week. 

This game will be very ugly for the Sycamores offense. After failing to score on the Eastern Illinois defense and turning the ball over six times, things will get much worse this week against this Indiana defense. The Hoosiers’ offense should be able to find their rhythm as well as this game goes on. 

I will not be surprised if Indiana State does not score at all in this game. At best, maybe they sneak out a field goal and a late touchdown. This means the Under is a great play here at 46.5 points. The Indiana offense will be able to score, but I doubt they go deep into the 30’s and 40’s on the scoreboard. 

My best bet: Under 46.5 (-110 at FanDuel)

Indiana State vs Indiana same-game parlay

Under 46.5

Indiana State +34.5

Since this is an FCS opponent game, there is not much in terms of same-game parlay opportunities. However, we still can combine the total with a spread play.

I mentioned how much I like the Under here, so now to combine it with the spread. Indiana is favored by 34.5 points, and that just seems too high for an offense that will likely take some time to find a rhythm. Give me the Sycamores ATS to add to our parlay.

Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.

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Indiana State vs Indiana spread and Over/Under analysis

The quarterback play for Indiana was dreadful last week against Ohio State, as starter Sorsby was 8-for-16 passing for 58 yards, and reserve Jackson was 1-for-5 with 24 yards. They will obviously get a much worse defense this week, but that does not mean we will see a massive jump in quarterback play. 

This spread is just too high for how many points I believe the Hoosiers can score. Once they get a big lead, they will also let off the gas, and by this time it may be the fourth quarter already. I like the Sycamores to cover even if they don’t score. 

The total is completely reliant on how much Indiana State can score. If they do not reach double-digits, there is simply no way Indiana can cover the Over by themselves. I like the chances of Indiana State not scoring anywhere near enough to push this total Over. 

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Indiana State vs Indiana betting trend to know

Indiana has not hit the Team Total Over in any of their last three games at home. Find more college football betting trends for Indiana State vs Indiana.

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Indiana State vs Indiana game info

Location: Memorial Stadium, Bloomington, IN
Date: Friday, September 8, 2023
Kickoff: 7:00 p.m. ET
TV: BTN

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Jeremy Jones - Covers
Betting Analyst

Jeremy Jones was born and raised in Lexington, Kentucky and has been a massive Wildcats fans since the moment he came into the world. He wrote his first sports article at the tender age of 11 after attending a local AHL hockey game, and a few years later was writing professionally for sites such as Sports Rants, BetAmerica, and TwinSpires.

Jeremy holds a Masters in Sports Administration from Eastern Kentucky University and utilizes all seven betting options available in Kentucky to shop for odds and promos and find the greatest EV in every wager he places.

His best piece of sports betting advice is to stick to consistent unit sizes for every wager. He acknowledges there will occasionally be a bet that has a huge EV and you can play multiple units in one bet, but cautions against raising your unit size, because you can quickly lose all your winnings if you hit a minor cold streak.

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