After a loss to the Arkansas Razorbacks, the Texas A&M Aggies have a get-right opportunity against the Mississippi State Bulldogs at Kyle Field in College Station, Texas at 7:00 p.m. ET on October 2.
Will Mike Leach’s team storm into Texas and upset Jimbo Fisher’s group? Continue reading our Mississippi State vs. Texas A&M picks and predictions and get yourself ready for an exciting game.
Mississippi State vs Texas A&M odds
Odds via the Covers Line, an average comprised of odds from multiple sportsbooks.
Mississippi State was a 9.5-point underdog when this game went on the board, but the Bulldogs are now getting either 7.0 or 7.5 points — despite the consensus being heavily in favor of the Aggies. The total has moved from 47.5 down to either 45.5 or 46.0. Use the live odds widget above to track any future line movements right up until kickoff and be sure to check out the full college football odds before placing your bets.
Mississippi State vs Texas A&M picks
Picks made on 10/1/2021 at 5:15 p.m. ET.
Click on each pick to jump to the full analysis.
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Mississippi State vs Texas A&M game info
• Location: Kyle Field, College Station, TX
• Date: Saturday, October 2, 2021
• Time: 7:00 p.m. ET
• TV: SEC Network
Mississippi State vs Texas A&M betting preview
Weather
Be sure to monitor the gametime conditions with our NCAA football weather info.
Key injuries
Mississippi State: Trip Wilson WR (Questionable).
Texas A&M: Haynes King QB (Out), Hezekiah Jones WR (Out), Chase Lane WR (Questionable), Jahmir Johnson OL (Questionable), Caleb Chapman WR (Questionable), Keldrick Carper S (Questionable), Luke Matthews OL (Questionable).
Find our latest NCAA football injury reports.
Betting trend to know
The Aggies are 0-4 against the spread in their last four games as home favorites. Find more NCAA betting trends for Mississippi State vs. Texas A&M.
Mississippi State vs Texas A&M predictions
Mississippi State +7.5 (-110)
Mississippi State is coming off of back-to-back losses, but the team has actually been incredibly competitive all year. In the Bulldogs’ second game of the season, they beat an NC State Wolfpack team that upset the Clemson Tigers last weekend. They then lost by five points total in a road game against the Memphis Tigers and a home game against the LSU Tigers. That loss to Memphis should really have an asterisk on it, as the Bulldogs ended up losing on a play that officials later admitted they got wrong. There’s obviously no such thing as a true moral victory, but this Mississippi State squad is better than its record.
The reason it’s so important to note that the Bulldogs aren’t quite as bad as they might seem is that Texas A&M flunked its first true test without starting quarterback Haynes King last week. The Aggies lost 20-10 against the Arkansas Razorbacks on a neutral field, and that game really could have been a lot more lopsided had it not been for an injury to Arkansas quarterback KJ Jefferson. With that said, this Texas A&M offense is averaging just 18.0 points per game over the last three weeks, and it was a 34-point performance against the lowly New Mexico Lobos that helped bring that number up.
This Bulldogs' defense isn’t exactly stellar or anything, but it’s good enough to contain a one-dimensional offense like Texas A&M’s. The Aggies are going to pound the rock with Isaiah Spiller early and often in this one, but it’ll be hard for them to do so efficiently when the Bulldogs know what they want to do. The fact that the Texas A&M offensive line is banged up won’t help either. On top of that, Mississippi State also happens to be allowing just 71.3 rushing yards per game, which is good for eighth in the nation.
Offensively, things won’t be easy for Leach and this Air Raid attack. Texas A&M is allowing just 9.3 points per game this season, and only the Georgia Bulldogs have a better number than that. However, in what should be a low-scoring game, Mississippi State will just need to come through on a couple of drives to cover this number and we saw last week that Texas A&M is capable of giving up some chunk plays.
Under 52.5 (-110)
Don’t be fooled by the fact that Mississippi State’s last two games have seen an average of 56.5 points per game. Those contests still went Under the total and the fact remains that this Bulldogs team is solid as can be defensively. The Aggies, meanwhile, have gone Under the total in each of their four games this season. And the Under has also hit in three of the last four meetings between these two schools.
Another thing that’s worth noting is that the Under has hit in each of the last six games in which Mississippi State was coming off a game where the team gave up 100 or fewer rushing yards over the last two seasons. If that’s not enough to entice you, the Under is also 6-0 when Texas A&M is coming off a game in which it forced no turnovers since 2019.
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