These two ACC and former Big East rivals will meet for the 40th time when the Miami Hurricanes travel to Blacksburg to take on the Virginia Tech Hokies on Saturday afternoon.
The Hurricanes are 2-3 with some heart-breaking results. Meanwhile, Virginia Tech is 2-4 and has not been competitive in three of its four losses. Will Miami be able to turn its season around against an easier opponent?
Find out in our free college football betting picks and predictions for Miami vs. Virginia Tech on Saturday, October 15.
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Miami vs Virginia Tech best odds
Miami vs Virginia Tech picks and predictions
It has been a disappointing start to the season for the Miami Hurricanes. They entered Week 3 ranked 13th in the nation before heading to College Station and losing a close game to the Texas A&M Aggies, which seems to have sent the Canes into a tailspin.
Miami followed that loss with duds against Middle Tennessee State and North Carolina as home favorites. The Hurricanes were 25.5-point favorites over MTSU and lost by 14 points outright. Despite these woes, the passing offense has stayed strong. Miami ranks 10th in the country in passing yards per game.
Star quarterback Tyler Van Dyke has played well with 1,305 passing yards to go along with seven touchdowns and four interceptions. He accounted for 498 of Miami’s 538 total yards last week against North Carolina.
Seven different Miami players have double-digit receptions and 100+ yards receiving on the season. Unfortunately for the Canes, one of those players will be out as Xavier Restrepo, who has 11 catches for 172 yards and a touchdown in only two games, is not yet ready to return to action. However, speedster Keyshawn Smith has stepped up with two receiving touchdowns and a kick return touchdown in Restrepo’s absence.
Meanwhile, Virginia Tech has been absolutely smashed by its previous three opponents, including North Carolina. The Hokies allowed 41 points to the Tar Heels but were only able to score 10. The Hokies defense has allowed 39.7 points per game over this three-game losing streak.
Miami will have no problem putting up points on this defense that may be without one of their starting defensive backs, Dorian Strong. While Miami’s defense has also been lacking in recent weeks, the Hokies offense is dreadful, averaging only 20 points per game. This spread is too low considering the matchups on each side of the ball.
My best bet: Miami -7.0 (-107 at PointsBet)
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Miami vs Virginia Tech spread analysis
Virginia Tech finally showed some offensive life last week against Pitt by scoring 29 points. However, six of those points came from a blocked punt in the end zone. Oh, and the Hokies also allowed 45 points on defense.
Hokies quarterback Grant Wells, who transferred in from Marshall, has fewer passing yards than Van Dyke on the season despite playing one more game. He also has more interceptions than touchdown passes. Miami has an aggressive defense that can take advantage of his mistakes.
Defensive back Kamren Kinchens is not only the third-leading tackler for Miami, but he also has recorded three interceptions and recovered a fumble. Kinchens will have plenty of opportunities to force more turnovers on Saturday. The Virginia Tech offense averages 1.5 turnovers per game.
If Miami wins the turnover battle, it will not only win the game but likely blow it wide open. Virginia Tech is going to need to play near perfect to cover this spread, and I certainly do not like its chances to do so given its recent history.
Miami vs Virginia Tech Over/Under analysis
In the 11 combined games that these two teams have played this season, the Under is 8-3. The average total score of Virginia Tech games this year is 46.0 points per game. That includes a game against Pitt that totaled 74 points.
Miami also has a great defense against the run as it ranks 15th in the country in rushing yards allowed. The Hurricanes also record 3.3 sacks per game and will force the Hokies to make plenty of mistakes. If Virginia Tech cannot even get to 20 points, it is hard to imagine this game going Over the total.
The Under is 6-0-2 in the last eight road games for Miami against a team with a losing home record. The Under is also 8-3 in the last 11 Virginia Tech games following a straight-up loss. There are several good reasons to lean towards the Under here, despite a low number of 47.
Miami vs Virginia Tech betting trend to know
The favorite is 6-2 against the spread in the last eight meetings between these two teams. Find more NCAA betting trends for Miami vs. Virginia Tech.
Miami vs Virginia Tech game info
| Location: | Lane Stadium, Blacksburg, VA |
| Date: | Saturday, October 15, 2022 |
| Kickoff: | 12:30 p.m. ET |
| TV: | RSN |
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