Mercer vs Alabama Picks and Predictions: Spread Far and Wide

The Crimson Tide face a massive spread against a feeble FCS foe, and this game will come down to their will to keep firing when the game is long decided. Our Mercer vs Alabama picks give you the breakdown.

Andrew Caley - Senior Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Andrew Caley • Senior Betting Analyst
Sep 11, 2021 • 10:17 ET • 4 min read
Bryce Young Alabama Crimson Tide college football
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

With a massive loss of talent off to the NFL, there were some out there doubting whether the Alabama Crimson Tide were due for a bit of a regression heading into their game at Miami. Well, they put those doubts to rest quickly.

The Tide crushed the Canes while Bryce Young made an emphatic Heisman statement in the process. But can Bama stay focused as massive favorites against the FCS Mercer Bears?

Find out more about one of our favorite betting trends with our free college football betting picks and predictions for Mercer vs. Alabama on Saturday, September 11.

Mercer vs Alabama odds

Odds via the Covers Line, an average comprised of odds from multiple sportsbooks.

Alabama opens this matchup as massive 53.5-point favorites. The total opened at 60.5. Be sure to check out the full college football odds before placing your bets, and also view the full line movement for this game.

Mercer vs Alabama picks

Picks made on 9/10/2021 at 10:20 a.m. ET.
Click on each pick to jump to the full analysis.

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Mercer vs Alabama game info

Location: Bryant-Denny Stadium, Tuscaloosa, AB
Date: Saturday, September 11, 2021
Time: 4:00 p.m. ET
TV: SEC Network

Mercer vs Alabama betting preview

Weather

Be sure to monitor the gametime conditions with our NCAA football weather info.

Key injuries

Mercer: No key injuries to report.
Alabama: Henry To'oto'o LB (Questionable).
Find our latest NCAA football injury reports.

Betting trend to know

Alabama is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games when favored by 20 points or more. Find more NCAA betting trends for Mercer vs. Alabama.

Mercer vs Alabama predictions

No Mac Jones. No Najee Harris. No Devonta Smith and no Jaylen Waddle. No problem.

Alabama went out and smacked around Miami 44-13, easily covering the spread as 19.5-point road favorites while quarterback Bryce Young announced himself to the college football world.

The sophomore went 27-38 for 344 yards with four touchdowns and no picks in a widely-praised debut. Meanwhile, the Bama defense was just as impressive, forcing Miami QB D’Eriq King to spend most of the game checking down and holding the Canes to just 2.8 yards per carry.

But can the Tide keep their focus and cover this huge number against Mercer? The Bears are a fine team but aren’t even in the Top 25 in the FCS rankings. So, this is all about Bama. And whether or not they won’t let up.

Well for starters, head coach Nick Saban did his best in his mid-week presser to make sure his team didn’t overlook the Bears. He basically said they haven’t won anything yet and weren’t impressive after halftime against Miami, winning the second half just 17-10.

Bama is also 6-0 ATS in its last six games when laying 20 or more points and won its last game against an FCS team (Western Carolina in 2019) by a score of 66-3, covering as 58.5-point faves. Yes, it’s a massive number but fade at your own risk.

One way to combat the fear that Alabama might let up in the second half of a potential blowout like this is to look at them on the first half spread.

The Crimson Tide have been one of the best first-half bets in football and are 10-2 against the first-half spread in their last 12 regular-season games. Last season, Bama led the FBS in first-half scoring, averaging 29.4 points before the half, and the Tide picked up right where they left off last season jumping out to a 27-3 lead over Miami heading into the break last week. 

Backing Bama on the first-half spread may be the safest bet to make in this game.

NCAA parlays

Did you know that if you parlayed our Mercer vs. Alabama picks, you could win $26.45 on a $10 bet?

Use our college football parlay calculator to create your own parlays and see their potential payouts.

Where can I bet on college football odds?

You can bet on college football odds at every online and casino sportsbook, including NCAA moneylines, spreads, Over/Under totals, and a ton of college football prop odds. Head over to our best football betting sites for the top spots to bet on college football odds in your area.

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Senior Betting Analyst

When his dreams of becoming the next Steve Nash died, all Andrew “Taco” Caley wanted to do was write about sports, something he’s been doing at Covers for more than a decade. A Journalism School grad from Holland College in Charlottetown, PEI, Andrew previously worked at The Chronicle Herald and Star Metro, but knew in his heart that his future lay in sports. He began at Covers as a news editor and has now done everything under the sun when it comes to content. His work has been seen on TSN, Sportsnet, VSiN, and CBS.

These days Andrew’s betting expertise is focused on his favorite teams – the Toronto Blue Jays and Toronto Raptors. He’s also an avid college football fan and bettor. He can’t be friends with you if you don’t appreciate a Service Academy Under. You can also call him Covers’ Sixth Man, as he regularly steps up to guest host Before You Bet and our MLB and NCAAF release shows.

The sportsbook where he does the bulk of his betting is bet365 thanks to its numerous prop betting options and competitive odds. His best advice? Find the balance between the numbers and what you see on the playing field. Then find the best price using multiple books. And don’t ask him where the nickname Taco comes from. It’s not an interesting story. Seriously.

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